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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks – September 14th

The Athletics failed me after working out beautifully the day prior. Matt Shoemaker didn’t get a chance to burn me, though, as his start was pushed back to Friday. My lineup fell apart quite early, so even though I got some help from my sticks, you didn’t benefit unless you made the right pivot on the mound.

That being said, Manny Machado (37 fantasy points) was a great play, while Matt Olson (9.5), Justin Turner (12.7), Khris Davis (6), Ramon Laureano (6.2) and Kike Hernandez (12.2) all got on the board and certainly didn’t hurt you. Lewis Brinson (12) ended up being an elite value play, too.

Jed Lowrie (0) was my only hitter to truly stink up the joint, so even though the Athletics stack didn’t perform up to expectations, my picks didn’t necessarily kill your night.

Hopefully you got off Shoemaker and made enough adjustments to finish in the green. If not, I’ll aim to help you do so on tonight’s huge 15-game slate at FanDuel:

SP: Jose Berrios – Minnesota Twins ($8.5k)

This is a loaded slate for pitching if you look at it purely from a talent perspective. Mad Max, Masahiro Tanaka, Jack Flaherty, Walker Buehler, James Paxton, Noah Syndergaard and more will toe the rubber tonight and could all be great plays.

The problem is a lot of them are pretty pricey and/or are in less than ideal spots. Scherzer should wreck, but he’s still on the road against a potent Braves lineup. Tanaka can implode at anytime and is in a dangerous park against a powerful Toronto offense. Thor is in Fenway against Boston. It goes on and on.

There is risk everywhere, so I’m just seeking value tonight.

Berrios gets me that. He’s not been the same guy on the road this year, but I’m hoping a date with the Kansas City Royals makes that a non-issue. Kansas City doesn’t pack a ton of power, they whiff 27% of the time and they’re in a park that is pretty pitcher-friendly.

If Berrios doesn’t work out, it’s whatever. He’s got elite upside and has one of the best matchups on the board. He also opens things up for me like the top aces simply can’t.

If you’re looking to spend, Mad Max is the guy.

C/1B: Carlos Santana – Philadelphia Phillies ($3.1k)

I’m rolling out a four-man Phillies stack tonight. They’re at home with the park factor very much in their favor, they need wins as they chase the Braves in the NL East and they also face a beatable southpaw in Wei-Yin Chen.

Wei-Yin Chen has actually been solid as a whole this year, but he has pretty brutal road splits (1-7, 9.13 ERA, 12 HR, .333 BA allowed) and faces a slew of right-handers when he takes on the Phillies in a dangerous hitter’s park.

Santana is one of them, as he sports a clean .222 ISO against left-handed pitching. Chen’s struggles combine with issues against righties (.185 ISO, 43% fly ball rate) and I don’t think things will end well for him tonight at Citizens Bank Park.

2B: Jose Ramirez – Cleveland Indians ($4.6k)

J-Ram finally ended his month-long home run drought and I wasn’t on it. Of course. To be fair, it happened on a small early slate that I didn’t play. But still.

Hopefully I can still get some dong upside out of him tonight, as he’s at home in a hitter-friendly park and faces the hittable Matthew Boyd. Boyd has actually been decent this year, but he gives up loads of contact (48% fly ball rate). Against this offense in this park, that’s asking for trouble.

Ramirez hits southpaws quite well (.361 wOBA, 216 ISO), so he has a good chance to pop off in this one. He owes me.

3B: Josh Donaldson – Cleveland Indians ($3.4k)

Donaldson hasn’t done much since joining the Tribe, but due to his talent and upside, that is sure to change in the near future.

Hopefully he can make an impact tonight, where he’ll put his .353 wOBA up against Matthew Boyd. For his career Donaldson is much nastier than that when facing southpaws, as his sick .400 ISO from a year ago can attest to.

SS: Francisco Lindor – Cleveland Indians ($4.4k)

I’ll keep my Tribe stack going with Lindor, who is pricey but worth the extra cash. He sports a mean .431 wOBA and .219 ISO against left-handed pitching and has specifically wrecked Boyd (8-20, 2 HR) in the past.

OF: Rhys Hoskins – Philadelphia Phillies ($3.6k)

While I’m stacking the Tribe, I’ll be matching that offense with a full four-man Phillies stack as well. Carlos Santana is a great start, but Hoskins destroyed lefties (.429 ISO) in 2017 and still packs a lot of power in a great park. He’s been hitting the ball hard lately and is a solid shot at a long ball in one of my favorite stacks on the night.

OF: Brandon Guyer – Cleveland Indians ($2.1k)

Boyd has not been the same guy on the road and in 2018 hasn’t fared too well against the Indians. He has most of his issues against the right side of the plate and gets no favors done for him tonight. You can also look to Melky Cabrera ($3.3k), but Guyer and his cool .224 ISO versus southpaws will probably crack the lineup tonight.

Guyer is only used against lefties and he can mash it, so he’s a terrific punt play on this slate. This completes my four-man Indians stack and I love them in this spot at home against a beatable lefty.

I won’t be able to fit him in on this one, but if you can afford Edwin Encarnacion he’s an elite play tonight.

OF: Jose Bautista – Philadephia Phillies ($2.1k)

Another cheap punt that should be worth it is Joey Bats, who carries a strong .172 ISO into this one. He is always a threat to launch one and it’s worth noting he’s donged Chen in the past.

Util: Wilson Ramos – Philadelphia Phillies ($2.8k)

I’ll cap my Phillies stack and this lineup with Ramos, who mashes lefties (.397 wOBA, .250 ISO) with the best of them.

Summary

There is risk involved with this entire lineup. Berrios has not been good on the road and the Phillies can run hot and cold. Cleveland is chalky, though, so if these two stacks can go off and Berrios can exploit a beneficial matchup in a good ballpark, tonight could be a fun one.

If you don’t want to fire up two full stacks (or even one), just pick your spots. Guyer and Bautista are solid punts to help open up better pitching if you crave it, while Lindor, J-Ram, Santana and Ramos are four of my favorite plays on this slate.

Not into any of these MLB DFS picks? Consider targeting James Shields with Orioles, load up the Yanks against Marcos Estrada or pile on the Cubs against Matt Harvey. There are a ton of directions to go on such a big slate, but this lineup gets me two stacks I love and a potentially elite arm at a bargain price.

Whatever you decide, I wish you luck in your daily fantasy baseball contests at FanDuel tonight. Enjoy the games!

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