After a two-day hiatus we are back today in hopes of delivering some profitable DraftKings MLB picks. We have a large 14-game slate on our hands and plenty of research went into these picks so let’s get right to it!
P – Corey Kluber (CLE) – $12,600 vs. CWS
Kluber enters play tonight as the best pitcher on the slate. He will take on a White Sox offense that enjoys much more success against left-handed pitching while they rank 28th in OPS and 26th in runs scored against right-handed pitching this season. Kluber has plenty of strikeout upside as well considering his 11.57 K/9 against right-handed hitters and his 9.45 figure against lefties. The Tribe are also expected to score plenty of runs tonight so a win for Kluber is quite likely as well.
P – Matt Moore (SF) – $6,900 vs. MIN
When you look at Moore’s overall numbers this season they are certainly nothing to write home about, however when you look at his numbers in his pitching-friendly home ball park at AT&T Stadium, you see a completely different pitcher. On the road this season Moore sports a 7.94 ERA and a 6.62 K/9, however at home his ERA drops down to a very solid 2.57 while his K/9 jumps to 7.71. He will take on a weak Twins offense against lefties as Minnesota ranks 23rd in OPS against left-handed pitching this season, a figure that will be tough to increase at this venue tonight.
C – James McCann (DET) – $3,100 vs. BOS
After spending some time on the DL with a hand laceration, Tigers’ catcher James McCann will make his return tonight just in time to face a left-handed pitcher. That is good news because McCann sports a massive .500 ISO and a 1.161 OPS against left-handed pitching this season after hitting lefties to the tune of a .267 ISO and an .848 OPS in the 2016 season. This numbers get even better when we consider the venue as Fenway Park yields plenty of home runs to McCann’s pull field in left.
1B – Lucas Duda (NYM) – $4,500 vs. ATL
The lefty-heavy Mets will take on Braves’ right-hander Julio Teheran tonight who sports some ugly numbers against lefties this season as well as some ugly numbers at Atlanta’s brand new SunTrust Park. Overall on the season Teheran sports a very ugly 7.47 FIP to lefties to go along with a 2.36 HR/9 while sporting a walk rate higher than his strikeout rate to lefties. Enter Duda who has hit righties to a .288 ISO and a .957 OPS on the season as he leads off this Mets’ stack for us today.
2B – Neil Walker (NYM) – $4,700 vs. ATL
Neil Walker is in a great position tonight against Teheran. I already spoke about Teheran’s extremely poor numbers to left-handed hitters and with Walker producing a .216 ISO and an .817 OPS against righties we have another concoction for success with this play. Walker suffered from a very low BABIP early in the season but it continues to trend up, now sitting at .269 against right-handed pitching. He will also have some solid RBI chances tonight hitting the cleanup spot for the Mets.
3B – Joey Gallo (TEX) – $3,800 vs. WAS
Gallo will enter this lineup as a standalone play, but with his elite power we have multi-home run upside tonight with him in this lineup. Gallo has hit right-handed pitching to a massive .313 ISO and an .821 OPS on the season. Considering Washington’s Tanner Roark has a 5.09 FIP and a 1.60 HR/9 surrendered to righties this season we could have another recipe for success with this play at fairly low ownership tonight.
SS – Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) – $3,400 vs. ATL
I believe Cabrera brings the most value to the Mets’ stack tonight considering his low price and high upside for this matchup. Cabrera has hit righties to just a .134 ISO and a .709 OPS on the season, but he hit them to a very nice .208 ISO and .803 OPS in 2016. Once his .277 BABIP rises back to career norms we can expect Cabrera’s numbers to increase and tonight is a good time to start against a very poor pitcher versus left-handed hitters.
OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – $4,300 vs. DET
A Boston stack is another viable option tonight as well thanks to the right-handed pitching Jordan Zimmermann. Zimmermann sports a FIP north of 6.00 to both lefties and righties while he is allowing 2.29 HR/9 to righties. Enter Betts who has a .187 ISO and a .798 OPS against righties, but with a low .264 BABIP as well. He actually walks more than he strikes out against righties and sported a .208 ISO and a .917 OPS against righties in 2016 to go along with his 23 stolen bases against them from last season.
OF – Curtis Granderson (NYM) – $3,300 vs. ATL
The last man in this Mets’ stack is the veteran, left-handed hitting Curtis Granderson. Granderson isn’t having a great season, but with a low .257 BABIP against righties he is another Met we can expect positive regression from moving forward. Besides, he had a .238 ISO and an .836 OPS against righties in 2016 and considering Teheran’s struggles with lefties, there is plenty of value in Granderson’s bat in this matchup tonight.
OF – Franklin Gutierrez (LAD) – $3,300 vs. CIN
Another veteran outfielder in a great matchup is the Dodgers’ Franklin Gutierrez. Gutierrez sports an excellent 40.9% hard hit rate against left-handed pitching this season and that’s what he will see tonight against Reds’ southpaw Amir Garrett. Garrett sports an awful 7.06 FIP to right-handed hitters and a 5.65 FIP to righties as well on the season. Gutierrez has a nice .194 ISO against lefties this season after sporting a team-high .231 ISO against lefties in the 2016 season. He is a great play as the projected cleanup hitter at low ownership tonight.