We have a nine-game Monday MLB main slate on DraftKings this evening, so let’s get right into the money and get this week started on the right note!
P – Charlie Morton (HOU) – $11,100 vs. BAL
The Houston Astros, of course, were a very difficult club to beat at home last season and that figures to be the case again tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. After years of inconsistency and injuries with mostly the Pirates and then the Phillies, Morton exploded last season for a 10.00 K/9 in 2017, the highest mark of his long big league career. He added 14 wins and a 3.62 ERA to his resume, but that number dropped to 3.34 at home. He should also garner enough run support to grab the victory tonight.
P – Reynaldo Lopez (CWS) – $6,200 vs. TOR
Lopez is a little risky tonight against the Blue Jays, but I think the White Sox have a nice shot at winning this game, giving him the win over Jaime Garcia. Lopez is a former top prospect who posted a 4.72 ERA last season in 47.2 frames for the White Sox, albeit with a 5.99 K/9. That said, Lopez posted an 11.79 K/9 in the 2016 in Double-A in the Nationals system, giving hope to his strikeouts improving as we move forward. Nonetheless, he takes on a Blue Jays team tonight who sports a much weaker lineup than year’s past, so I’ll take a flier on the young right-hander tonight.
C – Welington Castillo (CWS) – $3,400 vs. TOR
Welington Castillo likes to face left-handed pitching and that exactly what he will see tonight against Jaime Garcia and the Blue Jays. Garcia is a traditional lefty who sports notably worse numbers against righties, so this is a fine matchup for the veteran catcher. He knocked lefties around for a .334 average, .226 ISO and a .937 OPS last season. Look for more power from Castillo in the hitting-friendly confines of the Rogers Centre tonight.
1B – Jose Abreu (CWS) – $4,500 vs. TOR
Speaking of lefty mashers, Abreu has big-time upside in this matchup tonight. Abreu clobbered lefties to the tune of a .356 average, .275 ISO and 1.033 OPS in the 2017 campaign. That season was not an outlier as Abreu has a career .239 ISO and .917 OPS against lefties while also posting an elite 39.7% hard contact rate against them. The Rogers Centre can be a launching pad, so don’t be surprised to see a long ball or two from the White Sox first baseman tonight.
2B – Jose Altuve (HOU) – $4,900 vs. BAL
Of course, there is little explanation required when rostering Altuve. He is a batting average machine who can get you a little bit of everything on any given night. For example, last season he hit .346 with 24 home runs, 81 RBIs, 112 runs scored while also stealing 32 bases. He is off to a terrific start this season with a .563 average with five runs scored a stolen base in just four games. The Astros should be able to tee off on Orioles’ righty Chris Tillman who is coming off a season where he posted an ugly 7.84 ERA.
3B – Matt Davidson (CWS) – $4,000 vs. TOR
Davidson flexed his muscle on opening day against Royals’ lefty Danny Duffy, so there’s big upside for him against an inferior lefty in Garcia tonight in Toronto. Davidson hit three homers on Opening Day, which is surreal, but not totally surprising considering his numbers against lefties. Last season, Davidson hit southpaws for a .205 ISO and now has a career .217 ISO against opposite-handed pitching. In a hitter-friendly venue, more power can be expected from the third baseman tonight.
SS – Carlos Correa (HOU) – $4,900 vs. BAL
Regardless of handedness, Correa just gets the job done. While he was excellent against lefties last season, Correa actually hit for more power against righties in the form of a .239 ISO against them compared to still-excellent .217 mark against lefties. He’s off to a fine start this season with a .438 average, a homer, four runs and five RBIs to go along with a stolen base across just 18 plate appearances thus far.
OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) – $3,300 vs. BAL
Reddick completes our second three-man stack of the night as he should be the first one to hit out of this stack in the two hole for the Astros. He put together a real nice campaign against righties last season, posting a .314 average, .190 ISO and .867 OPS against opposite-handed pitching to go along with 12 home runs. Out of that valueable two hole, his runs scored upside is big while he has plenty of top, especially against one of the worst pitchers on the slate.
OF – Khris Davis (OAK) – $4,600 vs. TEX
The Athletics are projected to score more than five runs in their matchup tonight against Bartolo Colon and the Texas Rangers. David is simply one of the top raw power bats in the game, posting another 40+ home run season last year with 43 after smacking 42 the previous year. In fact, he hits righties for more power than lefties as evidenced by his .293 ISO and .886 OPS against righties in 2017 compared to his .238 ISO and . 786 OPS against lefties.
OF – Stephen Piscotty (OAK) – $3,100 vs. TEX
With David and Piscotty we have a nice mini-stack against the super-veteran Colon tonight. Piscotty is coming off a down 2017 season with the Cardinals that was interrupted by injuries, but he hit 22 homers, drove in 85 runs and scored 86 runs in his last fully healthy season in 2016. The Athletics are certainly hoping for a rebound season as he could be one name to keep an eye on as a low-owned rebound candidate to begin the year.