We have another one-game MLB DFS slate tonight on DraftKings as the NLCS switches from Milwaukee to Los Angeles after the Dodgers earned a split at Miller Park over the weekend.
As was the case on the weekend, we have the showdown style of contest on this one-gamer tonight, which means we need to select at least one player from each team with no more than four hitters on one team.
Let’s get into the picks and see if we can start our week off on the right note!
FLEX – Walker Buehler (LAD) – $16,100 vs. MIL
The price here is huge, however the good news with the showdown format is there are plenty of low-cost options that we can use to offset the salary. After a strong effort in game 163 to win the division over the Rockies, Buehler was touched up for five earned runs in his NLDS start against the Braves. The postseason is a different cat than the regular season and seeing a rookie struggle in his first playoff start is no surprise. That said, I like a bounce back effort from the right-hander tonight as that five-run effort was the only the second time he’s allowed more than two earned runs over his last 12 starts. Buehler posted a 27.9% strikeout clip in the regular season and went at least six innings in six straight starts to finish the regular season before the NLDS start. I’m willing to pay up for the ceiling tonight.
FLEX – Joc Pederson (LAD) – $9,300 vs. MIL
Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin gets the nod to begin tonight’s contest in L.A., and Pederson has simply been a beast in the power department against right-handers this season. In the regular season, Pederson clubbed righties to the tune of a huge .295 ISO and impressive .893 OPS while 24 of his 25 long balls came against a right-handed pitcher this season. He’s logged just three at-bats in this series, but he’s 2 for 3 with two runs scored to go along with a walk. He was also a beast in the final month of the regular season with a massive .343 ISO and .941 OPS in September and that game 163 combined and has a pair of homers off of Chacin across only 13 career at-bats, so I am going to bank on some more production from Pederson out of that super-valuable leadoff spot tonight.
FLEX – Max Muncy (LAD) – $10,200 vs. MIL
It’s real hard not to roster Muncy regardless of who is on the mound for the opposition, so fade at your own risk. I am going to include him here as I am rolling out a Dodgers stack. Muncy punished right-handed pitching to the tune of a .334 ISO and 1.001 OPS in the regular season. He also improved on those numbers at home against righties to the tune of a .368 ISO and 1.038 OPS. Muncy is 1 for 3 in this series, but also with a pair of walks and a pair of runs scored. His power is among the best or even the very best in this series, so I’m locking in the breakout slugger without hesitation tonight.
FLEX – Cody Bellinger (LAD) – $7,700 vs. MIL
Bellinger may not be enjoying the same massive season he broke out with in his rookie season last year, but he still clobbered right-handed pitching and he’s also enjoyed plenty of success against Chacin in their history against one another. Bellinger posted a powerful .240 ISO and .880 OPS in the regular season against right-handed pitching, although he’s yet to get anything going in six at-bats this series. Still, Bellinger has went 5 for 12 (.417) with two homers, a triple and a stolen base in his career against Chacin. I like the power we are getting into this lineup tonight and Bellinger comes to use at a more than reasonable price tag.
FLEX – Kenley Jansen (LAD) – $3,200 vs. MIL
Jansen locked down the save in Game 2 in Milwaukee, and I am looking for his team to give him a save opportunity again tonight at home. Since a shaky game 163 against the Rockies in which he surrendered a pair of long balls, Jansen has been very good in the playoffs as he’s been scoreless in his three outings and three innings with two saves over that span. He’s also struck out four in those three innings. Essentially what we are looking for is an inning of work, a save and possible at least one strikeout from Jansen which would be totally satisfactory to me as a complement to the high price we paid for Buehler at the top.
FLEX – Josh Hader (MIL) – $3,500 vs. LAD
Hader delivered for this lineup in a big way on Friday night when he pitched three innings of shutout ball to go along with four strikeouts. That production earned him 25 DraftKings points and blew past his value at the small $3,400 price tag. He was unavailable for Game 2 and the series had an off day yesterday, so I believe Hader is going to be fully available for tonight’s Game 3. The may not pitch as many innings as he did on Friday, but the strikeout upside here is crazy as he was the second-highest strikeout pitcher this season among qualified relievers next to the Yankees’ Aroldis Chapman. A couple innings of work a 3-4 strikeouts would be just dandy from the left-hander tonight while I am still digging the price we are getting the strikeout artist at again this evening.