Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks yielded some good results.
Our pitching, which had struggled in the last few lineup, was dynamite. Gerrit Cole, despite some hot and favorable hitting conditions, pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Rangers, striking out eight and earning a win in the process, his seventh of the season.
We rolled the dice with Detroit’s Matt Boyd as our second starter against the MLB’s best team at Boston, and it paid some nice dividends. Boyd threw 6.1 frames of two-run ball, striking out six and earning the win as well. Boyd’s offense backed him up with a five-run first inning which was more than enough offense in an eventual 7-2 Tigers win.
Our Tigers stack did the job, although Niko Goodrum didn’t play. That said, if you simply replaced him with Leonys Martin, you likely were near the top of your contest. Martin homered and tripled off of Red Sox rookie Jalen Beeks to lead the charge. Jose Iglesias and John Hicks combined to go 4 for 8 including a double with four RBIs and a run scored while Nick Castellanos doubled yet again and scored a run.
Our three-man Jays stack produced just one hit, but that hit was a Curtis Granderson leadoff home run, easily exceeding his value in the process. Our one-off Matt Duffy of the Rays eclipsed value as well with a two-hit night including a triple.
It was a fantastic night and we’ll look to make it two in a row on tonight’s big 14-game slate!
P – Chris Sale (BOS) – $11,100 vs. CWS
It is extremely tough to fade Verlander with the roll he is on, but in the heat at Texas on a big slate, I think we can look elsewhere. Besides, the White Sox are projected to score just 2.9 runs against Sale where the Rangers are at 3.8 versus Verlander, and Sale’s -290 moneyline odds outweigh Verlander -185 moneyline odds. Although he has been touched up for 10 runs over his last two starts, those were against very good offenses versus the Astros and Braves. Tonight he gets a White Sox club that ranks 25th with a .688 OPS against lefties while they strike out in a whopping 30.1% of their at-bats against southpaws. Factor in Sale’s elite 34% strikeout clip and we have ourselves a very high-upside matchup here for the lefty.
P – Vince Velasquez (PHI) – $8,300 vs. MIL
This one is a bit of a risky play and better suited for GPPs, but I like the pure strikeout upside Velasquez carries into his matchup with the visiting Brewers tonight. Velasquez has put forth a real nice 29.2% strikeout clip this season, and the Brewers have struck out in 27.4% of their at-bats against righties. While Velasquez has been prone to blow ups in his career, he’s actually been pitching real well of late. He has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight starts and five of his last six. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a start since April 29th, a span of six starts. I would likely avoid him in cash games, but Velasquez carries excellent strikeout potential into this matchup tonight.
C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – $4,000 vs. ATL
The Dodgers have roared back to life lately and their offense is red-hot entering tonight’s contest, so I am going to unleash a three-man stack against right-hander Brandon McCarthy. The Dodgers have averaged a whopping 9.2 runs per game over their last six, so let’s do this. Grandal is hitting right-handers for a powerful .221 ISO on the season and although his bat has slowed since a red-hot start, I still really like his power upside while he should hit third in the lineup tonight, a fantastic cross-category upside spot in the lineup.
1B – Justin Smoak (TOR) – $4,300 vs. BAL
The Blue Jays have a fantastic matchup tonight at the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre in Toronto against Orioles’ right-hander Andrew Cashner. Cashner has been lit up from both sides of the plate this season and I like the home run upside Smoak brings. He’s hit nine homers this year and his .244 ISO against right-handed pitching easily outweighs his mediocre .133 mark against lefties for the switch-hitter. Cashner is yielding a .906 OPS to left-handed bats, so go ahead and lock in Toronto’s slugging first baseman.
2B – Yangervis Solarte (TOR) – $3,800 vs. BAL
Solarte disappointed a couple of nights ago in our lineup, but we’re getting him even cheaper tonight and I still think he boasts excellent power upside against Cashner. We mentioned a couple days ago his power numbers are better against lefties as he’s a switch-hitter, but he still owns a solid .177 ISO and .743 OPS against righties. He’s also projected to hit second in the lineup, a fantastic spot for all categories.
3B – Justin Turner (LAD) – $3,500 vs. ATL
Turner has been a little slow out of the gates after missing the start of the season with a wrist injury. Turner isn’t hitting for a ton of power right now, but as part of a stack and with him projected to hit second in the lineup I will roll the dice here. McCarthy is actually sporting some notable reverse-splits this season, which bodes well for the right-handed hitting Turner. His spot in the lineup has allowed him to both drive in and score runs while his power should return soon, so feel free to roster the Dodgers’ third baseman tonight.
SS – Chris Taylor (LAD) – $4,400 vs. ATL
I like Taylor a lot here as he tends to hit right-handed pitching well and combined with McCarthy’s reverse splits, I think this is a good matchup. Taylor has a little better power numbers against lefties so far, but still owns a powerful .197 ISO and a .783 OPS on the season against righties. He hit righties for more power in 2017 with a .215 ISO and .855 OPS against them. He’s hit eight homers and stole three bases this season, so I’ll take his power/speed upside and roll with it tonight.
OF – Curtis Granderson (TOR) – $3,500 vs. BAL
Granderson rewarded us with a solo home run in last night’s game, which was his first hit since May 29th after going 0 for 17 in the meantime, so perhaps we can catch him heating up tonight. Again, I like his pop and his spot as the leadoff hitter for tonight’s matchup against Cashner. Cashner is yielding that big .906 OPS to left-handed hitters while Granderson owns a nice .188 ISO and .771 OPS against righties this season. Don’t let the low batting average scare you away from a player who has excellent upside considering the price tonight.
OF – Teoscar Hernandez (TOR) – $4,000 vs. BAL
Hernandez is the lone right-handed hitter in this four-man Jays stack, but Cashner is allowing an .889 OPS to righties as well, so this is a still an excellent matchup. Hernandez owns a powerful .252 ISO and .801 OPS on the year against right-handed pitching and he should hit in the three-hole tonight for John Gibbons’ squad, a very high-upside spot in the line to be sure. He doubled as part of a two-hit night last night, so we could have Hernandez heating up in this lineup as well.
OF – Lewis Brinson (MIA) – $2,800 vs. SD
We needed a value one-off to fill out our lineup in this spot, and I think we have that with Brinson. His average isn’t pretty, but Brinson has clubbed nine homers this season, two of which came two nights ago. He also has three homers over his last 14 at-bats. Brinson faces Padres’ lefty Eric Lauer who is has been touched up for a huge .989 OPS by right-handed hitters, so I am digging the power and value upside Brinson brings to the table in this matchup.