Last night’s lineup was a pretty disappointing one again as I have yet to find my footing this week. With just four games on tonight’s slate let’s aim for some safety and take aim at some players that are in fantastic matchups and perhaps put ownership aside as it will be condensed no matter where we look. Let’s get to it!
P – Zack Greinke (ARI) – $12,700 vs. MIA
What a rebound season Greinke is putting together. After a dismal 2015, Greinke is making his massive contract easier to swallow for the Diamondbacks thanks to his 3.24 ERA and 10.45 K/9 on the season. What I like about that ERA figure is the fact that his FIP (3.27) and xFIP (3.08) indicate that his ERA is a very true representation of how he has pitched this season. He will take on a decent Marlins offense tonight, however Greinke is the true ace on this slate and must-have for a short four-game evening.
P – Alex Meyer (LAA) – $6,900 vs. MIN
The second pitcher we are using today is certainly a risky one as right-hander Alex Meyer makes his return from the 10-day DL to face the Twins tonight. Meyer has had some control issues in his young big league career with a whopping 6.66 BB/9, however he also boasts a 10.52 K/9 across 51.1 big league frames. He hasn’t been able to consistently go deep into ball games, but if Meyer can get to five innings tonight and stay true to this K rate, he could get a win and post a solid line for a second starter here on DraftKings.
C – Russel Martin (TOR) – $3,900 vs. NYY
After a dismal start to the season Martin was more productive with the bat in May with an .839 OPS for the month. He is also a much better hitter at home this season with a whopping .966 OPS and a .235 ISO at the Rogers Centre, perhaps speaking to the hitting-friendly nature of that venue. He has also hit Yankees’ starter C.C. Sabathia hard in his career with a 96.7 MPH average exit velocity on nine batted ball events.
1B – Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) – $5,500 vs. MIA
Goldschmidt’s price is certainly sky-high, but he is in a very favorable situation tonight against Marlins’ southpaw Jeff Locke. This will be Locke’s first big league action of the 2017 after he posted a 5.08 FIP against right-handed batters in 2016. Considering Goldschmidt hit lefties to a .224 ISO and a 1.070 OPS in 2016 this is a matchup we want to target to begin a Diamondbacks’ stack for tonight.
2B – Brandon Drury (ARI) – $3,000 vs. MIA
Drury could provide tonnes of value at a very cheap price tonight against Locke. Drury had a very solid rookie season in 2016 and hit lefties to a .205 ISO and an .804 OPS on the season. He has hit right-handed pitching better in the 2017 season, but it’s hard to argue Drury’s upside at such a low price. He is projected to hit in the six-hole for the DBacks tonight, a spot that could provide a lot of RBI chances with a handful of lefty-mashers hitting in front of him.
3B – Josh Rutledge (BOS) – $2,900 vs. BAL
I mentioned that ownership isn’t a concern tonight, however we do have an opportunity to a value play with high upside at lower ownership here with Rutledge. Rutledge won’t blow you away with his stats, but he does have four RBIs and three runs scored over his last seven games and is projected to hit in the two-hole for the Red Sox tonight against Orioles’ lefty Wade Miley. Miley is pitching to a 4.78 FIP against righties this season and is giving up hard contact 37.9% of the time to righties, making Rutledge a decent value play in this spot.
SS – Chris Owings (ARI) – $4,400 vs. MIA
Next up in this Diamondbacks stack is the breakout star Chris Owings. After hitting just nine home runs over the last two seasons combined, Owings is already at six this season to go along with a lofty .839 OPS on the season. He has hit righties and lefties almost equally on the season, however he hit lefties much better in 2016 with a .176 ISO and an .826 OPS against southpaws. He is a comfortable fit in this stack.
OF – Yasmany Tomas (ARI) – $3,900 vs. MIA
I truly believe we are getting Tomas at a discount tonight against a left-handed pitcher. He boasted the best numbers from 2016 against lefties from this stack as he posted a .326 ISO and a 1.112 OPS against southpaws a season ago. Like a couple of others in this stack, he has yet to replicate that power in the 2017 season, but rest assured Tomas is a very powerful right-handed bat against a very mediocre left-handed pitcher tonight.
OF – Chris Young (BOS) – $3,500 vs. BAL
Speaking of lefty killers, Chris Young posted some very strong figures against opposite-handed pitching in the 2016 campaign. He clobbered lefties to a .260 ISO and a .999 OPS last season. Like just about everyone in this lineup, he has yet to get it going against lefties this season, but with notably superior numbers over the course of his career against lefties it’s only a matter of time before Young displays some of that power against southpaws.
OF – Joey Rickard (BAL) – $3,300 vs. BOS
Rickard cracks this lineup as a value play tonight against Red Sox left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez. Rickard is Baltimore’s leadoff bat against left-handed pitching and that makes perfect sense as he hit lefties to a .181 ISO and an .861 OPS in 2016. He is hitting lefties much better than righties again this season and could be a valuable lower-owned outfielder for this lineup tonight.