The theme of the week has been elite pitching picks and subpar lineup picks. Last night Clayton Kershaw delivered a seven-inning gem where he racked up 12 strikeouts while Dinelson Lamet mowed down eight Braves over his six shutout innings, with both pitchers earning victories. The Blue jays once again let the lineup down as they couldn’t get to Ubaldo Jimenez who inexplicably tossed an eight-inning gem himself. Hopefully you were able to use last night’s pitching to get into the cash, however I will do my best to get us some better lineup picks on tonight’s max slate!
P – Alex Wood (LAD) – $11,700 vs. SD
We will start tonight’s lineup out with one of the biggest breakout players in the MLB this season in Alex Wood. Wood enters play tonight sporting a sparkling 1.86 ERA and 2.12 FIP to go along with an impressive 10.51 K/9 as well. Wood will take on a Padres’ team that has racked up plenty of strikeouts this season with 193 on the season against left-handed pitching which is good for fifth most in the league. Factor in their dead-last .649 team OPS against lefties and the spacious confines of Petco Park in San Diego and we have a tasty matchup tonight with Wood.
P – Mike Foltynewicz (ATL) – $7,400 vs. OAK
Foltynewicz is a little bit of a volatile pitcher, but he also gets a high-strikeout team tonight in the form of the Oakland A’s and also gets a pitching-friendly ballpark at the O.Co Coliseum tonight in Oakland. Foltynewicz has a decent 7.75 K/9 on the season, however that number should get an increase tonight as the A’s have struck out more than any other team in the big leagues this season against right-handed pitching with 591 of them this season. He comes at a nice price as well so let’s lock in the cheap right-hander who has plenty of strikeout upside tonight.
C – Tom Murphy (COL) – $3,000 vs. ARI
This lineup will begin with a value standalone play with Rockies’ catcher Tom Murphy. Murphy doesn’t have impressive power numbers against left-handed pitching this season, but rather Robbie Ray has been hit hard by righties at home this season to the tune of a 1.95 HR/9, 5.57 FIP, 39.8% hard contact and a 44.2% fly ball rate. Considering the hitting-friendly venue at Chase Field Murphy has the opportunity to exceed value this evening.
1B – Edwin Encarnacion (CLE) – $4,600 vs. DET
A Cleveland stack will begin here with Encarnacion against Tigers’ right-hander Anibal Sanchez who has been giving up plenty of home runs to right-handed hitters this season, 3.63 HR/9 to be exact. Encarnacion has a .240 ISO and an .837 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching and has made hard contact on 37.9% of the balls he has put into play against righties this season. He will hit in the heart of the Indians’ order tonight so expect plenty of RBI chances for the powerful righty.
2B – Jason Kipnis (CLE) – $3,800 vs. DET
Next up in the Indians’ stack is second baseman Jason Kipnis. Kipnis got off to a slow start with just a .161 average in April, but has climbed back some and now sports a respectable .168 ISO against righties this season. He hit righties to a .200 ISO and an .822 OPS in 2016, so his ability against righties shouldn’t be in question. I also like Kipnis’ stolen base upside tonight as he stole 10 bases off righties in 2016 and four so far in 2017 as Anibal Sanchez gave up 22 steals in 2016 and five in just 32 innings this season.
3B – Jose Ramirez (CLE) – $5,100 vs. DET
The most upside in this stack likely comes from Ramirez. He has hit righties to a huge .271 ISO and a .995 OPS on the season and has already swiped nine bases this season off of righties. Ramirez has enjoyed success against Sanchez in his career as well by going 3 for 7 with a homer against him. Ramirez is Cleveland’s top all-around bat against right-handed pitching this season so make sure you roster him in any Indians’ stack.
SS – Francisco Lindor (CLE) – $4,200 vs. DET
Let’s keep the Indians coming here with Lindor. He hasn’t been as dynamic as expected this season but still owns a .218 ISO against righties while his OPS has been dragged down by a poor .224 BABIP against righties, a number that is sure to increase very soon. He only has two steals against righties this season, but 15 off of them in 2016 to lead the team along with Ramirez.
OF – Michael Brantley (CLE) – $4,100 vs. DET
Last but not least is outfielder Michael Brantley. Brantley has a decent .163 OPS against righties and a solid .840 OPS against them this season to go along with four stolen bases as well. There isn’t a stack with as much power and speed upside tonight as the Indians so I have high hopes for a productive night from the Tribe against Sanchez.
OF – John Jay (CHC) – $3,100 vs. CIN
Keep an eye on this one as a lot of Jay’s value will come in the form of him hitting leadoff tonight against Reds’ right-hander Scott Feldman. Jay has a solid .290 average against righties this season which actually leads all Cubs while he has also crafted a decent .742 OPS against righties as well. He has a bit of stolen base upside against Feldman who has given up ten steals already this season in just over 90 innings. He will also take his swings in a very hitting-friendly environment tonight at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
OF – Gregory Polanco (PIT) – $2,900 vs. SF
I believe Polanco has tonnes of value heading into tonight’s game. He is having a down season with just a .726 OPS against righties, but this is a guy who hit righties from plenty of power with a .200 ISO against them in 2016 to go along with a 36.5% hard hit rate against them last season. Giants’ righty Johnny Cueto has some home run issues this season and Polanco has seven steals against righties this season so Polanco could easily exceed value with a homer and/or a stolen base this evening.