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DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – May 17th


Our Boston stacked mashed, our pitching was okay, but as per the warning in yesterday’s article, the Nationals ran into some weather and their matchup with the Yankees ended up being postponed. Therefore, your results would have depended on who you used to replace our four-man Nationals stack, but at least the Red Sox got you off to a great start. Our pitching was decent, but not great. Chris Sale stuck out nine and got the win, but pitched just five innings and yielded two earned runs. Walker Buehler didn’t fare as well, striking out seven in five innings of work, but also yielded four earned runs and ended up with a no decision. Xander Bogaerts had a three-run homer and J.D. Martinez added a two-run shot to lead our Red Sox group while Andrew Benintendi enjoyed a two-hit night and scored a run. Let’s move on to tonight’s nine-game main slate and see if we can do some more damage!

P – Chad Kuhl (PIT) – $8,200 vs. SD

Pitching is very thin on tonight’s slate, so we’re going to go with a couple of cost-efficient arms that I believe have upside. It begins here with Kuhl who takes on a San Diego Padres team that is one of the very worst offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching. The Padres rank 29th with a team .648 OPS against righties while their 305 strikeouts against righties are the second most in baseball. Enter Kuhl who got off to a rough start this season, but has settled into a decent 4.17 ERA in eight starts. He has a decent 21.9% strikeout rate on the year, but he reaches just shy of 100 mph with his four-seam fastball which could give a high-strikeout team like the Padres plenty of trouble tonight.

P – Marco Gonzales (SEA) – $6,600 vs. DET

For the second time in as many starts Gonzales will take on the Detroit Tigers, this time at home in the pitching-friendly confines of Safeco Field in Seattle. Gonzales yielded four runs in last week’s start against Detroit, but all of those came in his final inning of work. He brings a tough 5.31 ERA into action, but his 3.39 FIP and .405 BABIP against suggest better luck is coming for the young left-hander. Gonzales also brings a nice 23.3% strikeout rate into action, so I am willing to roll the dice on the Mariners’ southpaw tonight.

C – Willson Contreras (CHC) – $4,400 vs. ATL

We have much more money to work with in our lineup than usual, so let’s spend up a bit and get ourselves a solid lineup. It begins here with Contreras who is the top bat at the catching position on the slate. Contreras got off to a slow start in the home run department, but has launched three homers over his last five starts. Contreras was an absolute lefty masher in 2017, but in 2017 he is clobbering righties to the tune of a .235 ISO and .861 OPS in the year. Out of the cleanup spot, Contreras brings a high ceiling into action tonight against Braves’ rookie righty-hander Mike Soroka.

1B – Joey Gallo (TEX) – $4,300 vs. CWS

Anthony Rizzo is certainly okay in this lineup too with a Cubs stack, but I am also utilizing a Rangers stack and Gallo has actually been the better bat of the two so far this season. He’s never going to hit for a high average, but Gallo arguably sports the most raw power in the MLB. After hitting 41 home runs last season, Gallo has nine so far this time around. He takes on veteran righty James Shields of the White Sox who is certainly prone to the home run ball with a 2.08 HR/9 in 2017 and a 1.98 HR/9 in 2016. This game is also in the hitter-friendly confines of Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago with a strong wind blowing out to Gallo’s pull field in right.

2B – Rougned Odor (TEX) – $3,100 vs. CWS

Odor is a lot like Gallo in the sense that he is a boom-or-bust play. Last season, Odor hit just .204, but he also hit 30 homers. In 2016, he hit a much better .271 with 33 homers. There’s no denial the power is there, and there’s a home run-prone arm on the mound at a venue that yields plenty of long balls, and there is also the wind factor as well. Odor has three hits, including a double, in two starts since coming off the DL.

3B – Kris Bryant (CHC) – $5,300 vs. ATL

Bryant is feeling it at the plate right now and we want to ride this guy while he’s hot, especially in a stack. Over his last three games, the former NL MVP is 6 for 13 with a homer and a double to go along with three RBIs and a run scored. Bryant is absolutely destroying lefties again this year, but still owns a powerful .194 ISO and .848 OPS against righties. We can afford him, so we are definitely going to roll with the slugging third baseman tonight.

SS – Jurickson Profar (TEX) – $3,300 vs. CWS

The switch-hitting Profar has done the majority of his damage this season against left-handed pitching, but out of the projected three-hole against a poor righty I have no problem rostering him at what should be relatively low ownership. Profar has six hits over his last five games, and has made the most of them with four of those knocks coming as doubles. He’s been serviceable to be sure in the absence of Odor and Elvis Andrus in the middle of the Texas infield and could bring nice value upside to the table tonight.

OF – Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – $4,100 vs. ATL

I love this guy’s power against right-handed pitching. Schwarber got off to a terrible start last season, but posted a .276 ISO on the season against righties and an overall .306 ISO in the second half of 2017. Schwarber has powered up for seven homers so far this season while he brings a .274 ISO and .892 OPS into action against right-handed pitchers this season.

OF – Nomar Mazara (TEX) – $4,400 vs. CWS

Completing our four-man Rangers stack is Mazara who is off to a fabulous start to the season, especially against right-handed pitching. He’s already connected for 10 home runs on the season and owns a .234 ISO and .882 OPS on the year against right-handed pitching. With Shields likely providing opponents with the most home run upside on the slate combined with the field conditions at the hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, I have high hopes for this Rangers group tonight.

OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – $5,800 vs. BAL

I wanted to get some Red Sox exposure in here, and while he will see high ownership, I will still utilize Betts and his high floor tonight at home against right-hander Kevin Gausman of the Orioles. On top of mashing righties for a .318 ISO and 1.072 OPS on the season, Betts has clobbered Gausman in their history. In 29 career at bats against Gausman, Betts has produced a .414 average with three homers and a double, good for a 1.243 OPS. Roster him with confidence tonight.
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