Last night’s lineup wasn’t a great one as the Dodgers’ lefty-mashers were pretty much silenced by Robbie Ray while Jason Vargas gave up five runs and stuck out just one on the night. We did get good performances from Paul Goldschmidt, Brian Dozier and especially Jose Berrios who struck out 11 over seven scoreless frames. Nonetheless, we will be on the search for some more production on tonight’s small six-game slate.
P – Gio Gonzalez (WAS) – $11,900 vs. MIL
Gio has quietly been one of the very best pitchers in all of baseball this season as he enters play tonight sporting a sparkling 2.40 ERA, however his 3.68 FIP suggests he has been fortunate this season. That said, he takes on a Brewers’ team tonight that has been horrific against left-handed pitching as of late. Over the last seven days, Milwaukee has produced a .030 ISO, 441 OPS and a .200 wOBA to go along with a 34.3% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. Although the Brewers are likely to stack righties against Gonzalez, he owns the very same K-rate against righties as he does lefties this season at 22.2% apiece.
P – C.C. Sabathia (NYY) – $7,300 vs. BOS
While the Red Sox are not a high strikeout team, they have had very little success against Sabathia over the course of their history against one another. All active Red Sox players have combined to hit .185 of off Sabathia with a .526 OPS and a .243 wOBA. Just two starts ago he shut down the Red Sox with six innings of two run ball with four strikeouts. This strikeouts shouldn’t be too high, but he could provide some shut down innings and makes for a quality second starter option on this small slate.
C – J.T. Realmuto (MIA) – $3,600 vs. PHI
Realmuto has quietly turned into one of the premier catchers in baseball and is currently enjoying a career year for the Marlins. He enters play tonight with a .183 ISO and .796 OPS on the season to go along with 16 home runs and six steals. He provides solid cross-category production from the catcher position and takes on right-hander Ben Lively who has pitched to a poor 5.10 FIP this season.
1B – Ryder Jones (SF) – $2,400 vs. STL
Jones is tonight’s value play as he takes on Cardinals’ right-hander Michael Wacha. While Jones hasn’t acquitted himself too well in his second big league stint this season, this is a guy who posted a .970 OPS against right-handed pitching at Triple-A this season. Also, Wacha has been horrid across his last three starts, giving up 24 hits and 14 earned runs over his last 12.1 innings of work. Perhaps the young infielder can take advantage of the struggling right-hander at a very large discount tonight.
2B – Jonathan Schoop (BAL) – $4,600 vs. TOR
Schoop and the Orioles have been hot lately as they enter tonight’s contest against right-hander Marco Estrada and the Toronto Blue Jays. Over the last seven days, Schoop has a .360 ISO, 1.204 OPS and a .498 wOBA. He also leads all Orioles with a .307 batting average against right-handed pitching while posting a .216 ISO and an .872 OPS against righties this season. Second base is a deep position on this small slate but Schoop stands above the rest, especially considering his recent output.
3B – Manny Machado (BAL) – $5,500 vs. TOR
Like Schoop, Machado has been on a tear lately. He sports a .280 ISO and a .933 OPS to go along with a .363 wOBA over the last seven days. His .228 ISO against righties this season is actually higher than Schoop’s while he has still been a member of the tough batted ball luck club with a .264 BABIP against righties which has dragged his OPS down to a still-impressive .812 mark. Considering his hard hit rate remains excellent at 37.6%, Machado should be able to stay hot down the stretch for the O’s.
SS – Javier Baez (CHC) – $3,400 vs. ATL
Baez comes to us at a discount tonight considering his fine numbers this season against left-handed pitching which is what he will see tonight against Braves’ lefty Sean Newcomb. Newcomb hasn’t been too bad this season, but Baez owns an elite .299 ISO, .986 OPS and a .395 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Hard to ignore and pass by those numbers at this price for the young infielder.
OF – Adam Jones (BAL) – $5,100 vs. TOR
The same reasoning for Schoop and Machado applies to this Jones play. Jones has been swinging a hot bat himself as of late with a .250 ISO, .968 OPS and a .406 wOBA over the last seven days. He is also a reverse splits hitter who sports a .200 ISO and an .806 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching compared to a .171 ISO and .746 OPS against left-handed pitching. Jones should see plenty of RBI opportunities tonight out of the cleanup spot for Baltimore.
OF – Albert Almora Jr. (CHC) – $3,200 vs. ATL
Like Baez, Almora Jr. simply clobbers left-handed pitching and boasts plenty of value upside at this price tonight. Almora enters play tonight sporting a .174 ISO, .945 OPS and a .403 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitching, numbers that might just have him hit in the valuable leadoff spot tonight against Newcomb and the Braves.
OF – Ezequiel Carrera (TOR) – $2,900 vs. BAL
Speaking of leadoff hitters, Carrera could find himself in that spot once again tonight against the Orioles if the Blue Jays’ projected lineup stands as their confirmed lineup tonight. Believe it or not, Carrera leads all Blue Jays with a .321 batting average and ranks third on the team with an .860 OPS against righties as well. Those numbers certainly make him a deserved candidate for the leadoff spot tonight against right-hander Jeremy Hellickson.