We couldn’t continue Monday’s success into Tuesday night’s slate with our free DraftKings MLB DFS Picks. Aside from our top pitcher, our picks were extremely unproductive and something we will look to move past quickly.
Our top pitcher Stephen Strasburg held up his end of the bargain by hurling six strong innings, allowing just two earned runs while striking out 11. The effort was enough to notch his ninth win of his injury-shortened season.
Our second pitcher Aaron Sanchez did not deliver the value we had hoped as he wasn’t able to build off an excellent start at Fenway in his prior outing. Sanchez lasted just four innings, allowing two earned runs, but also four this and three walks, and he struck out just one. Certainly not what we were after here.
Our top stack of the Brewers was utterly dominated by the Reds’ bullpen game as the Brewers as a team managed just three hits.
Our three-man Pirates stack was not any better as we received next to zero production there.
Finally, our one-off catcher Yan Gomes had a hit and an RBI, but we wanted more here as well.
A forgetful night to be sure, but the good news about baseball is we immediately get a chance for redemption on tonight’s 10-game main slate!
P – Carlos Carrasco (CLE) – $11,100 vs. CWS
After Corey Kluber chewed up the White Sox for 11 strikeouts in last night’s game, things don’t figure to get much easier for the White Sox tonight as they face right-hander Carlos Carrasco who is enjoying quite the season himself. Carrasco enters tonight’s contest sporting a 3.43 ERA on the season, but also a 3.00 FIP and 2.95 xFIP. Carrasco is also punching out opposing hitters at a whopping 28.8% clip for the season, a number that could very well grow tonight against a strikeout-happy White Sox club that owns the second-highest strikeout rate against right-handers this season at 25.4%. With the White Sox projected to score just 3.1 runs and the Indians at massive -290 favorites, Carrasco is a lock in my lineup tonight.
P – Chris Archer (PIT) – $7,700 vs. KC
Yes, Archer’s Pirates tenure hasn’t exactly been a smooth one so far, but there is plenty to like about his matchup against the Royals at home tonight, and I think he brings fantastic value upside to the table. First, the Royals rank 23rd with a .309 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Second, Archer is due for some positive regression as his 3.87 FIP and 3.69 xFIP are well under his 4.66 ERA for the season. Third, Archer brings solid strikeout upside with a 24.6% strikeout clip on the season. Finally, the Pirates sit as big -210 favorites right now and the Royals are projected to score just 3.3 runs, so I think we can extract some real nice value out of the right-hander tonight.
C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) – $3,900 vs. BOS
As good as David Price has been pitching over his last few starts, he’s been tattooed by the Yankees this season and I think we can get a very powerful stack at low ownership, so I am going to run with a three-man Yankees group tonight. Price owns a massive 12.19 ERA in three starts against the Bronx Bombers this season and owns a subpar 4.86 career ERA against the Yankees in 40 starts and 41 appearances and a 4.75 career ERA at new Yankee Stadium in 20 starts. Enter Sanchez who has clobbered lefties for a big .239 ISO on the season and he has also gone 6 for 12 with five home runs in his career against Price. I love this play at low ownership tonight.
1B – Yonder Alonso (CLE) – $4,200 vs. CWS
The Indians should be able to provide Carrasco with plenty of offense tonight against White Sox right-hander Dylan Covey tonight, a pitcher with a 5.64 ERA on the season and one that has allowed an .813 OPS to left-handed bats on the season and an .853 OPS on the road versus lefties. Enter Alonso who has hit for solid power against right-handers this season with a nice .199 ISO and .766 OPS while 19 of his 23 longballs have also come against righties. He’s 3 for 9 with a double in his career against Covey, but I like his pop as part of an Indians mini-stack tonight.
2B – Gleyber Torres (NYY) – $4,000 vs. BOS
The second member of our three-man Yankees stack is rookie of the year candidate Gleyber Torres who has handled left-handed with massive of power in his first big league season. In fact, he has obliterated left-handed pitching for a whopping .330 ISO and .948 OPS on the season. He has slowed down a little bit in the second half of the season, but has perked up lately by going 4 for 12 with two doubles and a run scored over his last three games. Those massive power numbers against lefties are really difficult to ignore, so I’m not thinking twice about throwing him into this stack tonight.
3B – David Bote (CHC) – $3,400 vs. ARI
We are going to roll out a second mini-stack tonight and that will be a couple of low-cost Cubs as they take on left-hander Robbie Ray in Arizona tonight. Ray has been good lately, but he has also been blown up on numerous occasions at home and owns a 5.37 ERA at Chase Field compared to a 2.95 ERA on the road this season. Enter Bote who has crushed left-handed pitching at the big league level this season to the tune of a .234 ISO and .879 OPS after posting a massive 1.240 OPS against lefties at Triple-A prior to his big league promotion. He holds excellent value upside in a favorable matchup tonight.
SS – Addison Russell (CHC) – $3,100 vs. ARI
Another cost-efficient Cub who owns nice value upside is Russell who should see tiny ownership on tonight’s 10-game slate. He’s not having his best year at the dish, but Russell still hit lefties well as he owns a .266 average, .128 ISO and .728 OSP against lefties this year, and although not great numbers, they still heavily outweigh his .243 average, .078 ISO and .628 OPS against righties. His numbers improve to a solid .161 ISO and .756 OPS against lefties on the road. He’s cold at the plate right now, however he fits in this lineup as a cost-efficient player in a mini-stack against a pitcher who has yielded a .965 OPS to right-handed bats at home this season.
OF – Jason Kipnis (CLE) – $4,200 vs. CWS
We will complete our Indians mini-stack here with Kipnis as he provides solid power/speed upside against a struggling right-hander in Covey. Kipnis homered in last night’s contest against the White Sox, his 16th homer of the season and 12th against a right-handed pitcher. Kipnis is hot at the dish right now with a .262 ISO and .833 OPS so far in the month of September while he’s homered three times in the month. Kipnis has also swiped seven bases this season, all of which have come against right-handed pitching. Finally, Kipnis is 5 for 10 with a homer in his career off of Covey. I have high hopes for this mini-stack tonight.
OF – Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) – $4,800 vs. BOS
Like his teammates before him, Stanton has absolutely clobbered left-handed pitching this season and also sports numbers against southpaws that are simply too big to ignore despite facing a tough lefty in Price. On the season, Stanton has mashed left-handed pitching to the tune of a massive .331 ISO and 1.052 OPS on the season. He’s homered just once in the month of September so far, but Stanton has fared well against Price, although without a homer against him, by going 6 for 16 (.375) with a double and a triple against the southpaw. He’s a lock for me given Price’s struggles against the Yankees this season, and mostly throughout his career.
OF – Steven Souza Jr. (ARI) – $3,500 vs. CHC
We needed a one-off value outfielder to complete this lineup tonight and my pick of the litter under the $3,600 mark is Souza who lines up against Cubs lefty Cole Hamels tonight. Hamels has cooled off a little bit since his white-hot start to his Cubs tenure, but I also like the fact that Souza is hitting left-handed pitching for a rock-solid .183 ISO and .753 OPS against lefties compared to his .116 ISO and .624 OPS against righties. Souza also brings some stolen base upside to the table tonight as he’s swiped six bases in his injury-shortened season and two of those have come against lefties. Finally, Souza is 1 for 3 with a homer in his career against Hamels, so I like his value upside as a one-off outfielder this evening.