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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – May 16th


Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks were good for the most part, however our Dodgers stack certainly let us down. Our pitching was excellent as Jose Berrios hurled 7.1 frames of one-run ball to go along with a whopping 10 strikeouts while notching the win over the Cardinals. Noah Syndergaard wasn’t at his very best, but still allowed just two earned runs with seven strikeouts over five innings of work which landed him in the win column as well. Our Mariners stack did lots of damage as Ryon Healy homered as part of a two-hit, two-run night while Mitch Haniger tripled as part of a three-hit, two-RBI night. Unfortunately Nelson Cruz exited the game after being hit by a pitch and scoring a run, and Mike Zunino has just one single, so those two factors dragged some performance some. However, it was the Dodgers stack that disappointed as their only two run came via home runs from players we did not roster. A tough break there as they all had great matchups, but the Dodgers’ woes continue. Let’s look for a more complete lineup on tonight’s small five-game main slate!

*Both of tonight’s stacks have weather concern, so make sure to check in on the weather situation prior to lock!

P – Chris Sale (BOS) – $11,800 vs. OAK

Sale is one of three elite aces on this slate along with Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander, but I am going to roll with Sale for matchup reasons. Scherzer has a lethal Yankees’ team to face while Verlander is on the road in a matchup against a good Angels’ offense. While Oakland’s offense has been good this year, they haven’t been all that good against left-handed pitching. Against lefties, Oakland ranks 18th with a .734 team OPS while they also sport a rather high 25.3% strikeout rate against them too. Enter Sale who sports a sparking 2.17 ERA entering tonight’s contest to go along with a whopping 34.2% strikeout rate. He also has a 1.50 ERA at home this season, so let’s lock Sale into our lineups tonight.

P – Walker Buehler (LAD) – $8,500 vs. MIA

While the Dodgers’ bats haven’t been giving their starting pitching much run support in order to notch wins, I like Buehler’s upside tonight against the lowly Marlins. Miami is the league’s worst team against right-handed pitching as their .616 team OPS against righties is easily the worst mark in the majors while they also have a high 26.6% strikeout rate against them. Enter Buehler who brings a dynamite 1.64 ERA into play, and his 1.65 FIP suggests he has indeed been that dominant. He also has a huge 31.4% strikeout rate on the year, giving him oodles of value upside at an extremely attractive price.

C – Pedro Severino (WAS) – $2,600 vs. NYY

The Nationals get Yankees’ lefty C.C. Sabathia tonight in Washington, and while Sabathia has had an excellent year so far, he is coming off his worst start of the season. His FIP is almost a run and a half more than his ERA, so more regression should be ahead for the veteran lefty. Severino doesn’t boast a ton of raw power, but he’s swinging a hot bat with a six-game hitting streak entering tonight’s contest with four doubles in that span. He is an extremely cheap right-handed bat against the lefty and I have no problem rostering him while he’s hot.

1B – Mark Reynolds (WAS) – $3,500 vs. NYY

Reynolds made a huge impact in his first game with the Nationals as he clubbed a pair of home runs as part of a three-hit debut Sunday against Arizona. One caveat with Reynolds is he appears to be a reverse-splits hitter who hits righties for more power than lefties, but considering Sabathia is much worse to righties, I don’t mind utilizing the slugger in a four-man Nationals stack. He is a bit of a boom-or-bust play given his 30 homers and 29.5% strikeout rate last season, however he has nice value upside out of the projected cleanup spot this evening.

2B – Howie Kendrick (WAS) – $3,300 vs. NYY

Kendrick certainly does not have reverse splits tendencies as he’s at his best when facing left-handed pitching. Last season, the veteran infielder posted a huge .901 OPS against left-handed pitching, although he’s off to a somewhat slow start this season against southpaws. That said, he’s off to a hot start in general with a .302 average on the year, and he’s also 11 for his last 28 (.393) with three doubles over his last seven games. He’s now up to a whopping 14 doubles on the year, so let’s utilize his extra-base power at a very low cost tonight.

3B – Rafael Devers (BOS) – $3,600 vs. OAK

Devers is off to a nice start in the power department with seven home runs and eight doubles on the young season. One caveat here is the fact A’s starter Trevor Cahill has been good this season and sports reverse-splits numbers, meaning he is better against lefties than he is righties. Regardless, Boston is a top two offense in baseball and Devers hits righties for real nice power as evidenced by his big .198 ISO from 2017.

SS – Xander Bogaerts (BOS) – $4,100 vs. OAK

The injury Bogaerts sustained in early April hasn’t stopped him from hitting. Entering play tonight, Bogaerts owns a .308 average on the season, and a .296 average since returning from injury. It’s good for this matchup that Bogaerts is hitting .309 with a huge .247 ISO and .893 OPS against right-handed pitching. With four homers and 12 doubles on the year, we can feel good about his extra-base upside against a right-hander tonight.

OF – Michael Taylor (WAS) – $2,800 vs. NYY

We are getting another dirt cheap right-handed bat into the lineup tonight against Sabathia in the form of Michael Taylor. Yes, Taylor is hitting just .186 on the year, but he brings some real nice cross-category upside to the table here with three homers, nine doubles, 19 runs scored and 10 steals on the season. He has a huge .293 ISO against lefties on the season, so I very much like his value upside at this sub-$3K price tonight.

OF – J.D. Martinez (BOS) – $5,000 vs. OAK

This guy needs to be considered one of the very best hitters in the league right now. Martinez has blasted 11 homers and 10 doubles already this season, and it doesn’t matter who is on the mound. Last year he absolutely demolished left-handed pitching, but this year it’s been righties he’s liked more. Martinez owns a ridiculous .336 ISO and 1.068 OPS against right-handed pitching and has hit 10 of his 11 homers and eight of his 10 doubles against them. He’s also homered twice over his last three games.

OF – Andrew Benintendi (BOS) – $4,300 vs. OAK

Yes, it would have been nice to get Mookie Betts into this lineup, but the cost didn’t allow it. Besides, Benintendi is swinging the bat better than he has all year right now as he’s riding an eight-game hitting streak into tonight’s game. He has two homers and three doubles over that stretch as well as six RBIs, seven runs scored and two stolen bases. The cross-category upside is real here as he hits in the extremely valueable two-hole tonight.
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