It was a pretty solid lineup again last night, however whether you made it into the cash or not likely depended on the contest you played or if you used all of the picks provided. The pitching was solid as Jeff Samardzija went eight strong innings while giving up three earned runs and punched out five while Carlos Martinez went five innings and struck out seven, however he was saddled with the loss in large part to the five walks he issued. We got big nights from Robinson Cano and Didi Gregorius, however duds from Aaron Judge and Ben Gamel prevented a big night. The picks have been good this week so let’s keep it going for tonight’s 12-game slate!
*Like last night, the Rockies are going to be a very high owned team and therefore this lineup is tailored towards GPP tournaments.
P – JC Ramirez (LAA) – $7,200 vs. PHI
Considering there were an abundance of aces on last night’s slate it’s not a surprise that today’s pitching crop is rather thin. Therefore, we will be forced to carry some risk wherever we go so today we will begin with right-hander JC Ramirez. Ramirez has been solid, if unspectacular this season as he sports a 4.29 ERA entering play today to go along with an 18.7% strikeout clip. While those numbers are nothing to write home about, the Phillies are one of MLB’s worst teams against right-handed pitching with a team .726 OPS (24th) against them while striking out at a 26.2% clip against righties as well, giving Ramirez’s strikeout upside a boost in this matchup.
P – Luke Weaver (STL) – $4,800 vs. MIL
There is definitely risk here, but I have high hopes for Weaver in his matchup tonight against the strikeout-happy Brewers. Milwaukee leads all of baseball in strikeouts against right-handed pitching with a 28.4% clip, and Weaver brings with him a solid strikeout rate of 21.2% after posting a 27.3% clip in Triple-A this season. Weaver has a decent 4.50 ERA but his 4.16 FIP is somewhat encouraging as he brings plenty of value to the table at a very low cost tonight.
C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – $3,900 vs. ATL
While we could have easily went with a Dodgers’ lefty stack, Grandal will be a one off play tonight as he faces Braves’ right-hander Julio Teheran in Atlanta. Teheran has been crushed in his home ballpark by lefties this season to the tune of an 8.64 FIP, 2.96 HR/9 and a 40% hard hit rate. Grandal has been very good against righties this season with a .226 ISO, .815 OPS and .343 wOBA to go along with a 37.3% hard hit rate against opposite-handed pitching on the season.
1B – Adam Lind (WAS) – $4,300 vs. MIA
With plenty of ownership going to the Rockies, Dodgers and elsewhere tonight, the Nationals could be a nice GPP play. You could easily go with Ryan Zimmerman here, but for ownership’s sake we will roll with the lesser owned Lind. Besides, there is little wrong with Lind’s .250 ISO, .951 OPS and .392 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Marlins’ righty Vance Worley is yielding a .386 wOBA to both sides of the plate this season and has yielded a .923 OPS to left-handed bats like Lind on the season.
2B – Daniel Murphy (WAS) – $4,200 vs. MIA
I believe we are getting Murphy at a bargain price tonight. Not only has Murphy crafted a .246 ISO, .957 OPS and .393 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching, he is also 12 for 22 (.545) with a triple and two doubles in his career against Worley. Murphy is one of the league’s best pure hitters against right-handed pitching and he is a fairly easy play at this spot, with Robinson Cano being the only other second baseman I would consider on this slate.
3B – Anthony Rendon (WAS) – $5,000 vs. MIA
The Nationals’ stack continues here with Rendon who is having a career year. Rendon owns a .243 ISO, .948 OPS and an even .400 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. While Worley has been terrible to lefties, he still allows a .386 wOBA and a .907 OPS to right-handed batters as well as a 1.80 HR/9 clip to righties at home this season.
SS – Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) – $5,000 vs. COL
Cabrera isn’t having a great season, but he gets to take his cuts in the league’s top hitter-friendly environment at Coors Field against a pitcher who has struggled immensely to left-handed hitters at home. Tyler Chatwood has yielded a huge .409 wOBA to lefties at home this season despite allowing just 0.87 HR/9 to them. The homers are down because of a large ground ball rate, however the wOBA against shows he has still been knocked around. Cabrera should see a boost in his .158 ISO and .701 OPS against righties in this matchup tonight.
OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) – $5,400 vs. MIA
We aren’t about to fade one of, if not the best hitter in the MLB against right-handed pitching. Harper owns a massive .352 ISO and 1.150 OPS to go along with a .465 wOBA and 37% hard hit rate against righties this season. He also enjoys hitting at Marlins Park with a career .836 OPS and seven home runs at this park. Harper is worth the lofty investment tonight at this venue.
OF – Michael Conforto (NYM) – $5,500 vs. COL
I have high hopes for this Mets’ stack tonight as well but I have the highest hopes for young outfielder Michael Conforto. Conforto has bashed righties to the tune of a .294 ISO, 1.023 OPS and .423 wOBA on the season, numbers that put him in this year’s All-Star game. He has also enjoyed his brief time hitting at Coors Field as he owns a career 1.031 in this venue in a 20 at-bat sample size. As the Mets’ leadoff hitter he should see plenty of at-bats in this matchup tonight.
OF – Yoenis Cespedes (NYM) – $4,300 vs. COL
We are getting Cespedes at a very nice discount considering the matchup tonight. Chatwood sports a 5.51 FIP against righties at home this season and has been touched up to the tune of a .373 wOBA and .867 OPS against righties at home as well. Enter Cespedes who is swinging the bat as well as he has all season right now as he has hits in seven of his last eight games and is 5 for his last 12 at the dish. He still has a solid .801 OPS and a very nice 41.2% hard hit rate against righties this season and has absolutely raked at Coors Field in his career with a 1.322 OPS, four homers and two doubles in 27 career at-bats at this venue.