Last night’s picks certainly showed improvement as both pitchers had nice outings and both also grabbed wins as well. Aaron Nola went seven strong innings, giving up two earned runs while striking out eight while Collin McHugh tossed five innings of one-run ball with five strikeouts. Matt Olson and Jose Altuve both played long ball while the players in both stacks chipped in some offense as well, so hopefully you were able to use or all of these picks to get into the cash! Let’s aim for the best lineup of the week as we take on tonight’s 11-game slate!
P – Robbie Ray (ARI) – $13,000 vs. SD
There is a fella by the name of Chris Sale pitching tonight in Baltimore, but it has been Robbie Ray that has been the better of the two as of late. Over his last four starts, Ray has given up just four earned runs while striking out 46, yes 46, over 27.1 innings! In fact, let’s throw in his fifth-to-last start as well where he struck out nine over five innings and we have 54 strikeouts over his last 32.1 innings. Pure insanity. He takes on a strikeout-prone Padres team tonight at Petco Park, a place where Ray has pitched to a 1.31 ERA across three career starts.
P – Aaron Wilkerson (MIL) – $4,000 vs. PIT
From one of the top pitchers in the game to a youngster making his MLB debut, I actually see some upside here with Wilkerson. He produced a very nice season at Double-A with a 3.16 ERA, 3.00 FIP and a solid 25.4% strikeout rate as well. His small 6.4% walk rate is also encouraging as he takes on a Pirates team that has slowly increased their strikeout rate as the season has progressed. Pittsburgh owns a 19.8% strikeout rate against righties for the season, good for eighth best in the bigs, but they own a 24.9% strikeout rate over the last 30 days against righties, sixth worst in the bigs. Wilkerson provides upside tonight while also providing notable cost savings as well.
C – Kurt Suzuki (ATL) – $3,100 vs. WAS
While I haven’t targeted Gio Gonzalez much at all this season, this is a case where I am really excited to nab an opposing righty against the veteran lefty. While Gonzalez is having a nice season, so is the veteran Suzuki who owns a massive .412 ISO, 1.159 OPS and a .474 wOBA against lefties this season. Throw in the fact he is 5 for 10 with a homer and two doubles in his career against Gonzalez and we could very well have the top catcher on the slate tonight.
1B – Matt Carpenter (STL) – $4,300 vs. CIN
The Cardinals will face rookie right-hander Rookie Davis tonight in Cincinnati as they look to pile on what has been a poor season for the youngster. Davis has compiled a 7.71 ERA at the MLB level this season and has thrown just two innings in the MLB since May, and in those two innings he allowed two runs on four hits and a walk against these very Cardinals. Let’s start the Cardinals’ stack off here with Carpenter who owns a .223 ISO, .865 OPS and a .372 wOBA against righties this season and should hit in the very valuable leadoff spot tonight.
2B – Javier Baez (CHC) – $3,500 vs. TB
The Cubs will take on lefty Blake Snell who has been better recently, but prone to blowups like the six-run outing he yielded to the Twins just two starts ago. Snell owns a 4.62 FIP and a 1.55 HR/9 clip to righties at home this season, and we have some affordable righties here with the Cubs beginning with Baez. Baez has clobbered lefties to the tune of a .280 ISO, .975 OPS and a .374 wOBA this season, fantastic numbers for this price range.
3B – Kris Bryant (CHC) – $4,600 vs. TB
While Bryant isn’t cheap, he simply destroys lefties. Bryant enters play tonight sporting a .233 ISO, .999 OPS and a .421 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitching. He is also riding a six-game hitting streak into tonight’s contest and owns a .261 ISO, 1.091 OPS and a .458 wOBA over the last seven days and 25 plate appearances.
SS – Paul DeJong (STL) – $4,900 vs. CIN
Back to the Cardinals’ stack we go here with the shortstop Paul DeJong. DeJong has hit well against both lefties and righties this season as he sports a .229 ISO, .823 OPS and a .345 wOBA on the season against righties. He hit his 23rd home run of the season in last night’s win to snap a five-game skid that saw him post just two hits over his previous 18 at-bats. Look for the rookie shortstop to continue heating up in a very favorable matchup tonight.
OF – Dexter Fowler (STL) – $4,500 vs. CIN
While DeJong could be heating up, here is a guy that is already red-hot. Over the last seven days, Fowler has crafted a massive .583 ISO, 1.810 OPS and a .722 wOBA. He posted his third consecutive multi-hit game in last night’s three-hit effort which included a homer for the second consecutive game. Fowler also brings some stolen base upside with him tonight as he has swiped five bases this season against a pitcher who has already given up five in just 21 innings this season.
OF – Tommy Pham (STL) – $5,100 vs. CIN
Pham is the most expensive member of this stack for good reason as he is enjoying a career year for the Cardinals. Pham enters play sporting a team-leading .918 OPS and a .385 wOBA against righties this season. He also leads the team with 21 stolen bases, giving him cross-category upside likely out of the two-hole for the Cardinals tonight.
OF – Albert Almora Jr. (CHC) – $2,800 vs. TB
Here we have our value play with Almora as part of a Cubs’ three-man stack against Snell. Almora has quietly mashed lefties this season to the tune of a .343 batting average, .910 OPS and a .391 wOBA. Blake Snell owns a hefty 4.09 BB/9 rate this season and Almora walks a lot with an 11% walk rate versus just a 13.6% strikeout rate against lefties. These are super valuable figures at a sub-3K price tonight.