My apologies as I have been severely under the weather the last few days and was unable to put the necessary research in in order to release some DraftKings MLB picks. That said, today is a new day and I am ready to get back on the horse! Let’s go!
P – Ervin Santana (MIN) – $10,900 vs. SD
There are a couple of top arms on tonight’s slate including fantasy beast Max Scherzer, however Scherzer hasn’t exactly been in top form recently so let’s roll with the far less costly Santana against the light-hitting, strikeout-prone Padres. Santana has racked up only five strikeouts over his last two games, however both of those starts came against the Royals who simply don’t strike out much at all. Prior to those two starts, Santana had struck out at least six batters in seven straight starts and more than six in four of those seven starts. The Padres’ projected starting lineup has a K-rate of over 24% against righties over the last month while Santana has struck out righties at a similar clip in the last month and should see at least six tonight.
P – Tyler Glasnow (PIT) – $6,600 vs. MIL
You might remember Glasnow from earlier in the season when he was giving up plenty of runs to big league hitters. The Pirates ended up demoting him to Triple-A where he simply dominated hitters to the tune of a 1.93 ERA and a massive 38.5% strikeout clip. Well, he gets another chance to become a member of the Pirates rotation tonight and he also gets a high-strikeout opponent in the form of the Milwaukee Brewers. Milwaukee’s projected lineup has amassed a massive 27.5% strikeout clip against righties over the last month as they have consistently been one if, if not the most strikeout-prone offenses in all of baseball for the majority of the season. Glasnow oozes with value at his price tonight.
C – Alex Avila (CHC) – $3,500 vs. NYM
My top stack of the night is the Chicago Cubs as they take on right-hander Matt Harvey who has simply been atrocious to left-handed hitters this season. Keep an eye on the Cubs lineup as it comes out, but Avila should be in it considering Harvey sports a 7.37 FIP and a 2.67 HR/9 clip to left-handed bats. Avila has slowed down some over the second half of the season, but still owns a .220 ISO, .897 OPS and a .383 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching, the latter two of which are second best on the club next to Kris Bryant. With Willson Contreras healthy Avila’s starts will be diminished, but my bet is he gets the nod against Harvey tonight.
1B – Anthony Rizzo (CHC) – $5,500 vs. NYM
Of course Rizzo gets the nod here as part of the Cubs stack as he is enjoying a monster second half to the season that includes a .945 OPS and a .399 wOBA. He has hit right-handed pitching to a .236 ISO, .905 OPS and a .382 wOBA on the season. He is also an incredibly tough out for righties as he has struck out in only 12.6% of his at-bats against them, which perhaps becomes even more impressive when we factor in his impressive 13.2% walk rate versus righties. Rizzo is in a fantastic spot to do some damage tonight in this matchup.
2B – Ian Happ (CHC) – $4,400 vs. NYM
Happ likely isn’t going to win any batting titles anytime soon, but his raw power is undeniable. Happ enters play tonight sporting a massive .291 ISO and an .874 OPS and .362 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching. Happ played long ball in last night’s contest again to bring his season total to 22 big flies on the season in limited MLB time, and although he is a boom-or-bust type play, his power and the fact we are rolling out a five-man Cubs stack makes him quite an obvious play here tonight.
3B – Kris Bryant (CHC) – $5,000 vs. NYM
Although Harvey has been worse to lefties, it’s not like he has dominated righties. Harvey sports a 5.12 FIP against righties this season and has allowed a .352 wOBA and a 1.52 HR/9 clip to them on the road as well. Besides, Bryant leads all Cubs hitters with a .912 OPS and a .386 wOBA against righties this season and should slide right into that advantageous two-hole again tonight.
SS – Wilmer Difo (WAS) – $3,400 vs. ATL
Finally a break from the Cubs, for now. Difo finds himself in a matchup with Braves’ rookie southpaw Luiz Gohara who was rocked for six runs in just four innings of work in his big league debut last week against the Rangers. Things won’t get any easier for the freshman tonight as he faces a tough Nats lineup, one that survived superstar Trea Turner’s long-term injury thanks to Difo. Difo has simply mashed lefties to the tune of a .352 average, .225 ISO, .972 OPS and a .405 wOBA this season. Bet you didn’t know that. While most will reach for Turner at the shortstop spot in this matchup tonight, I will pivot to Difo who has much better numbers against lefties this season.
OF – Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – $3,900 vs. NYM
Back to the Cubs we go. Schwarber has also enjoyed a massive second half of the season after a dreadful first few months. In the second half, Schwarber has compiled a .303 ISO, .908 OPS and a .380 wOBA. Against right-handed pitching this season, Schwarber has mashed his way to a .266 ISO while ranking second on the Cubs with a 37.9% hard hit rate off of righties. Schwarber has homered in back-to-back contests and is a fantastic play at a reasonable price tonight.
OF – Jackie Bradley Jr. (BOS) – $3,400 vs. OAK
The Red Sox are in a nice spot tonight at home against Athletics’ right-hander Jharel Cotton. Cotton sports a 6.61 FIP and a 2.24 HR/9 clip to left-handed bats this season so let’s get Bradley here at a cheap price. Although he was removed from last night’s game, it was most likely as a precaution with the game out of hand and Bradley could very well see himself back in the lineup tonight in the heat of a pennant race. He sports just a .725 OPS on the season against righties, but also a solid .171 ISO as we look for the one-off home run from the young outfielder tonight.
OF – Max Kepler (MIN) – $3,200 vs. SD
Kepler and the Twins will battle right-hander Dinelson Lamet tonight at Target Stadium. Lamet has displayed some impressive stuff this season and is a high-strikeout arm, but has still yielded a .358 wOBA to lefties and has pitched to a 4.94 FIP against them as well. Kepler can be sneaky as he has clubbed 17 homers on the season and sports a .222 ISO, .848 OPS and a .358 wOBA on the season against right-handed pitching. Like Bradley, let’s look for the one-off home run or two from a young outfielder this evening.