I had some solid MLB DFS picks last night, but on a 14-game slate it’s always going to be tough to rise to the top of big GPPs. Justin Verlander did all he could to get me there, but ultimately my value bats held me back.
Things tighten up a bit on Wednesday night, as FanDuel produces a fun 10-game slate. Gerrit Cole leads a somewhat underwhelming pitcher pool, while there are loads of nasty bats to consider paying up for.
Let’s strap ourselves in and take a look at some of my favorite daily fantasy baseball picks:
SP: Felix Pena – Los Angeles Angels ($6k)
I see Cole and his upside at home against the Rockies, but he hasn’t been worth paying up for lately. I also don’t feel quite right about spending $10k on Zack Wheeler, while just about everyone else I’d normally vouch for carries at least some amount of risk.
This feels like a great slate to punt at pitcher. I don’t know if that has to mean bypassing all of the viable intermediate options. Dylan Bundy, Marco Estrada and a few others do stand up as guys you can toss out there in tournaments.
Personally, I’m throwing caution to the wind and free falling all the way down to Pena.
There isn’t much to get excited about here, but Pena does happen to have the best matchup on the board and he’ll be operating in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. The Padres have some pop, but they whiff at a 23% clip when facing right-handed pitching, while their collective .135 ISO in these situations isn’t scary.
Pena could fail, but this is a bad slate for pitching and the matchup is there for the taking. Adjust as needed if you don’t want to take this dive, but I’m surprisingly pretty comfortable with it.
C/1B: Ryan O’Hearn – Kansas City Royals ($2.4k)
I’m saving a ton of cash with Pena and I’ll take one more salary-saving dive with O’Hearn. In short time, O’Hearn has proven his worth with some nasty power (.333 ISO) against right-handed pitching. That should find him in the lineup on Wednesday, where he’ll take on extreme fly ball pitcher, Marco Estrada.
This is actually an awesome spot for Estrada, but he gives up an alarming 53% fly ball rate, as well as a .221 ISO to lefties. O’Hearn is far from a safe play and is the perfect cheap bat for GPPs.
Whether you plan on stacking Indians, Red Sox, Yankees or some other expensive group, he’s in play as a dirt cheap masher.
2B: Brian Dozier – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.7k)
I talk about why I like the Dodgers in my MLB pick for tonight, so feel free to check that out and consider betting on the Dodgers to win by two runs.
Understandably, I like their bats in this spot, as Derek Holland has real problems with right-handed hitters (.348 wOBA, .221 ISO, 41% fly ball rate, 45% hard hit rate). Dozier has mashed lefties throughout his career, so while his 2018 numbers don’t reflect that, he leads the way in this L.A. stack.
3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.6k)
I’m going four Dodgers deep tonight, so feel free to pivot as needed if you feel the urge. You can also use other Dodgers I’m not listing, although I’d probably stick to the right side of the plate.
JT is another guy who has destroyed left-handed pitching in the past and continues to do so (.217 ISO, .440 wOBA) this season. He’s firmly in play as a one-off, while Jose Ramirez stands out as a guy worth paying up for if you don’t want Turner here.
SS: Manny Machado – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.8k)
Machado mashes southpaws (.382 wOBA, .211 ISO) and keeps a strong Dodgers stack rolling. He’s also arguably too cheap given his natural talent and upside.
OF: Kike Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.6k)
Remember, you don’t have to follow suit here, but the Dodgers collectively feel discounted tonight. Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig are viable pivots in this spot, but Hernandez screams value and has historically crushed lefties.
OF: Giancarlo Stanton – New York Yankees ($4.5k)
Saving across the board allows me to load up on some elite one-off options.
One I covet is Giancarlo Stanton, who can mash both sides of the plate. Tampa Bay will throw several pitchers at the Yankees, so if you plan on using any pinstripes bats, make sure they can hit lefties and righties. Stanton sure can and I feel a dong coming tonight.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox ($5.1k)
Ditto for Just Dongs, as Martinez is (jokingly?) due for a dong after not launching one last night. I’m only half kidding, as he is on a torrid pace and also demolishes right-handed pitching (.374 ISO!).
Vincent Velasquez has actually been stingy against right-handed bats, but he will find no comfort in this matchup in this park.
Util: Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies ($3.2k)
I’ll cap this MLB DFS lineup off with Chuck, who is just too cheap. Blackmon is admittedly in a bit of a rut, but he stills owns a .231 ISO against right-handed hurlers. Gerrit Cole is not a guy I usually like targeting, but he does give up some contact and allows a 45% fly ball rate to lefty bats. Blackmon isn’t the worst try, especially at this absurdly low price tag.
Overall, I don’t trust the pitching on this slate and I’m a big fan of the Dodgers tonight. I’m doubling down on them, so to speak, as I love them for my MLB DFS picks column and also think they’re a great team to bet on tonight.
Whether you agree with me or not, hopefully I shed a little light on Wednesday’s 10-game daily fantasy baseball slate. Good luck and enjoy the games!