Last night’s lineup was a nice start to the week! The Orioles stack did a fine job against Chris Smith, however it was a little frustrating to see Manny Machado post a low score at such high ownership while Adam Jones hit two home runs and was not in our lineup. That said, we got plenty of value out of Kurt Suzuki with a homer while A.J. Pollock also went deep as well on top of Jonathan Schoop’s three-run homer. The pitching was decent but not great, particularly from Foltynewicz as he was hit hard by the Mariners early and often. Nonetheless most of the picks were solid as we move onto a much bigger 14-game slate tonight!
P – Chris Archer (TB) – $12,400 vs. TOR
Archer is easily the ace on tonight’s slate as he takes on the Blue Jays at Tropicana Field. Archer’s strikeout rate increases to more than 33% at home this season while the Blue Jays’ projected lineup has just a .307 wOBA over the last month against right-handed pitching. Archer also sports a 2.54 FIP at home and when we combine the huge K-rate with the solid peripherals we have our ace for tonight’s slate.
P – Brock Stewart (LAD) – $5,300 vs. PIT
Stewart obviously doesn’t bring the same strikeout upside as Archer, however he has fared well in the big leagues in limited action this season, posting a 1.64 ERA across nine appearances including two starts. His 4.04 FIP spells regression, however he takes on a Pirates team that has just a .110 ISO and .306 wOBA over the last month against righties as per their projected lineup. We will take that kind of opposition for Stewart at this price any day of the week.
C – Yadier Molina (STL) – $3,600 vs. SD
Yadier Molina has simply obliterated left-handed pitching recently. Over the last month, Molina has mashed left-handed pitching to the tune of a .526 ISO and .482 wOBA which has his ISO now sitting at .277 and his wOBA at .362 for the season against southpaws. He is at a bargain rate considering these numbers and we will gladly lock him in.
1B – Albert Pujols (LAA) – $3,500 vs. TEX
I rarely roll out five-man stacks in these lineups, but tonight I’m going all in with the dynamic Angels against right-hander Tyson Ross. I’ll talk about Ross more as we move along, but he is a reverse-splits pitcher this season who sports a 6.70 FIP, 6.91 xFIP and allows a .396 wOBA to righties this season. Pujols has made hard contact an elevated 37.3% of the time this season but has just a .235 BABIP to show for it which has dragged his OPS down to .673 against righties. He still has 16 homers off of righties this season and should hit right in the heart of this stack tonight with plenty of RBI chances in front of him.
2B – Robinson Cano (SEA) – $4,900 vs. ATL
Cano and the Mariners will take on Braves’ righty Lucas Sims who has had big-time home run issues in the minors as well as his brief MLB career, so we should get some Mariners’ exposure beginning here with Cano. The uber-reliable second baseman has a .209 ISO, .860 OPS, .358 wOBA and 37 extra-base hits including 15 homers off of righties this season. He should certainly be able to get to the young righty this evening.
3B – Kyle Seager (SEA) – $3,800 vs. ATL
We are getting Seager at a very nice price considering the home run upside he carries into play tonight against Sims. Seager has hits in three straight games entering play tonight and his ISO is up to a solid .184 mark on the season. He is making hard contact 39.3% of the time against righties and has clubbed 13 homers and 19 doubles off of them this season. He and Cano form a high-upside mini-stack tonight.
SS – Andrelton Simmons (LAA) – $3,700 vs. TEX
It’s all Angels from here on out. Simmons is having a career year at the plate as he enters play tonight sporting a very nice .819 OPS and a .348 wOBA against righties this season to go along with a .305 average, ten homers and 25 doubles. Tyson Ross also gives up plenty of steals with nine against in only 42.1 innings this season, so we have to be happy with Simmons’ 18 stolen bases this season. He has very attractive power/speed upside in this matchup.
OF – Mike Trout (LAA) – $5,600 vs. TEX
Not much explanation needed here. Trout owns a .388 ISO, 1.178 OPS and a .472 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. He has also swiped 14 bases on the season despite missing time with a hamstring issue. This guy is a must on tonight’s slate considering Ross’ poor figures to righties and the amount of steals he has surrendered so far.
OF – Ben Revere (LAA) – $3,400 vs. TEX
Revere is projected to hit atop the Angels’ lineup tonight, and with his stolen base upside I think this is another bargain price. Revere has swiped 19 bases this season, 18 of which have come against right-handed pitching. He also has a .400 OBP in the month of August and when we combine that with Ross’ huge 15.2% walk rate to lefties this season we have a concoction for walks, hits and plenty of stolen base opportunities for the speedster tonight.
OF – Kole Calhoun (LAA) – $3,500 vs. TEX
Calhoun’s numbers don’t jump out at you in this matchup, but he is projected to hit cleanup tonight so we will stick with the stack and roll him out. Calhoun does have 12 homers, ten doubles and three steals against righties this season. Combine that with both run scoring and run producing opportunities in the four spot tonight and we have ourselves another high-upside play at a low price this evening.