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DraftKings MLB Picks – July 21st

No beating around the bush here as night’s lineup flat out stunk. Both pitchers were touched up while the Dodgers’ stack paid very little dividends. It was a nice week until that point but we still have a solid 14-game slate ahead of us tonight to make up for last night’s showing. Let’s go!

P – Jeff Samardzija (SF) – $9,100 vs. SD

In my opinion the top arms on the slate tonight aren’t in the best of spots so I will kick this GPP-aimed lineup off with Giants right-hander Jeff Samardzija. Samardzija sports a very nice 26.4% strikeout clip on the season and will welcome a Padres team that has struck out the third most times in the league this season against right-handed pitching. Samardzija was touched up for seven runs his last time out at San Diego, but he has been better at home this season and still racked up eight punchouts in that outing. He has very high upside in this matchup tonight.

P – Aaron Nola (PHI) – $8,400 vs. MIL

Nola is certainly of the GPP variety tonight, but like Samardzija, Nola gets a very high strikeout team as his opponent tonight in the form of the Milwaukee Brewers. In fact, Milwaukee leads all of baseball with 714 punchouts on the season versus right-handed pitching. Those lofty strikeout numbers should help Nola improve upon his already-solid 24.7% strikeout clip as he stands to provide significant value at this price this evening.

C – Salvador Perez (KC) – $3,600 vs. CWS

White Sox right-hander James Shields has been one of the most home run-prone starters in all of baseball this season and the near 100-degree temperatures in Kansas City are not likely to help this cause tonight. While Shields has been worse to lefties, he still owns a 1.80 HR/9 on the season to righties on the road. Enter Perez who sports a powerful .243 ISO and .857 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching and the 13 MPH wind blowing out to left should help the right-handed catcher clear the fence tonight.

1B – Eric Hosmer (KC) – $3,900 vs. CWS

I mentioned Shields was poor to left-handed hitters, and I was not kidding. Shields owns a massive 3.86 HR/9 and a whopping 9.94 FIP on the season against left-handed hitters. After a huge night last night, Hosmer figures to be back at it again tonight thanks to his .194 ISO, .877 OPS and .372 wOBA against right-handed pitching. He should also be able to take advantage of Shields’ huge 55.9% fly ball rate to lefties this season.

2B – Brian Dozier (MIN) – $4,500 vs. DET

Dozier stands to be in for a nice night tonight against Tigers’ right-hander Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez has yielded a 3.97 HR/9 and an 8.87 FIP on the road to right-handed hitters this season and has given up five steals in 50 innings. Enter Dozier who sports a solid .196 ISO and .747 (due to rise thanks to a .258 BABIP) against right-handed pitching while he also has ten steals against righties on the season. Great power/speed upside tonight with the Twins’ leadoff hitter.

3B – Mike Moustakas (KC) – $3,600 vs. CWS

Moustakas is having his finest season as a big leaguer as he enters play tonight sporting a powerful .279 ISO and .881 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching. Moustakas has already cranked 25 long balls on the season and number 26 and possibly more could be on their way tonight given Shields’ gaudy home run totals and the excellent hitter-friendly field conditions at Kauffman Stadium tonight.

SS – Kike Hernandez (LAD) – $3,900 vs. ATL

The last time we included Hernandez into this lineup he clubbed two home runs so let’s roll with the powerful bat again tonight against left-hander Jaime Garcia. Garcia’s 1.25 HR/9 against righties on the road isn’t a terrible number, but Hernandez has mashed lefties to the tune of a massive .404 ISO and 1.022 OPS on the season. He still carries plenty of value even though his price has increased.

OF – Carlos Beltran (HOU) – $4,200 vs. BAL

Another righty that has struggled mightily to lefties this season is Ubaldo Jimenez. Ubaldo owns a 3.26 HR/9 and a 7.61 FIP on the season against left-handed bats, so let’s roll with the veteran Beltran who has a very nice .206 ISO on the season against righties. He also has a career 1.223 OPS and a .505 wOBA in 32 career at-bats against Jimenez to go along with three homers and three doubles.

OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) – $4,400 vs. BAL

The same goes for Reddick. Reddick has clobbered right-handed pitching this season to the tune of a .226 ISO and .895 OPS. Like Beltran, Reddick has mashed Jimenez in his career as he is hitting .500 off of him to go along with a 1.134 OPS and .485 wOBA across 19 at-bats.

OF – Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) – $4,400 vs. BAL

Finishing off this three-man Astros’ stack is the utility man, Marwin Gonzalez. Like the two before him, Gonzalez clobbers lefties as well but he sports an elevated .271 ISO and 1.005 against right-handed pitching on the season, the latter of which leads an extremely potent Astros’ offense. Look for this trio to do significant damage in this matchup tonight.

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