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DraftKings MLB Picks – September 5th

Welcome to a fresh week of MLB DFS! After an eventful Labor Day weekend we are excited for some September baseball as tonight presents us with a jam-packed 15-game slate. Let’s get the week started off on the right note!

P – Zack Greinke (ARI) – $10,400 vs. LAD

Greinke has seen a lot of his old team lately as he has faced the Dodgers twice over his last five starts and has tossed 12.2 innings in those two starts and yielded four earned runs and struck out 14. Greinke has been dominant to both sides of the plate recently, having struck out at least 26% of hitters from both the left and right sides while allowing a wOBA under .290 over the last month to both sides. While the Dodgers clearly possess one baseball’s elite offenses, it stands to reason that Greinke can continue to overpower his old club, especially considering his career 2.30 ERA across 49 starts at Dodger Stadium.

P – Robert Stephenson (CIN) – $6,800 vs. MIL

Stephenson comes with risk tonight and is best suited for GPPs, but he also has nice strikeout upside and has pitched very well lately. Over his last two starts spanning 11.2 innings, Stephenson has allowed only four earned runs and struck out 18 while earning the victory in both games. He faces a strikeout-prone Brewers’ offense that has a 28% strikeout rate against righties over the last 14 days and just a .664 OPS and a .281 wOBA in that span as well. The highly-touted prospect could be making good on his pre-MLB hype these days.

C – Salvador Perez (KC) – $3,200 vs. DET

Perez and the Royals will face struggling right-hander Anibal Sanchez and the Detroit Tigers tonight so let’s go ahead and stack this team who boasts both power and stolen base upside as well. Perez has crafted a powerful .219 ISO against right-handed pitching this season and hit his first homer since lately July in yesterday’s contest, hopefully beginning a power surge that could anchor this Royals stack tonight.

1B – Eric Hosmer (KC) – $4,600 vs. DET

Next up in the stack is the arguably the Royals best player in first baseman Eric Hosmer. Hosmer has posted a team-leading (min. 20 PA) .929 OPS and .395 wOBA against right-handers this season and is a career .350 hitter with a homer and four doubles against Sanchez. He also mashes at Comerica Park with a career .872 OPS in this venue.

2B – Whit Merrifield (KC) – $4,100 vs. DET

Although Merrifield has done a lot of damage against lefties this season, he still boasts plenty of potential atop this Royals lineup. Merrifield has cranked 12 homers and stolen 22 bases against right-handers this season, a good combination considering Sanchez has yielded a 3.05 HR/9 clip to righties and allowed ten steals in only 77.2 innings this season. Run scoring opportunities are the icing on the Merrifield cake tonight.

3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) – $5,200 vs. SF

While Arenado is likely to see some very high ownership tonight, perhaps the highest on the slate, he is unfadeable in my opinion at home against lefty Ty Blach. Arenado has clobbered lefties to the tune of a .407 average, .431 ISO, 1.284 OPS and a .522 wOBA this season. Considering all of these numbers improve at home against lefties, let’s roll with Arenado who isn’t even the most expensive third baseman on tonight’s slate.

SS –Trevor Story (COL) – $3,800 vs. SF

Another lefty-masher on the Rockies is shortstop Trevor Story. Story enters play tonight sporting a .373 ISO, 1.070 OPS and a .432 wOBA against lefties this season, all of which are second best on the team next to Arenado. He also leads all Rockies with a 48.3% hard hit rate against lefties, making him a fairly easy call at a very reasonable price tonight against the Giants.

OF – Lorenzo Cain (KC) – $3,900 vs. DET

I believe we are getting Cain at a very reasonable price tonight considering his matchup with Sanchez. Sanchez is reverse splits and, as mentioned, sports a HR/9 clip north of 3.00 to righties this season. Cain has a .310 average, .807 OPS and a .349 wOBA against righties to go along with nine homers and 21 stolen bases against them. He is a very intriguing player tonight as he should hit in the two hole for Ned Yost’s club this evening.

OF – Albert Almora Jr. (CHC) – $3,400 vs. PIT

Another team in a prime position tonight are the Chicago Cubs against Pirates’ lefty Steven Brault. Brault is making his first MLB start of the season tonight, but his most recent outing came last Wednesday when he gave up four runs in one inning against these very Cubs. Almora is hitting lefties to the tune of a .347 average, .934 OPS and a .399 wOBA this season and should hit out of the two hole tonight, a very valuable spot in the lineup.

OF – Ian Happ (CHC) – $4,500 vs. PIT

The switch-hitting Happ is enjoying a stellar rookie campaign from both sides of the plate as he enters tonight’s contest sporting a solid .198 ISO and a .785 OPS against lefties this season. He is also 7 for his last 16 with two homers, a double, six RBI and three runs scored over his last four contests. He and Almora should form a fine mini-stack this evening.

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