Last night was pretty weird in daily fantasy baseball. The Baltimore Orioles and Cincinnati Reds of all teams were two of the best stacks to target, while my infatuation with the Red Sox and Yankees produced only modest results.
I also thought I’d get better production out of Charlie Morton, but he just wasn’t close to good enough.
Some of my MLB DFS picks still panned out, but I didn’t produce a winner. Those crazy 15-game slates can go that way, though, which is why I always suggest scaling back on the days where all 30 baseball teams are active on one slate.
It’s onward and upward come Wednesday, as things cool down a bit with FanDuel’s nine-game main slate:
SP: Sean Newcomb – Atlanta Braves ($8.3k)
Newcomb was fantastic the last time I vouched for him. He was too cheap in the face of a friendly matchup with the Marlins and he proceeded to spin six marvelous shutout innings with eight strikeouts. I don’t know if he’ll get 52 fantasy points again, but he has nice K upside and again has a solid matchup against the Rays.
Tampa Bay has been on fire for the last few weeks, but they’re on the road against a good arm in a pitcher-friendly environment. I’ll roll the dice on Newcomb’s talent and the favorable matchup. Besides, I just don’t love any of the other options on this slate.
C/1B: Edwin Encarnacion – Cleveland Indians ($3.7k)
It’s never a bad idea to try a Tribe bat and tonight I’ll use at least one as the Indians take on the beatable Kohl Stewart. The sample size is extremely small, but Stewart has been lit up by right-handed bats (.476 wOBA, .217 ISO) and is in a brutal spot.
I’ll hear your argument for any Indians sticks tonight, but I like the value associated with Edwin and his .264 ISO against righties.
2B: Brian Dozier – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.3k)
I don’t know if everyone will be freely stacking the Dodgers again tonight. Mike Minor has actually been quite good, so while the Dodgers are tempting in a lethal park, I’d prefer to just pick my spots.
Dozier has mashed southpaws for his career and is simply too cheap. You can also look at Manny Machado and Justin Turner, but I’m not paying a premium to load up batters against Minor.
3B: Mike Moustakas – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.7k)
Moose is coming to life of late, so I have no qualms going back to him at a reasonable price. He and his Brew Crew will again be in Great American Ballpark, where they face Matt Harvey.
The Dark Knight has actually been better than expected with the Reds, but he still gives up a lot of contact (42% fly ball rate, 38% hard hit rate, .212 ISO) to the left side of the plate.
Harvey has stepped away from the gas can he was as recently as earlier this season, but you can still get to him. Moose destroys righties (.241 ISO) and in this park is a fine one-off try.
SS: Trea Turner – Washington Nationals ($3.6k)
Turner feels like he’s way too cheap tonight. Not only that, but he gets a huge park upgrade in Philly and will face a pitcher in Jake Arrieta that hasn’t lived up to his name this year and also struggles to hold runners. Turner should get a couple of hits and swipe a bag or two.
OF: Eric Thames – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.1k)
Thames sat out of Tuesday’s game, so hopefully the Brewers deploy his nasty .283 ISO versus right-handed pitching.
I don’t necessarily want a full stack against an improved Harvey, but he’s facing a powerful lineup in a tough park for pitching. Thames has also murdered Cincinnati for the past two years, so if he’s active he’s a lock for me at this bargain price.
OF: Scott Schebler – Cincinnati Reds ($2.9k)
This entire Reds vs. Brewers game has blow-up potential. That sure was the case last night and with some volatile pitching on deck in a good park for the long ball, this is a solid spot to take a few cracks at some dongs.
Schebler has been mostly quiet since returning from injury but Freddy Peralta has issues with lefties and Schebler brings a sweet .215 ISO to the table.
OF: Kike Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.8k)
If you like Dozier’s history against left-handed pitching, Enrique should also be on your short list. Toss Matt Kemp onto the pile for Dodgers that are at least worth a look. I just don’t feel comfortable loading up against Minor tonight.
Util: Rhys Hoskins – Philadelphia Phillies ($3.5k)
Last, but certainly not least, is Rhys Hoskins. He’s been in a groove when it comes to the long ball lately (2 in his last 3 games) and he’ll be facing lefty Gio Gonzalez.
Gonzalez has really struggled this year and especially gives up damage to the right side of the plate. Hoskins showed his immense upside against lefties last year and I don’t mind taking a shot on it continuing tonight.
This is a pretty weird slate. The pitching is pretty solid from top to bottom, but for actually paying for an arm, few seem to stand out.
After last night’s craziness, I think things quiet down considerably. Instead of full stacks, picking your spots with one-off bats and two or three-man stacks may be the better daily fantasy baseball strategy to consider.
If you need to go with full stacks, the Dodgers, Phillies, Reds, Brewers and Indians lead the way for me.
Whether you use this lineup as it stands or merely pick your spots, I wish you luck in your MLB DFS contests at FanDuel tonight!