We had some nice picks with last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks, however we also had a couple longshot plays aimed at GPPs that didn’t pan out.
Our top pitcher Rich Hill gave us a nice outing as he hurled five innings of one-run ball to go along with six strikeouts. He yielded a run just before he left the game, and unfortunately got just one run of support, so he took a tough-luck no decision.
Our GPP pitcher Joe Kelly unfortunately didn’t eclipse value as he came in and pitched just a third of an inning and did not record a strikeout. Starter Nathan Eovaldi got the win in this one.
Our Red Sox stack were the best bats in our lineup, however we unfortunately did not roster Jackie Bradley Jr. who broke the game wide open with an eighth-inning Grand Slam to put the Red Sox up 8-2. That said, we did have Steve Pearce who hit a solo home run as well as J.D. Martinez who lined an RBI double to right. Mookie Betts also singled and scored.
Our three-man Dodgers stack didn’t pan out, but Austin Barnes singled and walked giving us a little bit of value there while Chris Taylor singled and walked twice. That said, the stack ended up hurting us.
Lastly, our one-off bat Hernan Perez did not start and simply pinch ran.
Let’s see if we can get some more all-round production on another two-game slate tonight while tonight’s lineup will also be aimed at GPPs.
P – Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – $8,700 vs. MIL
I like me some Clayton Kershaw at home and that’s where he will be tonight in hopes of giving the Dodgers a 3-2 series lead in the Best of 7 NLCS against the Brewers. Kershaw didn’t enjoy a very fun road start to kick off this series in Game 1 in Milwaukee, however Kershaw was flat out dominant in his lone start of these playoffs at home. Kershaw initially silenced his previous postseason demons with eight dominant shutout innings at home against the Braves in Game 2 of the NLDS. The Brewers are the best offense Kershaw has faced so far in the postseason, and that showed through in Game 2. However, as -174 favorites in this one I like Kershaw’s chances at redemption in tonight’s Game 5.
P – Joe Kelly (BOS) – $4,000 vs. HOU
Joe Kelly again? Well, ya. Our group of bats doesn’t feature much differentiation for GPPs tonight, so I am looking for Kelly to be that longshot difference-maker tonight. He pitched just one third of an inning last night, however that means that Kelly should be available for multi-inning work tonight. Rick Porcello is starting the game for the Red Sox, but that’s a very good Houston offense and there’s a good chance that Porcello doesn’t pitch more than five innings tonight. That could leave the 6th and 7th innings to Kelly in a perfect world before Matt Barnes or one of the other back end members of the Boston bullpen sets up Craig Kimbrel for a save. At the end of the day, we are throwing up a hope and a prayer that Kelly can get into this game for two innings, notch a couple strikeouts and record a win for his club.
C – Sandy Leon (BOS) – $2,700 vs. HOU
As far as bats go, Leon will be the lowest-owned member of our lineup as he is projected to be the Red Sox catcher tonight against Charlie Morton and the Astros. I am not going to sit here and tell you Leon has big-time upside, but I will tell you that the switch-hitting backstop hit for more power against right-handers like Morton than he did lefties this season. He homered five times and hit 12 doubles in just 265 at-bats this season, so the power isn’t horrific, either. He also forms a wrap-around stack with the top of the Red Sox lineup tonight as he’s projected to hit ninth in the order, so perhaps Leon can get on base a couple times and score a couple runs hitting in front of the future AL MVP this evening.
1B – David Freese (LAD) – $4,100 vs. MIL
Freese’s postseason resume speaks for itself as he’s a .278 career hitter in the playoffs across 180 at-bats, however also owns an impressive .858 OPS in that time as well. While a lot of that damage was done earlier in his career, Freese lines up nicely against left-hander Wade Miley tonight out of the projected three-hole for the Dodgers this evening. In his career against Miley, Freese has gone 7 for 20 (.350) with a homer. He also hit .385 with a huge 1.130 OPS in 39 at-bats with the Dodgers in the regular season, so let’s kick off a four-man Dodgers stack with the veteran tonight.
2B – Jose Altuve (HOU) – $4,800 vs. BOS
Altuve is bothered by a sore knee at the moment, but he is still swinging a nice bat after a two-hit effort in last night’s game while he also scored both of Houston’s runs as well. Altuve also displayed his lightning-quick hands as he turned around a 101 mph fastball from Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi for the Astros’ first hit of last night’s loss. His stolen base upside is lowered with that bad knee, but he’s still an extremely reliable bat to hit for extra-base power and score some runs in the process. He’s also homered twice and doubled in just career at-bats against Porcello, so I will turn to the reliable veteran for tonight’s Game 4.
3B – Justin Turner (LAD) – $4,700 vs. MIL
If you follow these lineups you already know that Turner is a lefty-masher, but he only got one at-bat against Brewers starter and left-hander Gio Gonzalez last night, which led to an 0 for 5 night. Turner posted a .244 ISO and a 1.028 OPS against lefties in the regular season while he’s a career .306 hitter with a huge .953 OPS in the postseason. He’s projected to hit second in the lineup tonight, meaning he will technically lead off this stack with strong cross-category upside to boot.
SS – Manny Machado (LAD) – $5,000 vs. MIL
Machado has been the most controversial player in the series, but he’s also been one of the best bats in the series. After notching another hit in last night’s game, Machado now sports an .894 OPS for the playoffs and a .353 average and .977 OPS for this series, including a homer. He has enjoyed some quality career success against the southpaw Miley as Manny is 4 for 14 (.286) with a homer against the veteran and his former teammate in Baltimore. I will simply ride the hot bat of the free agent to be.
OF – Matt Kemp (LAD) – $4,200 vs. MIL
Kemp completes our four-man Dodgers stack as he clobbered left-handed pitching this season. As recently announced, Kemp is up for comeback player of the year this season, as voted on by the players, thanks in large part to mashing left-handed pitching to the tune of a .235 ISO and .828 OPS en route to a surprise All-Star appearance. Kemp’s been fairly quiet by going 2 for 8 this series with both hits going for singles, but he owns a career .200 ISO against Wade Miley across a large 35 at-bat sample, so he’s got some pop upside here. Kemp’s bat is an important one tonight as he will be tasked with driving in the other players in this stack as he is hitting in the projected five-hole tonight to anchor this stack.
OF – Andrew Benintendi (BOS) – $5,300 vs. HOU
We will complete our lineup with a pair of Red Sox outfielders that form a three-man stack with Sandy Leon in the catcher spot above. Benintendi notched a first-inning double in last night’s game and also scored a run. He brings excellent cross-category upside to the table tonight as he hit right-handers for a .184 ISO and .877 OPS in the regular season while he stole 21 bases overall, 17 of which came against righties. I am also liking the fact he has gone 4 for 10 with a homer and a double in his career against Charlie Morton. His bat is also important as he will be tasked with possibly driving in Leon and the Red Sox leadoff hitter tonight at the tail end of our three-man stack.
OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – $5,800 vs. HOU
Last but certainly not least is Betts who will be that leadoff hitter for the Red Sox tonight against Morton. There’s not a ton I can say to inform you of how much upside is here other than to say Betts clobbered righties for a .271 ISO and 1.037 OPS in the regular season while he swiped 30 bases as well. He’s 3 for 8 (.375) with a double in his career against Morton as well. He’s more of a lock and load player and will see some high ownership tonight, but it’s a risky fade to be sure.