Last night was disastrous for daily fantasy baseball – and not just for me. It was a truly regrettable night for pretty much everyone across the board, as super chalky stacks like the Indians, Cubs and Angels combined for seven runs.
A few other popular stacks went off, but not the way many had hoped.
Max Scherzer (49 fantasy points) wasn’t a scrub, but he wasn’t worth paying up for in the end. That understandably held my roster back, which was loaded with value bats that collectively didn’t really deliver.
It was a forgettable night in MLB DFS, so let’s scrap it and move along to the next one.
Saturday is broken up into several different slates at FanDuel, but the one you’ll want to focus on starts later in the night and features 11 games. Let’s dive in and see how some of my favorite daily fantasy baseball picks from this slate can help you win in tourneys:
SP: David Price – Boston Red Sox ($10.1k)
Price is at home in a park that can always be dicey, but he’s been quite good at Fenway (5-2, 3.28 ERA) and draws a tasty matchup with a punchless Rays offense he’s schooled (2.10 ERA through four starts) all year.
Not just that, but Price is the top pitcher on the board by quite a bit and he comes in with terrific form (40+ fantasy points in four of last five starts). The park and price may scare some away, so feel free to consider Zack Godley against the Padres at Petco Park or Madison Bumgarner ($8.9k) at a solid discount.
I just don’t trust Godley and MadBum doesn’t presently offer the K upside Price can. With Tampa Bay whiffing versus southpaws at an alarming 25% rate, Price seems set up for a big outing and feels like a great anchor for tonight’s FanDuel lineup.
C/1B: Brandon Belt – San Francisco Giants ($3.1k)
Here comes the Giants stack. I rolled out Belt last night to no avail, but he again gets a nice matchup with a huge park upgrade. Belt hammers right-handed pitching (.239 ISO) and he’s facing a potential gas can in Matt Harvey (.363 wOBA, .237 ISO, 44% fly ball rate, 39% hard hit rate vs. L).
A full Giants stack is firmly in play and I’ll be going with three lefties from San Francisco tonight.
2B: Joe Panik – San Francisco Giants ($2.2k)
Panik lacks enticing power, but he doesn’t strikeout much (7%) and establishes contact with the best of them (90%). That should make for bad news for Harvey.
3B: Eugenio Suarez – Cincinnati Reds ($3.3k)
I do like Madison Bumgarner a bit, but let’s keep in mind that he gets a huge park downgrade and the Reds don’t whiff like they used to.
I certainly woudn’t stack against MadBum in this spot, but Suarez specifically brings serious power to the table and notoriously wrecks southpaws (.490 wOBA, .326 ISO). He’s too cheap in such a good spot.
SS: Brandon Crawford – San Francisco Giants ($2.8k)
I’ll cap my San Francisco stack with Crawford, who brings some pop to the table in a nice park for the long ball. Three left-handed hitters against Matt Harvey gives me all of the good feels. They happen to be Giants, but whatever.
OF: Joc Pederson – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3k)
I love Giants tonight, but I might love the Dodgers a bit more. They’re not in an amazing park for offense, but they get to face Erasmo Ramirez, who makes for a tasty matchup. Not only do all of L.A.’s lefty bats wreck right-handed pitching, but Ramirez is giving up an absurd .525 wOBA and .541 ISO to lefties so far in 2018.
That could just be a lot of noise, but if you look to his 2017 numbers, Erasmo still struggled (.345 wOBA, .221 ISO) quite a bit against the left side of the plate. I’ll kick my three-man Dodgers stack off with Joc, who tends to lead off and sports a monster .304 ISO in spots like these.
OF: Cody Bellinger – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3.4k)
Bellinger has tailed off from where he was last year or even earlier in this season, but he can still mash right-handed pitching (.236 ISO). He’s a lock for me tonight.
OF: A.J. Pollock – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.9k)
It’s tough to fade the Boston mashers on this slate, but I don’t see a reason to force them in. They’re also really pricey, so I’ll just roll out two of my favorite stacks and finish things off with Pollock, who can mash as well as anyone.
That’s certainly true when he faces left-handed pitching (.366 wOBA, .293 ISO) and tonight he gets Clayton Richard (42% hard hit rate vs. R). The park is a downgrade, but I’ll take the numbers and run.
Util: Max Muncy – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.9k)
Feel free to force in a fourth Dodgers bat and don’t be scared to include the righties like Justin Turner, Manny Machado or Brian Dozier. I just prefer the left side given Ramirez’s splits and Muncy is too cheap given the matchup and his damage (.332 ISO) inflicted in matchups with righties.
The stacks I like tonight could easily be chalky. However, with 11 games out there and attractive stacks like the Red Sox, Nats, Cubs and Angels, I am hopeful they’ll be pretty contrarian. This gets me my favorite pitcher and I love the splits edge with these cheap bats.
The Dodgers are always worth a shot and tonight they have an amazing matchup. San Francisco is always a risk, but you couldn’t ask for a better spot. Toss in Pollock and and Suarez and this has the makings of a GPP-winner.
Hopefully that’s the case. Whether you use this lineup as it stands or just a few of my MLB DFS picks, I wish you luck!