My apologies as it has been a few days since I have released some DraftKings MLB picks, however I am back today with a fresh week ahead of me and am excited to get back to business on this Monday slate! Let’s get to it!
P – Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – $13,900 vs. SF
It is simply too tough to fade Kershaw when he takes the mound at home, especially against a team that he has simply dominated throughout his sparkling career. Kershaw has a career 1.60 ERA and 0.81 WHIP against his NL West foe over his career while he also boasts a career 1.98 ERA at Dodger Stadium. He is easily the top arm of the slate and I believe he is a necessary commodity tonight whether you are playing cash or GPP this evening.
P – Amir Garrett (CIN) – $5,500 vs. PIT
Garrett was torched for nine runs in less than four innings in his most recent outing against the Brewers, however if we get the Garrett that we saw in his first three starts of the season we are in great shape here. Garrett racked up 23.1, 21.4 and 31 fantasy points in his first three starts to the season while surrendering just four earned runs across those three starts with 21 strikeouts across 19.2 innings. While Garrett is a bit of a wild card after that disastrous start, he oozes with value if he can even come close to how he pitched to begin the season in tonight’s outing.
C – Brian McCann (HOU) – $3,400 vs. TEX
McCann comes into tonight’s contest against the Rangers an attractive asset at a nice price. He will take on Rangers’ starter Andrew Cashner tonight who has struggled against lefties in recent history while McCann thrives against right-handed pitchers. In 2016 Cashner gave up 1.53 HR/9 to lefties while McCann produced a strong .181 ISO against righties while also hitting at least 20 home runs for the ninth consecutive season. He is always a solid power threat at the catching position.
1B – Matt Carpenter (STL) – $4,200 vs. MIL
Carpenter comes in as perhaps a sneaky GPP play tonight with some of the best first baseman in the game on tonight’s slate. He will face Brewers’ right-hander Zach Davies tonight at home and Carpenter simply crushed righties in 2016. Carpenter’s .262 ISO and .920 OPS against righties in 2016 are simply outrageous figures and we will take on a right-hander that has struggled this season with a 6.57 ERA entering play tonight.
2B – Jedd Gyorko (STL) – $3,800 vs. MIL
Despite hitting from the right side of the plate, Gyorko is another Cardinal bat that thrived against right-handed pitching a season ago. Gyorko posted a sky-high .295 ISO against righties last season to go along with an .836 OPS, both of which easily trumped his numbers against left-handed pitching. He continues to show reverse hitting splits again this season with a whopping .348 ISO and 1.130 OPS against right-handed pitching.
3B – Evan Longoria (TB) – $4,100 vs. MIA
Longoria makes for a solid one-off play tonight against Marlins’ lefty Wei-Yin Chen. Chen was excellent against left-handed hitting in 2016, however struggled immensely with right-handed bats with an elevated 1.79 HR/9 to righties. This makes Longoria’s matchup an appetizing one tonight as he posted a .247 ISO on the road against left-handers last season, a season in which he clubbed 36 home runs, rediscovering his home run stroke after posting just 43 over the previous two seasons combined.
SS – Aledmys Diaz (STL) – $4,000 vs. MIL
Diaz is the third and final member of this Cardinals stack against Brewers’ right-hander Zach Davies tonight. Like Gyorko, Diaz posted reverse hitting splits in 2016 with a .237 ISO and .941 OPS against right-handed pitching compared to a .145 ISO and .725 OPS against left-handed pitching. His rookie year was certainly an impressive one as he hit 17 home runs and posted a .210 overall ISO, establishing himself as one of the top hitting shortstops in the NL.
OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) – $3,600 vs. TEX
Forming a nice left-handed mini stack with McCann, Reddick is another bat we can use to exploit Cashner’s weaknesses against lefties. Reddick posted a .322 batting average and hit all ten of his home runs from 2016 against right-handed pitching and has a solid .186 ISO and .787 OPS against right-handed pitching in his career. He figures to hit in the two-hole again today for the Astros which could be a productive spot against Cashner this evening.
OF – Andrew Benintendi (BOS) – $3,900 vs. BAL
Here is a young player who is on the brink of stardom. Originally labelled as the top prospect in baseball heading into the season, Benintendi has been quick to remove the prospect label as he has hit to a .333 average and .870 OPS so far on the season. He also has three home runs and two stolen bases, giving the rookie excellent cross-category upside every single night. He takes on Orioles’ right-hander Dylan Bundy tonight and considering Benintendi has hit righties to the tune of a .213 ISO and .940 OPS in his young career to date this is certainly a matchup we want to target.
OF – Michael Saunders (PHI) – $3,600 vs. CHC
Rarely will I target a bat with a lefty-on-lefty situation ahead of him, but given the splits, this matchup is a good one for Saunders. Saunders will take on Cubs’ lefty Brett Anderson tonight who has been much worse against lefties this season, surrendering six hits including four doubles, two earned runs and a walk in just 2.1 innings against lefties this season. Looking at Saunders, he posted a whopping .294 ISO and a .927 OPS against lefties in 2016 compared to a .205 ISO and .783 OPS against righties. While Anderson’s sample size is very small, his career numbers show he is not dominant against lefties like most southpaws are and given Saunders’ reverse hitting splits this could be a very low-owned play tonight that oozes with value.