We have a rock-solid 10-game MLB slate ahead of us on this Monday night! Let’s get locked in and grab some profits to get our week started on the right note.
P – Noah Syndergaard (NYM) – $12,300 vs. MIA
As far as pure strikeout and run prevention upside goes, it’s hard to like someone more than Noah Syndergaard tonight in Miami. This slate is loaded with arms, but Syndergaard’s strikeout rate coupled with the facts Miami is a poor offense in a pitcher’s park means he’s my top arm of the night. He hasn’t pitched overly deep into games this season with just 10 innings across two starts, but the powerful righty has already struck out 17 this season. He’s also only walked two in those 10 frames, so as long as he has his control, he should be able to rack up plenty more strikeouts in a favorable road matchup tonight.
P – Jakob Junis (KC) – $7,000 vs. SEA
It’s easy to spend up on arms on this slate, but I think Junis can give us the high-priced upside at a discounted price. He faced a weak Tigers’ offense in his season debut, but still hurled seven scoreless frames with six strikeouts on just three hits and a walk. Junis posted a 29.9% strikeout rate in his most recent work at the Triple-A level, and he displayed that strikeout upside in his first start of 2018. It’s also important to note he posted a 20:1 K:BB ratio in 14.1 innings in Spring Training as well. It looks like he has his control, and he’s been striking out plenty of batters as of late. He also pitches at home tonight in the pitcher-friendly confines of Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City against a Mariners’ team that’s missing their top power bat in Nelson Cruz at the moment.
C – Chris Iannetta (COL) – $4,000 vs. SD
The Rockies are facing a lefty at home, so sign me up for some right-handed bats in this matchup. In fact, the lefty is Clayton Richard who the Rockies have seen plenty over the last year and a bit and already roughed him up in his second start of the season in San Diego. Iannetta flashed plenty of power against southpaw pitching in 2017, posting a .263 ISO and a .967 OPS against them with six homers in just 80 at bats. He’s also 6 for 17 with two homers and two doubles for a career 1.274 OPS against Richard.
1B – Matt Carpenter (STL) – $3,300 vs. MIL
We have spent up at one pitcher spot and with the Rockies’ bats as well, so we need to find a cost-efficient stack to complement these pieces. I believe we have that here with the Cardinals. Jhoulys Chacin toes the rubber for the Brewers in St. Louis tonight, and he yielded an .852 OPS versus left-handed hitters away from the pitching-friendly confines of Petco Park last season with the Padres. Enter Carpenter who posted a .235 ISO and an .883 OPS against righties in 2017 and is 2 for 8 with a homer in his career against Chacin.
2B – Kolton Wong (STL) – $2,800 vs. MIL
Wong is a nice value look as part of this four-man Cardinals stack against Chacin. Wong is likely to hit at or near the bottom of the order, but can form a wrap-around stack with the top of the Cardinals’ lineup. He posted a real solid .288 average and .810 OPS against righties in 2017, and he’s also 3 for 6 with a double in his career against Chacin. Keep in mind Chacin has already been tagged for seven runs and 14 hits in just nine innings so far this season, so Wong certainly has value upside tonight.
3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) – $5,700 vs. SD
If you’re playing cash games tonight, there’s simply no way you can leave Arenado out of your lineup. First is the fact he absolutely clobbered lefties at home last season to the tune of a .446 ISO and 1.347 OPS in 2017. Second is the fact he has destroyed Clayton Richard in their previous meetings as he’s 11 for 17 with a homer, two doubles and a triple in his career for a nice 1.773 clip against the southpaw. He homered off of him in their matchup last week, so lock this guy in with authority tonight at Coors Field.
SS – Trevor Story (COL) – $4,400 vs. SD
Similar story here with Story. He posted mammoth numbers at home against lefties last year in the form of a .441 ISO and a 1.125 OPS. Like Arenado, he’s also knocked around Richard in his time against him, going 4 for 14 with a homer, double and a triple for a tidy 1.048 OPS against the veteran lefty. At Coors Field against a southpaw, Story is an easy play, especially as part of a Rockies stack.
OF – Dexter Fowler (STL) – $3,100 vs. MIL
We are getting Fowler at a severe discount tonight in this matchup. We’ve mentioned the struggles Chacin has away from pitcher-friendly parks against lefties, and Fowler will be a tough out from the leadoff spot tonight in St. Louis. He’s not off to the best of starts, but Fowler has an extra-base hit in two of his last four games. Furthermore, he should feel comfortable in the box against Chacin considering he is 1 for 3 with a three-run double against him in their brief head-to-head meetings. His stolen base upside is the icing on the cake in this matchup.
OF – Tommy Pham (STL) – $3,300 vs. MIL
Chacin is much tougher on righties, but with Pham set to hit in between Fowler and Carpenter in the valueable two-hole at this price, I am fine with him in a Cardinals stack. Besides, Pham doesn’t have drastic splits as he posted a higher batting average (.310) against righties than lefties (..292) last season while still posting a .201 ISO and a .922 OPS against same-handed pitching in 2017. He also has stolen base upside with 25 swipes last season, so let’s roll with Pham’s cross-category upside at a real nice price tonight.
OF – Michael Conforto (NYM) – $4,000 vs. MIA
There’s lots to like tonight with Conforto. First, he will hit in the leadoff spot against right-hander Jose Urena of the Marlins. Second, Urena has yielded a .815 OPS to left-handed bats in his short big league career. Third, Conforto posted a massive .292 ISO and 1.012 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2017. Lastly, he is 2 for 6 with a homer and a double against righties already this season. He makes for an excellent play tonight, inside a stack or out.