Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks did a real nice job, starting with our top pitcher Trevor Bauer and moving on into the bats.
Bauer was electric in his six innings of shutout ball as he punched out 11 Twins on the night while allowing just three hits and three walks, notching his 11th win of the season in the process.
Our second starter Matt Boyd didn’t do nearly as well, however, as he tossed just 5.1 innings on the night while yielding four earned runs in a losing effort in Anaheim against the Angels.
Our bats did a nice job as we received several extra-base hits throughout. Mike Zunino played longball once again against Rangers left-hander Martin Perez while we also received a double from Ryon Healy as part of the eight hits our four-man Mariners stack produced.
Our Astros three-man stack also produced, punctuated by a three-run homer from Marwin Gonzalez. Tony Kemp doubled as well while Gonzalez’s bomb accounted for all three of the RBIs on the Houston side in this one.
Lastly, we received a low-owned, solo home run from Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil, a player to keep an eye on as he has hit for plenty of power throughout the season, both at the big league and minor league levels.
Let’s build on last night’s effort on tonight’s 14-game main slate!
P – Zack Greinke (ARI) – $10,100 vs. PHI
Greinke is best used at home despite the hitter-friendly confines of Chase Field in Arizona. He owns a stellar 2.96 ERA on the season, however that figure drops to 2.44 at home. His overall strikeout rate for the season stands at 25.9% for the season, a number that trends up to 26.6% at home. Greinke also gets a favorable matchup against the strikeout-prone Phillies. Entering play tonight, the Phillies own baseball’s third-highest overall strikeout rate at 25.1% while they own a 25.8% clip against righties, good for the second-highest mark in baseball. With the ERA and the strikeout upside, I think Greinke is in for a big night.
P – Chase Anderson (MIL) – $7,800 vs. SD
Anderson isn’t having the same stellar season that he enjoyed in 2017, but he is still pitching to a 3.65 ERA on the season, and his strikeout upside gets a boost against another strikeout-prone club in the form of the San Diego Padres. Anderson has punched out hitters at an uninspiring 19.7% clip, however he faces a Padres club that has the highest strikeout clip in baseball at a 25.9% mark against right-handed pitching. The Padres are also the league’s 30th ranked offense in terms of OPS against righties with a .648 mark while they’re the league’s 29th-ranked road offense with a .652 OPS away from home. In terms of opponent, Anderson as the best matchup on the slate.
C – Robinson Chirinos (TEX) – $4,300 vs. SEA
The Rangers take on Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez tonight, a pitcher with an ugly 7.58 ERA on the road. Therefore, I’m feeling a three-man stack against King Felix beginning here with Chirinos. Chirinos carries plenty of pop in that bat as he’s clubbed 15 homers on the season while he owns an overall .225 ISO as well. He hasn’t hit righties for quite as much power as he has lefties, but still owns a powerful .216 ISO against same-handed pitching, making him a fine play against a very targetable pitcher.
1B – Albert Pujols (LAA) – $3,900 vs. DET
The Angels and Tigers get back at it tonight in Anaheim, and the Angels have themselves a nice matchup on their hands against right-hander Jacob Turner who makes his first start back with the Tigers this season. Obviously we’re not talking about the Pujols of old here, but he has still racked up 17 homers on the season while he’s also recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 games. Also of significant note with Pujols and Turner is the fact Pujols has faced him four times, and homered three times. Let’s let him kick off our four-man Angels stack, although he will hit at the end of it out of the cleanup spot tonight.
2B – Brandon Drury (TOR) – $3,300 vs. BOS
Like yesterday, second base was the final spot to fill out today, and I am going to look for some more one-off power with Brandon Drury against left-handed Drew Pomeranz. Drury hasn’t hit much since coming over from the Yankees, however he does hit lefties for more power than he does righties while Pomeranz has yielded a huge .958 OPS to right-handed hitters this season. Some one-off power from the newest Blue Jay would be a big boost for this lineup.
3B – Adrian Beltre (TEX) – $3,600 vs. SEA
Beltre and his good buddy Felix Hernandez will go toe-to-toe again tonight as they have a lengthy history of 70 plate appearances against one another. Beltre has hit just .224 with one homer in that time against Hernandez, but tonight he faces him on the road, right where he wants him. Beltre’s power certainly isn’t what it used to be, but he still hits righties for more power than lefties and has a solid .281 average on the season. He works fine as a cost-effective player as part of a three-man stack.
SS – Elvis Andrus (TEX) – $4,300 vs. SEA
Last man up in the Rangers stack is Andrus who bring solid power/speed upside with him into this matchup tonight. Andrus also has a long history against Hernandez, 116 plate appearances to be exact, and has hit .284 with five steals in that span. Andrus is riding a lengthy 17-game hit streak into action tonight, and he’s hit two homers, five doubles and two triples in that span. At the top of the lineup, I like the cross-category upside Andrus brings to the table.
OF – Kole Calhoun (LAA) – $4,100 vs. DET
We will complete our Angels four-man stack with a trio of outfielders beginning here with Calhoun. He’s enjoyed a monster run since slumping terribly for much of the first half of the season. Calhoun has produced a massive .355 ISO and 1.034 OPS in the season’s second half so far, and his recent power output has him standing with a powerful .213 ISO against right-handed pitching. He’s also going to hit at the top of the lineup, so let’s look for some more production against the right-hander Turner.
OF – Shohei Ohtani (LAA) – $4,400 vs. DET
Ohtani may not be pitching these days, but he sure is hitting. He has mashed right-handed pitching in his first season of North American baseball to the tune of a massive .328 ISO and a 1.010 OPS on the season while all 11 of his homers have come against righties as well. Ohtani has also brought some stolen base upside with him lately as he’s swiped two bases over the last four games. We’re here for the power though, and Ohtani certainly boasts some of that against right-handers.
OF – Justin Upton (LAA) – $4,200 vs. DET
After crushing left-handed pitching last season, Upton interestingly has some big-time reverse splits this season as a lot of his power has come against righties in 2018. Upton enters tonight’s contest sporting a powerful .213 ISO and .838 OPS against righties this season as compared to his paltry .095 ISO and .598 OPS against lefties. Upton also brings a little bit of stolen base upside to the table with five steals on the season. Let’s look for the veteran to flex some more muscle tonight.