gravatar

DraftKings MLB Picks – June 22nd

Last night’s lineup delivered some solid returns! The pitching was a big reason why as Carlos Carrasco and James Paxton combined for 18 strikeouts. The Yankees and Twins did some damage with the bats as this was the best lineup we’ve had in some time. Let’s keep the good times rolling for tonight’s six-game slate!

P – Luis Severino (NYY) – $12,300 vs. LAA

Pitching is somewhat scarce on this short slate so we will roll with the top arm available in Luis Severino. Severino sports a nice 24.3% strikeout clip to lefties this season while his 30.3% strikeout clip to right-handed batters gets even better when we see he could face at least five righties tonight. Nonetheless, the Angels rank 25th in team OPS against right-handed pitching and the Yankees offense should have no problem supporting Severino to ensure he gets a win to go along with the strikeout upside tonight.

P – Andrew Moore (SEA) – $4,700 vs. DET

This pick may seem like a head scratcher at first, however given the lack of pitching on the slate and Moore’s work in the minors this season I will roll with a very cheap pitcher here with the hopes of getting some quality bats in this lineup. Moore has crafted a solid 2.72 ERA across two minor league stops this season while allowing just a .216 batting average against to go along with a solid 77 strikeouts in 82.2 innings. He will face a slumping Tigers team that has struck out the fifth most times in the MLB this season against right-handed pitching.

C – Austin Barnes (LAD) – $3,000 vs. NYM

Here is a very sneaky play at the catcher position tonight at a very reasonable price. I actually expected his price to be lower, but the fact DraftKings has bumped it up speaks to what they think about his matchup tonight. The right-handed hitting Barnes sports an elite .270 ISO and a .901 OPS against left-handed pitching this season which is what he will face against Mets’ lefty Steven Matz. Matz is off to a rough start against righties this season as evidenced by his 5.84 FIP and 2.53 HR/9 against righties so far this season.  A very nice GPP play here with Barnes.

1B – Matt Holliday (NYY) – $4,400 vs. LAA

Holliday took advantage of a fantastic matchup last night as he homered to right field off of Angels’ started Ricky Nolasco. He has another fantastic opportunity ahead of him tonight as he will take on right-handed Jesse Chavez who has been hit hard by righties this season to the tune of a 6.44 FIP, 2.68 HR/9 and 38.9% hard contact. Holliday sports a .259 ISO and a .904 OPS against righties this season and should have plenty of run-producing opportunities in the cleanup spot again tonight.

2B – Starlin Castro (NYY) – $4,500 vs. LAA

We have another double-reverse-splits situation here with the Yankees’ second baseman. Castro enters play tonight with much better numbers against righties this season thanks to a .213 ISO and an even .900 OPS against same-handed pitching. Only Aaron Judge has hit more home runs off of right-handed pitching on the Yankees than Castro’s 12 on the season so lock the rejuvenated Castro into your lineup tonight.

3B – Manny Machado (BAL) – $4,600 vs. CLE

On the surface it may seem like Machado is having somewhat of a down season against righties, however he still sports a nice .223 ISO against them while his .726 OPS against them is being dragged down by a poor .232 BABIP. After all, he is making hard contact 37% of the time against righties on the season. He will face Indians’ right-hander Mike Clevinger tonight boasts more hard contact against to right-handed hitters at 34% compared to just 26% to lefties. This pick is mostly based on the fact Machado is due for serious positive regression to righties and I want to be there when this inevitably takes place.

SS – Francisco Lindor (CLE) – $4,600 vs. BAL

The switch-hitting Lindor should have himself a nice matchup tonight as he takes on Orioles’ left-hander Wade Miley. Miley sports some concerning numbers against right-handed hitters this season as evidenced by his 4.97 FIP, 1.35 HR/9 and huge 4.95 BB/9 clip to them. Lindor has hit lefties for some nice power this season thanks to a .235 ISO and .868 OPS against them and has made hard contact on 42.7% of the balls put into play against lefties.

OF – Aaron Judge (NYY) – $5,700 vs. LAA

All three outfield spots today will finish off stacks or mini-stacks and it begins here with Judge. Of course we don’t need to elaborate much on why Judge is a good fit other than the fact he has hit 19 home runs against righties this season and sports a massive .366 ISO and a 1.123 OPS against them as well. Considering Chavez is giving up home runs to righties at an alarming clip there is no reason to fade the big man tonight.

OF – Franklin Gutierrez (LAD) – $3,200 vs. NYM

Forming a nice, low-owned mini-stack with Barnes tonight will be outfielder Franklin Gutierrez. The veteran is projected to hit in the cleanup spot for the Dodgers tonight which is two spots ahead of Barnes who is projected to hit sixth, thus forming a nice mini-stack. Gutierrez plays almost exclusively against lefties and it makes sense considering his 39.1% hard hit rate and solid .176 ISO against them. The Dodgers as a team are hitting lefties much better this season so some low-owned exposure to this is a good plan of attack this evening.

OF – Daniel Robertson (CLE) – $2,900 vs. BAL

Completing this lineup is the right-handed hitting Daniel Robertson. Robertson is projected to hit second in the Indians’ order tonight which is one spot behind the leadoff hitter Lindor so let’s roll with a Cleveland mini-stack as well. Like Gutierrez, Robertson is used almost exclusively against left-handed pitching. He hasn’t had a great start to the season against lefties but last season posted a .364 batting average, .871 OPS and 40% hard contact against lefties which is why Terry Francona is using him in the two-hole against a subpar pitcher to righties this evening.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *