Welcome to a fresh week of DraftKings MLB picks! We had a strong week last week so let’s see if we can keep it going on tonight’s jam-packed, 15-game slate!
P – Chris Sale (BOS) – $12,600 vs. TB
There are two ultra-elite arms on tonight slate with Sale and Corey Kluber, however despite the amazing run Kluber is on I believe Sale is in the better spot tonight. While Kluber faces a more than capable Rockies’ offense, Sale gets a Rays squad that ranks 21st with a .716 team OPS against lefties this season while leading all of baseball with 313 strikeouts and a 29.2% strikeout rate against lefties. Factor in Sale’s 36.1% strikeout clip on the season and have a recipe for another monster game from the talented southpaw.
P – Chad Kuhl (PIT) – $6,800 vs. DET
Kuhl doesn’t boast a ton of strikeout upside but he makes for a solid second starting pitcher on tonight’s slate. The fact that the Tigers have struck out in 24.7% of their at-bats against righties this season helps, but Kuhl has been very good lately, allowing more than two earned runs just once over his last seven starts, and that was in Coors Field where he yielded four earned runs against a very powerful Rockies offense at home. He has struck out at least six in two of his last four starts so perhaps he can keep the good times rolling tonight against the Tigers at home.
C – Nick Hundley (SF) – $3,200 vs. CHC
Hundley should be a fairly low-owned option at the catcher position tonight, however he is in a nice matchup against Cubs’ southpaw Jose Quintana. Quintana is clearly a very good pitcher, however he does tend to struggle at times to right-handed bats as evidenced by his 4.62 FIP to them. Enter Hundley who has hit lefties to a .276 ISO, .941 OPS and a 38.6% hard hit rate and we have a solid matchup with the Giants’ catcher tonight.
1B – Jesus Aguilar (MIL) – $3,700 vs. MIN
While Twins’ lefty Aldaberto Mejia has displayed some reverse-splits this season, the Brewers are a team stacked with lefty-mashers and it begins here with Aguilar. Aguilar sports a .214 ISO, .919 OPS and a .386 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitchers, the latter two of which rank second on the team next to only Ryan Braun. It’s not guaranteed that Aguilar will start, but if he does he offers plenty of value with lower ownership attached at a deep position.
2B – Josh Harrison (PIT) – $3,900 vs. DET
The Pirates are another team in a nice spot tonight against a lefty as Matt Boyd takes the hill for the Tigers tonight. Boyd sports a 4.70 FIP and has allowed a .362 wOBA to right-handed bats this season and Harrison enters play tonight sporting an .848 OPS and .363 wOBA against lefties this season. With several Pirates sporting elite numbers against lefties Harrison is in an enviable spot hitting atop this stack tonight.
3B – David Freese (PIT) – $4,100 vs. DET
Freese is certainly another Pirate that boasts very strong numbers against southpaws this season. Freese carries a .906 OPS and .384 wOBA against lefties into play with him tonight, numbers that are second best on the team among qualified hitters. RBI opportunities could be aplenty for Freese tonight should he retain his spot as the cleanup hitters this evening.
SS – Jordy Mercer (PIT) – $3,100 vs. DET
Mercer doesn’t have the same powerful numbers against lefties this season than he displayed in 2016, however he has plenty of value at his price tonight. Besides, his .229 BABIP against lefties is a severe drag on his .682 OPS, however he maintains a strong .161 ISO and an elite 41.1% hard hit rate against lefties, leading me to believe he will see some better batted ball luck moving forward.
OF – Andrew McCutchen (PIT) – $4,700 vs. DET
Many had written off Andrew McCutchen, however the veteran is back to raking as per the prime years of his career. McCutchen has owned left-handers this season to the tune of a .442 ISO, 1.220 OPS and a .488 wOBA on the season. His 45.1% hard hit rate against them along with a .295 BABIP displays that these elite numbers aren’t simply good fortune as McCutchen remains locked in against lefties this year.
OF – Ryan Braun (MIL) – $3,900 vs. MIN
Considering the numbers Braun sports against lefties this season this is a steal to get him under $4K tonight. Braun enters play tonight sporting a gaudy .245 ISO, .937 OPS and a .394 wOBA against lefties this season, the latter two of which lead all Brewers. If that isn’t enough, Braun is making hard contact a whopping 51.2% of the time against lefties this season, so lock this guy into your lineups at a bargain price tonight.
OF – Domingo Santana (MIL) – $3,700 vs. MIN
The value keeps coming from this Milwaukee team tonight, this time in the form of outfielder Domingo Santana. Santana has a .245 ISO, .894 OPS and a .372 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitching. Another factor increasing his value tonight is the fact he is projected to hit second in the Brewers’ lineup, thus technically leading off this stack tonight.