Our bats were solid in last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks, however a rough outing for Madison Bumgarner made it difficult to rake in any meaningful profits on the night.
Bumgarner went just 5.1 frames and yielded four earned runs and he struck out just three. Bumgarner was ejected from the game after being lifted by Manager Bruce Bochy.
Jack Flaherty was much better in his outing, allowing just one earned run across 6.1 innings while he punched out six, earning the win in the process.
Our Cardinals bats backed up Flaherty with some power. We got a pair of two-run homers with the Cardinals stack, one coming from first baseman Jose Martinez and the other from outfielder Marcell Ozuna. Both guys have been swinging hot bats and needless to say that continued last night.
Our Giants stack was solid, but Mac Williamson went 0 for 4 which didn’t help. That said, Buster Posey and Evan Longoria combined to go 4 for 8 with a walk, a run scored and an RBI, but unfortunately zero extra-base hits.
It was a decent lineup, but let’s nonetheless stay hungry and look for improvement on tonight’s maximum 15-game slate!
P – Mike Foltynewicz (ATL) – $11,800 vs. NYM
The Mets are in some kind of slump right now and Foltynewicz has come into his own so far this season, so I am going to take the high strikeout upside here and run with it. Aaron Nola works just fine here too, but I like Folty’s strikeout upside more. He has a pair of double-digit strikeout games over his last five starts, a span where he has allowed just four earned runs. In fact, Foltynewicz has allowed more than two earned runs in just one of 13 starts this season. Let’s take the consistency and the 28.7% strikeout clip with the Braves’ right-hander tonight.
P – Clay Buchholz (ARI) – $8,200 vs. PIT
Buchholz is enjoying a resurgent campaign for the D-backs, so I am going to roll the dice a little bit here and pay down for the right-hander while he’s pitching well. He’s made four starts this season and has pitched to a 1.88 ERA in the process. He has a decent 22.8% strikeout clip as well while he has pitched to a 2.22 FIP across his two home starts on the season. The Diamondbacks are swinging some hot bats lately and Buchholz has allowed just one earned run in three of his four starts this season, so there is valuable upside to be had here for sure.
C – Wilson Ramos (TB) – $3,500 vs. TOR
The Blue Jays will send left-hander Jaime Garcia to the mound tonight, a pitcher that sports a 5.57 ERA, an 8.20 road ERA and has allowed a .914 OPS to right-handed hitters on the road. Let’s roll with a cheap Rays’ right-handed stack beginning here with Ramos. Ramos has hit both lefties and righties well this season, but over the course of his career he hits lefties for more power. He has a solid .161 ISO and .743 OPS against lefties this year and posted an .809 OPS against lefties in 2017, so let’s lock in the Rays’ catcher at a nice price and out of three-hole in the lineup.
1B – C.J. Cron (TB) – $4,100 vs. TOR
Cron is enjoying his first season as a member of the Rays, and he’s been clobbering left-handed pitching. Cron has launched 15 homers already, five of which have come against southpaws. He enters play sporting a big-time .260 ISO and .932 OPS on the campaign against southpaws. He posted a big .267 ISO against lefties in 2017, so the elite power against opposite-handed pitching is nothing new for the big first baseman and should continue tonight.
2B – Jedd Gyorko (STL) – $3,500 vs. SD
Another four-man stack I am liking tonight is the Cardinals as they take on Padres’ lefty Matt Strahm. Strahm only has 14.1 MLB innings under his belt this season, but he pitched to a 5.45 ERA as a member of the Royals last season and also pitched to a 5.66 FIP against right-handed bats. Gyorko launched a solo home run in last night’s win, his fifth of the season and first since May 11th. I’m looking for more power from Gyorko considering he owns a massive .417 average, .458 ISO and 1.375 OPS against lefties in 24 at-bats this season.
3B – Matt Duffy (TB) – $3,200 vs. TOR
Duffy is sporting some notable reverse-splits this season and hasn’t hit lefties so well, but it’s going to come around. Besides, he is projected to hit in the leadoff spot against a struggling left-hander who has been awful on the road to righties. Duffy was better against lefties in 2016 which was his most recent season as he missed all of the 2017 campaign. He also has three steals and a .357 OBP, both of which bode well out of the leadoff spot at this price.
SS – Willy Adames (TB) – $3,300 vs. TOR
Adames hasn’t seen much big league time this season, but in Triple-A last season he clobbered lefties. In 141 Triple-A at-bats against southpaws last season, Adames hit .319 with a .422 OBP and .861 OPS. He also stole four bases against lefties and 11 overall at Triple-A in 2017. Let’s also not forget that Adames’ first MLB hit was a home run off of lefty Chris Sale, so we know the pop is there. He will hopefully display that pop at the end of our stack tonight.
OF – Tommy Pham (STL) – $4,500 vs. SD
We will complete our lineup with a trio of Cardinals outfielders who should be able to get to lefty Matt Strahm tonight. Pham is once again posting some big-time numbers against left-handed pitching that include a .333 average, .194 ISO and a huge .970 OPS. In his breakout 2017 season, Pham mashed lefties to the tune of a .260 ISO and .964 OPS. He is an extremely high-upside, cross-category contributor in this favorable matchup tonight.
OF – Marcell Ozuna (STL) – $3,800 vs. SD
Ozuna is swinging a white-hot bat right now after a slow start so he is a very attractive play for me once again tonight. Ozuna’s home run last night was the fourth he’s hit over his last nine games, a span where he’s gone 15 for 38 (.395) with 11 RBIs and six runs scored. He only has one homer and one double against lefties this season, but is hitting .310 against them with a nice .780 OPS. He hit .305 against them with an .804 OPS last season, so look for his hot hitting to continue this evening.
OF – Harrison Bader (STL) – $3,800 vs. SD
Bader is mostly up in the big leagues to play against left-handed pitching and he’s been producing with authority in such scenarios. Bader enters play tonight sporting a massive .294 ISO and 1.028 OPS on the season against lefties in 34 at-bats. He homered twice and doubled twice in 20 MLB at-bats against lefties in 2017, posting a .400 ISO and a 1.200 OPS in the process. He also posted a massive .389 average and 1.234 OPS against lefties in 90 Triple-A at-bats in 2017, so it’s very clear this guy simply destroys left-handed pitching.