Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks actually did a decent job despite the Dodgers dropping Game 1 of the World Series by a 8-4 score. Hopefully you used some of these picks to get into the money!
The Chris Sale fade worked well as he only went 4+ innings on the night, but Clayton Kershaw didn’t any better as he hurled four innings and allowed five earned runs while striking out five.
Our bats were led by a home run from Matt Kemp while David Freese had two hits, Manny Machado had a hit and three RBI while Brian Dozier walked and scored a run. Our lone Red Sox hitter Steve Pearce also walked and scored a run.
Machado and Kemp were nice plays, however we needed more to get into profit territory.
Let’s improve our lineup on tonight’s showdown slate!
FLEX – J.D. Martinez (BOS) – $10,400 vs. LAD
Martinez got in on the action in last night’s win with two hits including a double and two RBI, showing the type of floor he can bring into action as he takes on left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu to start tonight’s game. After an excellent regular season, Ryu has scuffled over his last two playoff starts and I don’t think he or David Price are long for this game, so we are going to load up the bats in this lineup. Martinez obviously crushes both lefties and righties, which is good because he’s essentially matchup-proof. Against lefties like Ryu, Martinez produced a .244 ISO and .966 OPS in the regular season. However, at home against lefties, Martinez posted an enormous .344 ISO and 1.069 OPS. That green monster in left field is no problem for Martinez and it would not be surprising to see him launch one over the big left field wall in this one tonight.
FLEX – Xander Bogaerts (BOS) – $9,500 vs. LAD
Bogaerts seems to get left out when we think of power bats on the Red Sox and while he sported some notable reverse-splits this season, it’s safe to say he will see both lefties and righties tonight despite facing a lety to start. Against lefties, Bogaerts produced a .139 ISO and .809 OPS. However against righties, the shortstop posted a huge .259 ISO and .901 OPS. It would be nice for Bogaerts sake if the Red Sox knocked Ryu out early as he increased his production to a .332 ISO and 1.010 OPS against right-handers at home this season. He’s hitless in his last two games, but Bogaerts boasts a bat that you can’t keep quiet long so I will look for him to get back to swinging it out of the projected cleanup spot tonight.
FLEX – Steve Pearce (BOS) – $6,700 vs. LAD
Once again I can’t resist Pearce at this price against a left-handed starter. The guy clobbered left-handers for a .255 ISO and .959 OPS in the regular season while he’s hit for a solid .775 OPS in these playoffs so far. Pearce produced very well for the Red Sox since coming over in a trade from the Blue Jays as he produced a .507 SLG and a .901 OPS in the regular season with his new club. He’s only seen 12 pitches from Ryu in his big league career, however Pearce’s bat is too powerful in this situation to fade at a sub-$7K price.
FLEX – Manny Machado (LAD) – $10,000 vs. BOS
Manny Machado is being booed wherever he goes lately, however there’s no denying that the guy is getting the job done for his club after driving in three of the Dodgers’ four runs in last night’s game. Machado is also matchup-proof as he sported fairly even lefty-righty splits in the regular season. Against lefties, he yielded a .297 average, .238 ISO and a .921 OPS. Against righties, he hit .298 with a .242 ISO and .897 OPS. He’s 3 for his last 7 at the plate and owns a rock-solid .797 OPS for the playoffs. I also like the fact he has enjoyed plenty of success in his career against David Price as Machado has gone 12 for 41 (.293) with five home runs and a double against the veteran southpaw. I think he keeps rolling against a very inconsistent arm tonight.
FLEX – Justin Turner (LAD) – $7,800 vs. BOS
Turner loves himself a left so there’s little doubt in my mind that I want him in this lineup tonight. Turner clobbered southpaws for a .244 ISO and 1.028 OPS in the regular season this year after hitting them for a huge .324 ISO and 1.181 OPS in the 2017 season. There aren’t too many current big leaguers who have enjoyed more playoff success than Turner as he owns a career .319 average and .948 OPS across 191 career playoff plate appearances. He’s only faced David price three times in his career, but Turner is 1 for 3 with a homer against him. This is simply too good of a matchup to pass on tonight.
FLEX – Kike Hernandez (LAD) – $5,600 vs. BOS
It’s not for sure that Hernandez starts this game, but even if he doesn’t I don’t mind his pop coming off the bench at low ownership. After all, he did hit 21 home runs in the regulars season in under 500 plate appearances, Unlike the 2017 season when he blasted lefties but struggled mightily against righties, Hernandez actually posted better power numbers against righties as he hit for a .243 ISO and .833 OPS against same-handed pitching, although he posted a rock-solid .185 ISO and .780 OPS against southpaws. Once again, it appears we have a matchup-proof player on our hands, and his ability to play almost every position on the field should ensure multiple at-bats tonight.