It was a pretty frustrating night last night. Although the majority of the bats in the lineups including Rizzo, Schwarber, Mazara, Beltre and Odor performed well, the offensive explosions elsewhere on the slate likely pushed you out of the money with these picks. For the first time in a while the starting pitching didn’t come through which certainly didn’t help the cause. Let’s get back into the cash on tonight’s five-game slate!
Fair Warning: Today’s lineup is certainly recommended for GPP games only.
P – Jon Lester (CHC) – $11,900 vs. CWS
While the White Sox aren’t too bad against left-handed pitching, there isn’t much safety at all for pitching on this slate so let’s roll with the reliable southpaw in Lester. After all, he sports a solid 3.95 ERA, 3.88 FIP and a nice 24.9% strikeout clip on the season overall. He simply dominates lefties to the tune of a 1.56 FIP and 32.1% strikeout clip which will force the White Sox to stack righties, however with a watered down White Sox offense to begin with Lester should be in for a solid night tonight.
P – Zack Godley (ARI) – $8,400 vs. STL
Here is a guy that has impressed this season and has the peripheral numbers to back it up. Godley sports a 3.32 ERA on the season, however his 3.12 FIP and 3.21 xFIP as well as his 26.2% strikeout clip tell me that his ERA is a fair indication of how well he has pitched this season. Nothing against the Cardinals as they have been hitting the ball well as of late, however on a thin slate we have to ride the consistency that Godley has displayed throughout the season this evening.
C – Hector Sanchez (SD) – $3,100 vs. NYM
Here is where the lineup goes GPP. While the cash players will be all over Wilson Contreras in this spot, we have to keep in mind that the Padres are facing a pitcher making his MLB debut straight out of Double-A and even pitched in A-ball this season. Chris Flexen makes his major league debut after posting a very nice 1.66 ERA at Double-A, but this is the big leagues and it’s a far cry from the minors’ second highest level. Besides, Sanchez has hit right-handed pitching to an impressive .291 ISO and .869 OPS on the season and his projected to hit in the cleanup spot tonight.
1B – Wil Myers (SD) – $4,000 vs. NYM
Like Sanchez, Myers has had his way with right-handed pitching for the majority of the season. He sports a .220 ISO, .787 OPS and a 38.9% hard hit rate against righties this season. He has struggled a little bit in the power department lately, however has hits in seven of his last nine games and has some stolen base upside as well with eight steals on the season against right-handed pitching.
2B – Carlos Asuaje (SD) – $3,200 vs. NYM
Asuaje will almost certainly be one of the lowest owned second baseman on the slate and he will technically be the first hitter to hit in this stack out of the two hole as per the projected lineup. That said, he actually leads all Padres with an .887 OPS and .380 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching as well as with a nice .354 batting average against righties. Plenty of value to be had here with the youngster.
3B – Eugenio Suarez (CIN) – $3,900 vs. MIA
Flexen isn’t the only rookie pitcher on the mound tonight as left-hander Chris O’Grady makes his fourth big league start tonight against the Reds. O’Grady owns a 6.73 FIP and 2.08 HR/9 on the season to right-handed bats. Enter Suarez who has clobbered lefties to the tune of a .221 ISO and .911 OPS on the season to go along with a 38.9% hard hit rate against them. More value to be had here at the hot corner.
SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) – $3,700 vs. TB
Although Rays’ ace Chris Archer is on the hill tonight I will still roll with Gregorius at a reduced price considering his ability to hit right-handed pitching. The Yankees’ shortstop owns a .324 batting average, .248 ISO and .924 OPS on the season against left-handed pitching. Never underestimate the short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium no matter who is on the mound for the opposition.
OF – Hunter Renfroe (SD) – $4,000 vs. NYM
Last man in this Padres’ stack is the ever-so-powerful Hunter Renfroe. Although his average is low, he boasts plenty of raw power in his bat as evidenced by his .213 ISO against right-handed pitching. He is projected to hit last in this stack tonight which could mean plenty of RBI opportunities should this stack go to work against the rookie Flexen tonight.
OF – Christian Yelich (MIA) – $4,000 vs. CIN
Yelich was a main cog in a Marlins’ lineup that posted 22 runs in last night’s drubbing of the Rangers, so let’s see if he can turn that into another big night tonight against the Reds and right-hander Robert Stephenson. Stephenson has been rocked in limited work this season and has allowed a .430 wOBA as well as posting a 2.61 HR/9 and 6.83 FIP against left-handed bats. Yelich owns an .812 ISO and 39.2% hard hit rate against right-handed pitching this season and is very affordable considering his matchup tonight.
OF – Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – $3,700 vs. CWS
The way Schwarber has been hitting the ball lately I will continue to use him at this price, especially against subpar, right-handed pitching like he will see against Mike Pelfrey tonight. Pelfrey sports a 7.00 FIP and a 2.02 HR/9 clip to left-handed hitters this season. Schwarber owns a .248 ISO against righties and will be taking his cuts in one of the MLB’s most home run-friendly parks this evening.