gravatar

DraftKings MLB Picks – September 27th

Unfortunately for last night’s lineup, Chris Sale just didn’t show up. Sale has hurled 22 scoreless innings with 35 strikeouts across three starts against the Blue Jays this season but was rocked for five runs including four home runs across just five innings of work. Jordan Montgomery was a solid second starter as expected as he tossed six innings of one-run ball with five strikeouts. The Angels put up nine runs as Mike Trout and Luis Valbuena played long ball while Albert Pujols had a nice night himself. Evan Gattis had a solid night too, but considering Houston scored 14 runs it would have been nice to see him in on more of the action. While the lineup was solid, we will look for improvement on tonight’s 11-game slate!

P – Garrett Richards (LAA) – $7,900 vs. CWS

Richards has some back in time to make a handful of starts for the Angels and should have a solid matchup tonight for his final start of the season against the White Sox. Richards had understandably not been going deep into ball games across his first four starts, however in his most recent start he managed to pitch six scoreless innings of one-hit ball with six strikeouts against a tough Astros lineup. Tonight he faces a much weaker White Sox offense, an offense that has struck out in almost 27% of their at-bats over the last month against righties as per their projected lineup. Look for Richards to build off of his recent gem in tonight’s outing.

P – Sean Newcomb (ATL) – $7,800 vs. ATL

Newcomb is another pitcher that hasn’t been going deep into games, but he does sport some very nice strikeout upside tonight. Newcomb has posted a 26.5% strikeout rate in September, the highest clip he has posted in any month this season. The Mets’ projected lineup has struck out in over 23% of their at-bats against lefties over the last month and are a shell of their former selves, so let’s extract some value out of the cost-effective Newcomb tonight.

C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) – $5,000 vs. TB

Today we almost have unlimited funds to use on the lineup, so let’s go with the top catcher Sanchez who has a mouth-watering matchup against Rays’ right-hander Matt Andriese. Andriese is a reverse-splits pitcher who has been much worse to righties than lefties in his career. This season, he is yielding a 2.22 HR/9 clip while pitching to a 5.77 FIP against right-handed hitters. Enter Sanchez who sports a .256 ISO, .890 OPS and a .373 wOBA against righties this season and is four for his last nine with a double and a homer.

*Cheaper Alternative: Austin Barnes (LAD) – $3,500 – Career 7 for 12 with a homer and 2 doubles vs. Clayton Richard.

1B – Anthony Rizzo (CHC) – $4,900 vs. STL

Rizzo is a one-off play tonight, but boy does he love to hit against the Cardinals’ Michael Wacha. In his career against Wacha, Rizzo is 17 for 36 (.472) with three homers and a double while striking out just twice in that span. The Cubs’ offense as a whole have been clicking lately so let’s get their top left-handed bat into this lineup tonight with great BvP figures.

2B – Logan Forsythe (LAD) – $3,000 vs. SD

The Dodgers are in a fantastic spot tonight against southpaw Clayton Richard of the Padres, a pitcher they have teed off on in the past. While you can also go with Starlin Castro as part of a Yankees stack here, Forsythe has excellent BvP against Richard and has been hot lately. In his career against Richard, Forsythe is 5 for 9 while he has gone 4 for his last 7 with two doubles and a homer. He also sports an .888 OPS and a .387 wOBA against lefties on the season.

3B – Justin Turner (LAD) – $4,100 vs. SD

Turner has absolutely mashed lefties this season to the tune of a .326 ISO, 1.176 OPS and a .481 wOBA this season. Against Richard in his career, Turner is 8 for 17 (.471) with a homer and a double to go with five runs scored and zero strikeout in that stretch. He played in last night’s contest, so it appears Turner is good to go after that finger injury moving forward and is clearly in a fantastic matchup this evening.

SS – Kike Hernandez (LAD) – $2,700 vs. SD

This is a recording: Kike Hernandez mashes left-handed pitching and is extremely underpriced. Hernandez has posted a .320 ISO, .953 OPS and a .393 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitching, all three of which rank second on the team next to Turner. Players with numbers like this against the opposing pitchers’ handedness are simply not available at this price, so be sure to lock the lefty-mashing Hernandez into your lineup tonight.

OF – Chris Taylor (LAD) – $3,700 vs. SD

Taylor is yet another member of the Dodgers’ lefty-mashing club and another member of the excellent BvP against Clayton Richard club as well. On the season, Taylor has hit lefties for a .193 ISO, .854 OPS and a .362 wOBA on the season. In his career against Richard, he is 4 for 9 with two doubles. His priced has dropped due to a recent cold streak, however he did have an RBI double and scored a run in his most recent start and is likely to hit leadoff tonight, so let’s make sure we include Taylor in this lineup as well.

OF – Aaron Judge (NYY) – $5,700 vs. TB

All rise. The first half Aaron Judge appears to be back as the hulking outfielder has clubbed seven homers over his last eight games to go along with three doubles and 13 RBIs over that stretch. He has a .356 ISO, 1.068 OPS and a .436 wOBA on the season against righties and is 5 for 9 with two homers and a double in his career against Matt Andriese. Easy call here.

OF – Ryan Braun (MIL) – $4,600 vs. CIN

Braun is having a nice season for the contending Brewers, and his career numbers against Reds’ righty Homer Bailey spell a good matchup tonight. In his career against Bailey, Braun has gone 16 for 44 (.364) with four homers, four doubles and nine RBIs. He has also stole three bases against Bailey in that stretch, another aspect of Braun’s game with upside as he has stolen ten bases this season against righties and Bailey has yielded 8 in about 80 innings pitched.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.