Happy Tuesday folks! As is the norm on Tuesdays, we have a jam-packed 15-game slate on our hands this evening! Let’s get into the lineup and see if we can rake in some profits on tonight’s maximum slate!
*Writer’s note: From now on, I am going to be avoiding games with poor weather outlooks. If there is a major pitcher I am avoiding due to weather I will mention that in my articles. I will also mention high-upside stacks that I am avoiding due to weather and will also list the games with weather concerns.
SD @ WAS
ATL @ PHI
P – Gerrit Cole (HOU) – $12,900 vs. SF
It’s a tough call at the top of the pitcher’s list tonight as Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole easily represent the top two arms on the slate. That said, I’m going with Cole as he is the one pitching at home in his matchup against the visiting Giants. Cole has also been the better pitcher of the two this season as he enters play sporting a 1.75 ERA while his 1.94 FIP suggests he has indeed been as dominant as that ERA suggests. Cole is also striking out hitters to the tune of a massive 40.8% clip on the season. It’s safe to say he is liking his new digs in Houston where the Astros sport the best rotation in all of baseball.
P – Domingo German (NYY) – $6,600 vs. TEX
I am looking to extract some value out of German as he takes on the Rangers tonight in Texas. German has been solid in two starts for the Yankees this season, posting a 4.26 ERA while his 3.87 FIP suggests he’s been a little unlucky so far. German is also striking out batters at a real nice 26.7% clip while he did so at a 29% clip last season in seven games out of the Yankees’ bullpen. The Rangers have not been a good offense against right-handed pitching this season, ranking 26th with a team .671 OPS against while striking out at a big 28.7% rate against righties. He also has a good shot at run support with the Yankees projected to score a slate-high 5.4 runs tonight.
C – Manny Pina (MIL) – $3,200 vs. ARI
Another team projected to score north of five runs tonight are the Brewers who take on right-hander Matt Koch and the Diamondbacks at the hitter-friendly Miller Park in Milwaukee tonight. Koch has been a reverse-splits pitcher in his big league time and is allowing a .974 OPS to righties on the season. The Brewers are our cost-efficient stack in this lineup beginning with Pina as he looks to get it going against righties. He sports an OPS under .700 against them at the moment, but posted a solid .169 ISO and .769 OPS against them in 2017. Pina also sports a powerful .200 ISO at home this season compared to a .134 mark on the road.
1B – Josh Bell (PIT) – $4,100 vs. CIN
The Pirates are our main stack tonight as they take on Reds’ righty Matt Harvey tonight at the hitter-friendly confines of Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Harvey has struggled big-time against left-handed bats in recent seasons, so we are going to pick on him with a four-man lefty stack from the Pirates tonight beginning here with the switch-hitting Bell. Bell has hit all three of his homers this season off of righties while he’s enjoyed success against Harvey in the past while going 3 for 6 with a homer against the former All-Star. Right field at this venue is very susceptible to the home run ball so we should feel good about this lefty stack tonight.
2B – Jonathan Villar (MIL) – $3,600 vs. ARI
Although I mentioned Koch is worse to right-handed batters, I will still roll with the switch-hitting Villar who will hit from the left side tonight. I like Villar’s stolen base upside as he’s already swiped eight bases this season. He isn’t bringing much power to the plate with just a pair of homers, three doubles and a triple on the year, but he’s reached double digit homers each of the past two years. I wouldn’t use
Villar as a one off play tonight, but I don’t mind him as part of a stack against a pitcher coming off an eight-run shelling in his last start.
3B – Matt Chapman (OAK) – $4,300 vs. SEA
There wasn’t a third baseman who monetarily fit into these stacks, although Travis Shaw was close. Nonetheless, I’ll go with the only one-off play in this lineup in the form of Athletics’ third baseman Matt Chapman. Chapman is having a real nice season and is hitting righties for more power than lefties, which bodes well for his matchup against Mariners’ right-hander Mike Leake. Chapman enters tonight’s contest sporting a real powerful .240 ISO and .850 OPS against righties this season after posting a .245 ISO against righties as a rookie in 2017. He is a good looking young bat so we will roll with the A’s third baseman tonight at home.
SS – Orlando Arcia (MIL) – $2,800 vs. ARI
The only other time I’ve used Arcia in these lineups he homered for us, although it was just one of two homers. The good news is the right-handed Arcia is hitting well over 100 points higher against righties this season than he is lefties, which means we have a double reverse-splits situation on our hands here. Arcia has also stole a couple bases this season after stealing 14 a season ago, so we have some stolen base upside here as well. The Brewers are projected to score a lot of runs, and it would bode extremely well if the bottom of the order got the job done tonight for Milwaukee.
OF – Gregory Polanco (PIT) – $4,400 vs. CIN
We will get back to our Pirates stack with a trio of outfielders who will take on Harvey this evening. Polanco brings nice cross-category upside with him into this matchup tonight out of the projected two-hole for Clint Hurdle’s club. He likes to hit right-handed pitching as evidenced by his .242 ISO and .811 OPS against them this season, and he’s also hit Harvey for power with a homer and a triple against him in just nine at-bats, good for a 1.141 OPS. The ballpark in Cincinnati also plays right into the hands of Polanco.
OF – Corey Dickerson (PIT) – $3,900 vs. CIN
Another powerful left-handed bat is Corey Dickerson who is in his first year with the Pirates. Dickerson enters tonight’s contest sporting a .206 ISO and .837 OPS on the year against righties with all five of his homers coming against opposite-handed pitching. Dickerson isn’t afraid to run on the basepaths either as he’s stole three bases this season after swiping just four all of last year. That said, we’re definitely here for the power upside as Dickerson has hit 51 homers over the last two full seasons.
OF – Austin Meadows (PIT) – $4,100 vs. CIN
Last man up is Meadows who is off to a nice start to his big league career. Meadows is 5 for 11 since his promotion from Triple-A and he hit his first big league homer in Sunday’s game against the Padres. Meadows doesn’t have a ton of power in his minor league history, but he does have stolen base upside as he has swiped eight bases in just 136 at bats at Triple-A this year. He swiped a base in his MLB debut on Friday night, and we will look for him to anchor this stack out of the projected seven-hole tonight.
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