Welcome to a fresh week of MLB DFS! It was an up-and-down week last week, so let’s aim for some improved consistency this time around, beginning with tonight’s ten-game Monday night slate!
P – Jose Quintana (CHC) – $11,600 vs. CIN
The pitching options are anything but aplenty tonight, but I believe Quintana boasts the best safety/strikeout upside combination tonight at home against the Reds. Quintana hasn’t fared well in his last couple of starts, giving up nine runs combined, however Quintana still sports a very nice 25.4% strikeout clip on the season while giving up more than three earned runs just once over his last 12 starts. That kind of reliability and strikeout upside makes him a solid options on tonight’s thin pitching crop.
P – Jake Junis (KC) – $5,600 vs. OAK
Now there’s a name I didn’t think I would be typing this season. Junis has made seven starts for the Royals this season, however his best one happened to be his most recent one where he tossed eight innings of one-run ball while tallying seven strikeouts against zero walks. Junis isn’t a high strikeout arm as he sports a still-solid 19.1% strikeout rate this season, but given the A’s have the second most strikeouts and a 28% strikeout rate to righties, I can see some more strikeout upside with Junis in the pitching-friendly O.Co Coliseum tonight.
C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) – $4,500 vs. NYM
With some salary to work with and an attractive matchup on tap this was an easy decision to roll with Sanchez. Sanchez will take his .219 ISO and .845 OPS against right-handed pitching with him into tonight’s matchup against Mets’ righty Rafael Montero who happens to boasts reverse splits this season. Montero has allowed a 2.13 HR/9 clip and a .397 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road this season, some concerning numbers heading into the hitting-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium tonight.
1B – Lucas Duda (TB) – $3,500 vs. TOR
We are getting some real nice value upside here with the righty-mashing Duda against Blue Jays’ right-hander Nick Tepesch tonight. Tepesch was rocked in his only start for the Jays this season for eight hits and five earned runs in just 4.1 innings last week and things don’t get much easier tonight against the Rays. Duda has mashed righties to the tune of a .278 ISO and .885 OPS on the season and is at a discount because of an 0 for 15 stretch he is a mired in, but this is a great opportunity for him to break out at a very nice price tonight.
2B – Ian Kinsler (DET) – $4,400 vs. TEX
Whenever the Tigers face a lefty it is usually a good idea to get some exposure as what usually is fairly low ownership. Kinsler and the Tigers will take on lefty Martin Perez of the Rangers tonight who owns a 5.50 FIP and a .389 wOBA against at home against right-handed hitters this season. Kinsler will take a .235 ISO and .809 OPS against left-handed pitching into tonight’s contest in his old stompin’ grounds of Globe Life Park this evening.
3B – Nick Castellanos (DET) – $4,100 vs. TEX
Castellanos is simply a lefty-masher and that’s all there is to it. On the season, the young third baseman sports a .353 ISO and a .955 OPS against left-handed pitching while making hard contact 47.6% of the time against them. Castellanos is also red-hot at the plate, recording at least two hits in five straight games with two triples and nine RBIs in that stretch.
SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) – $3,800 vs. NYM
It was mentioned earlier that Mets’ righty Rafael Montero is worse to right-handed hitters, but he still sports a 4.96 xFIP and .355 wOBA allowed to lefties this season. Besides, Gregorius is enjoying an excellent season against right-handed pitching with a .243 ISO and .911 OPS and will hit in or near the cleanup spot tonight for the Yankees.
OF – Aaron Judge (NYY) – $5,100 vs. NYM
Judge has certainly been slowed down some since the All-Star break, but with Montero’s reverse splits and Judge owning some of, if not the most raw power in all of baseball we should feel comfortable with this play, especially in a Yankees’ stack. The good news here is Judge has been at his best at Yankee Stadium this season, sporting a .413 ISO and 1.182 OPS against right-handed pitching at home this season which is the scenario this evening.
OF – Aaron Hicks (NYY) – $3,800 vs. NYM
The switch-hitting Hicks will be a left-handed hitter tonight against Montero, but will also hit near the top of the order and has been a consistent source of fantasy production, injuries aside, all season long. Hicks sports plenty of power/speed upside tonight and as a lefty at Yankee Stadium that power upside always gets a boost given the short porch and home run friendly confines in right field at this venue. For what it’s worth, I believe the Tigers’ Mikie Mahtook and the Rays’ Steven Souza Jr. are excellent options for the same price tonight as they also fit stacks in this lineup.
OF – Corey Dickerson (TB) – $3,600 vs. TOR
Forming a mini-stack with Duda, Dickerson also comes to us with plenty of value potential like his teammate above. After all, Dickerson sports a .230 ISO and .831 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching. He also brings some stolen base upside to the table while hitting the ever valuable leadoff spot tonight against one of the worst arms on tonight’s slate.