Welcome to a fresh week of MLB DFS! We have an eight-game slate on the DraftKings’ main slate tonight, and I’ve targeted one matchup that looks especially appealing with a couple of mini-stacks mixed in. Let’s take a look at what tonight’s picks look like!
P – Carlos Carrasco (CLE) – $12,200 vs. DET
Carrasco earns my top pitcher of the slate nod tonight as he takes on the Tigers this evening from Comerica Park in Detroit. Carrasco has dominated the Tigers lately, winning five straight decisions against his AL Central foe. Detroit hasn’t been quite as bad at the dish as expected, but current Tigers’ bats have combined for a minuscule .561 OPS against Carrasco and Detroit could be without their top two bats in Jeimer Candelario and Nicholas Castellanos tonight, which would give them a Triple-A looking lineup as a result. Go ahead and lock in Carrasco in a very favorable matchup at a pitcher-friendly venue tonight.
P – Joey Lucchesi (SD) – $8,100 vs. COL
The Rockies can be a real good offense against left-handed pitchers, however with how Lucchesi has pitched this season, especially at home, I’m liking his services tonight at a real attractive cost. On the year, Lucchesi sports a real nice 2.98 ERA to go along with a 26.7% strikeout rate. At home, he has a 2.87 ERA and a 26.8% strikeout rate. While his home/road numbers are similar, his 3.50 FIP at home is much better than his 4.69 mark on the road. In the very pitcher-friendly Petco Park, I have no problem rostering the 24-year-old left-hander tonight.
C – Alex Avila (ARI) – $2,500 vs. MIL
Using Carrasco and our pricey four-man stack tonight will have us looking for some value plays this evening and the first one is Avila here in the catcher spot. Avila is off to an atrocious .130 average this season, but this guy certainly has pop against right-handed pitching. In 2017, he posted a .208 ISO and .876 OPS against righties and hit all 14 of his home runs against them. Against right-hander Junior Guerra and in the hitter-friendly Chase Field, I will look for Avila to get things turned around tonight.
1B – Yonder Alonso (CLE) – $3,500 vs. DET
While Mike Fiers’ splits are fairly even over his career, he has been hit hard by left-handed hitters this season, so let’s roll out a four-man Indians’ left-handed stack tonight. Alonso has continued his upstart power stroke from last season into this year with nine homers so far this season. He sports a powerful .231 ISO against right-handed pitching while he is 6 for 14 (.429) with a pair of doubles in his career against Fiers, good for a 1.101 OPS.
2B – Ketel Marte (ARI) – $3,000 vs. MIL
We have completed an early mini-stack here with Marte. The switch-hitting Marte has been better against lefties than he has righties this season, but his career batting average is 31 points higher against righties. Marte and Avila should come a 5-7 mini-stack in the Diamondbacks’ lineup tonight, and some production from either of them would go a long way for this lineup as a low-owned pair on a short slate. Marte doesn’t have much power, but does run a little bit with 23 steals over 1,024 major league at-bats.
3B – Jose Ramirez (CLE) – $5,000 vs. DET
Ramirez got off to a slow start out of the gate this season, but he’s back to his All-Star level once again. Entering tonight’s contest, he sports excellent cross-category numbers in the form of 12 homers, six steals, 26 runs and 27 RBIs on the year. The switch-hitter has a massive .323 ISO and .981 OPS against right-handed pitching this season and his a career .364 hitter off of Tigers’ righty Mike Fiers.
SS – Francisco Lindor (CLE) – $5,200 vs. DET
This guy is white-hot entering tonight’s contest. Over his last 11 games, Lindor is 24 for 49 (.490) with eight home runs, seven doubles, 14 RBIs and 16 runs scored. The Indians are projected to score a slate-high 5.2 runs tonight, and as the leadoff hitter, Lindor has massive cross-category upside. He is hitting for tonnes of power right now and is essentially the hottest bat in the big leagues as we speak.
OF – Michael Brantley (CLE) – $4,200 vs. DET
Let’s complete our four-man Indians stack here before we move on to our mini-stack to complete the lineup. Brantley has done some damage himself lately, going 6 for 14 with two homers, a double, nine RBIs and six runs scored over his last three games. Brantley is expected to hit in the valueable two-hole for tonight’s contest which would give us a 1,2,3,5 stack here as a result. We should have real high hopes for this matchup against a pitcher who is getting lit up by left-handed bats this season.
OF – Robbie Grossman (MIN) – $3,000 vs. SEA
The Indians get Mariners’ lefty Wade Leblanc for tonight’s contest at Target Field in Minnesota. Leblanc has been solid with a 3.18 ERA on the season, but this more about the bats than it is the pitcher. Grossman has hit lefties for a nice .316 average on the young season, and prior to down year last year, he hit lefties for a huge .232 ISO and .994 OPS in the 2016 season. Let’s hope he can find that 2016 stroke in this matchup tonight.
OF – Byron Buxton (MIN) – $3,000 vs. SEA
Our Twins’ mini-stack is complete here with Buxton who is struggling this season after what looked like his coming out party in the second half of the 2017 season. Buxton hit 16 homers and stole 29 bases last year, showing the type of power/speed upside the Twins knew he has when they drafted him second overall in 2012. He finished last year with a .282 average and .792 OPS against lefties, but he posted a massive .973 overall OPS in both July and August last year. He is capable, and we roll look for some low-owned production from this Twins mini-stack tonight.
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