Last night’s lineup was a good one and one that was anchored by a magnificent performance for southpaw Chris Sale. Sale hurled eight shutout innings while yielding just two hits and a walk while racking up a whopping 13 punchouts. Chad Kuhl had himself a solid night as our second starter with this six quality innings and six strikeouts as well. The Pirates stack worked well and Ryan Braun had a big night for the Brewers, however there were some high scoring cash lines last night, so hopefully you were able to cash using these picks! Let’s roll into tonight’s ten-game slate!
P – Collin McHugh (HOU) – $8,800 vs. CWS
Without a clean-cut monster ace on tonight’s slate, I believe we can scale down our pitching investments tonight, however I certainly believe we are getting exceptional value here with McHugh. This is just the right-hander’s fourth start of the season, but in his last two starts he has went six innings and yielded just one earned run in each while striking out a combined 13 batters over those 12 innings. The White Sox are a much better offense against left-handed pitching and own a team .156 ISO, .294 wOBA and a whopping 27.3% strikeout rate against righties over the last month, numbers that leave plenty to be desired.
P – Masahiro Tanaka (NYY) – $9,400 vs. TOR
If you are looking for a pitcher on a roll right now, look no further than Tanaka. Over the last month, Tanaka sports a strikeout rate above 30% to both sides of the plat and walk rates under 2% to both sides of the plate while striking out 21 batters over his last 14 innings pitched. In his last outing against Toronto, Tanaka tossed seven innings of one-run ball while striking out eight. The right-hander is feeling it right now and enters play tonight with some of the best strikeout upside on the slate.
C – Yadier Molina (STL) – $3,500 vs. KC
Speaking of players who are feeling it, there might not be a hotter hitter on tonight’s slate than Yadier Molina. Over the last seven days, Molina has a .500 ISO, 1.475 OPS, .594 wOBA and has three consecutive two-hit, two-run games entering play tonight. Royals’ right-hander Trevor Cahill has given up four homers over his last 8.2 innings and has a brutal 2.25 HR/9 clip on the road this season against right-handed hitters.
1B – Matt Carpenter (STL) – $3,700 vs. KC
Carpenter will likely lead this stack off tonight as he should hit atop the Cardinals’ order this evening. Carpenter enters play tonight sporting a .229 ISO. .885 OPS and .377 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching and is four for his last seven at-bats with two doubles and a homer in that stretch. He screams value tonight at his price considering his matchup.
2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) – $4,600 vs. MIL
Now that I am looking at this entire lineup, it is full of guys who have been on fire as of late. Dozier is no exception as the powerful right-handed hitter has cranked four homers over his last five contests and has nine RBIs and six runs scored over that stretch. Tonight he faces right-hander Brandon Woodruff who was much worse to right-handed bats in the minors this season, giving Dozier an excellent matchup in hitter-friendly Miller Park tonight.
3B – Freddie Freeman (ATL) – $5,100 vs. PHI
While this spot could certainly go to Jedd Gyorko has part of the Cardinals’ stack, Freddie Freeman is in such a good spot to produce tonight I simply couldn’t fade him. Phils’ right-hander Jared Eickhoff is a very traditional pitcher and is notably worse to left-handed batters this season. Considering this and the fact Freeman has hit righties to a .356 ISO and 1.141 OPS on the season we have to feel confident about this play tonight.
SS – Paul DeJong (STL) – $4,300 vs. KC
DeJong has come out of pretty much nowhere to be a serious power threat in the middle of the Cardinals’ lineup this season. DeJong sports a .239 ISO, .804 OPS and a 38.1% hard hit rate against right-handed pitching this season. Considering Cahill’s issue with the long ball to righties on the road this season DeJong makes for an obvious and high-upside play in the middle of this Cards’ stack.
OF – Dexter Fowler (STL) – $3,900 vs. KC
Last man up in this stack is outfielder Dexter Fowler. Fowler sports a very nice .240 ISO and .845 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching. However, like a lot of others in this lineup, Fowler has mashed over the last week. I mentioned earlier Molina might be the hottest hitter on the slate, but Fowler and his .571 ISO, 1.556 OPS and .600 wOBA over the last seven days might have something to say about that. It should also be noted that this entire stack has stolen base upside tonight as Cahill leads all pitchers on this slate with 13 stolen bases against on the season.
OF – Eric Thames (MIL) – $3,700 vs. MIN
Thames brings plenty of value upside into tonight’s matchup and actually reminds me of Carpenter’s upside at the exact same price. He will take on Twins’ righty Bartolo Colon who has a 5.57 FIP and a 2.05 HR/9 yielded to left-handed hitters on the road this season. Thames and his .278 ISO and .920 OPS on the season against righties should be able to take full advantage of Colon tonight in one of the league’s top home run park for left-handed hitters.
OF – Patrick Kivlehan (CIN) – $2,800 vs. SD
Usually lineups aren’t released by the time these articles are written, however the Reds have released theirs already and Kivlehan slots in as the two-hole hitter in a nice matchup against lefty Travis Wood. Kivlehan has plenty of value to offer tonight given his solid .188 ISO, .783 OPS and .339 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and his value increases with his favorable spot in the lineup.