DraftKings MLB Picks – August 15th

Last night’s lineup was pretty mediocre despite a strong effort from our Yankees’ stack. Three of our Yankees (Sanchez, Hicks, Judge) hit solo home runs, however our Rays and Tigers failed to capitalize on favorable matchups. It also didn’t help that Ian Kinsler was ejected after only two at-bats. Our pitching was decent as Jose Quintana got a win, however he went just five innings while Jake Junis pitched six innings of two-run ball, but with just two strikeouts. Not a terrible night, but certainly looking for improvement on tonight’s 14-game slate.

P – Gio Gonzalez (WAS) – $11,500 vs. LAA

Gonzalez brings a solid amount of safety to the table tonight against the visiting Angels while also boasting decent strikeout upside as well. On the season, the Angels’ projected lineup has struck out in 20% of their at-bats against lefties while Gonzalez owns a solid 22.7% strikeout clip on the season. The good news is Gonzalez’s strikeout rate is 6% higher at home than on the road while his 1.95 home ERA tops his 3.15 ERA on the road. He is a solid foundation as a first starter tonight.

P – Dinelson Lamet (SD) – $8,500 vs. PHI

While Gonzalez doesn’t boast elite strikeout upside, this guy does. Lamet enters play tonight with a 29.1% strikeout clip on the season while the Phillies enter play with a 24% strikeout rate to righties based on their projected lineup. Lamet has also been able to keep offenses in check in the earned run department as well as he has yielded just six earned runs over his last four starts while striking out 23 over his last 23.1 innings pitched. He also will pitch in his home park tonight where he owns a 3.41 FIP compared to a 4.67 FIP on the road.

C – Wilson Ramos (TB) – $2,200 vs. TOR

Today’s bat are on the expensive side, so one super value play was required and with that play I will roll with Ramos. Ramos homered in last night’s contest to break out of a prolonged slump as he takes on right-hander Marco Estrada tonight who has had home run issues this season. Estrada has rattled off three straight quality starts, but he sports a 5.17 FIP, 1.67 HR/9 and a 49.4% fly ball rate at home to righties this season, numbers Ramos can take advantage of at the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre tonight.

1B – Carlos Santana (CLE) – $3,900 vs. MIN

There are two stacks that we will roll out tonight and the Indians’ one begins here with Santana. Santana will take on Twins’ righty Bartolo Colon tonight who has yielded a .390 wOBA to lefties at home this season. Santana enters play tonight sporting a solid .813 OPS, .196 ISO and a .348 wOBA against righties this season. First base is a crowded position but Santana offers plenty of value at a reduced price as part of a stack that I fully expect to score some runs tonight.

2B – Jose Ramirez (CLE) – $4,500 vs. MIN

Ramirez is the cog that keeps this offense going and he will look to do so as the best Indians’ bat against right-handed pitching tonight. Ramirez sports a .247 ISO and .936 OPS on the season against righties to go along with a .391 wOBA and 33.5% hard contact. He will likely hit in the three spot tonight with Michael Brantley on the DL, a more favorable position than his usual five spot in the Indians lineup.

3B – Josh Donaldson (TOR) – $4,600 vs. TB

The second stack tonight will be the Blue Jays against Rays’ southpaw Blake Snell. Snell has not only been hit hard by righties this year to the tune of a 5.34 FIP and .352 wOBA against, but he also sports one of the highest walk rates in the majors at 12.4%. Donaldson has been mashing lately and owns a .300 ISO and .917 OPS against lefties this season. He is also four for his last seven with two homers and a double.

SS – Francisco Lindor (CLE) – $4,400 vs. MIN

The Indians’ stack continues here with Lindor who should hit in the leadoff spot tonight for the Tribe. Lindor’s numbers against righties aren’t gaudy, however he still owns a real solid .194 ISO against them while being bitten by bad luck for the majority of the season as evidenced by his very low .245 BABIP against them. That said, he will ride a seven-game hit streak into tonight’s favorable matchup.

OF – Bradley Zimmer (CLE) – $3,300 vs. MIN

Last man up in the Indians’ stack is rookie Bradley Zimmer. After occupying the leadoff spot thanks to his hot streak a few weeks ago, Zimmer has cooled down and hasn’t recorded a hit in his last eight starts. That said, he certainly boasts power with a .184 ISO against righties and brings stolen base upside to the table with 12 steals on the season off of righties. We will likely get Zimmer at low ownership tonight thanks to the cold streak.

OF – Steve Pearce (TOR) – $3,700 vs. TB

Next up in the Jays’ stack is lefty-masher Steve Pearce. Pearce sports a large .273 ISO, .807 OPS and a 36% hard hit rate against lefties this season. Only Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales have hit more home runs against lefties on the Blue Jays and those two have had significantly more at-bats than Pearce. He is always a long ball threat when a lefty is on the mound.

OF – Kevin Pillar (TOR) – $3,100 vs. TB

Pillar came out of nowhere with a red-hot April and May this season, but has slowed down as the season has progressed. However, against left-handed pitching Pillar still owns a very nice .215 ISO, .888 OPS and a .374 wOBA on the season. His hard hit rate against southpaws still sits a nice 35.2% while maintaining a .308 batting average against them, showing his regression has mostly come against righties.

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