My MLB DFS picks from last night didn’t really deliver. It was a really weird slate that saw the Kansas City Royals of all teams put up 10 runs, while Rich Hill was only so-so and my bats didn’t really come to life.
Thursday promises to be a little more interesting, as we have some elite pitchers on the mound, as well as some true gas cans.
I will be using one and targeting one in today’s FanDuel daily fantasy baseball picks. Take a look and see if you want to use any of thee MLB DFS picks or even submit the entire roster as it stands.
Let’s dive into tonight’s nine-game main slate:
SP: Clayton Kershaw – Los Angeles Dodgers ($10.7k)
The Brewers are always a tough lineup to get past, but I trust Kershaw at home. They certainly can whiff a good deal in the face of elite pitching and Dodger Stadium tends to be pretty friendly to pitchers.
Kershaw seems to have rediscovered his top form (54 fantasy points in his last start) and I get to save $1.1k as a pivot off of Mad Max. I’ll jump on an arguably discounted Kershaw and hope he’s dialed in for the stretch run. If so, I should have a really good chance at another 45-50 fantasy points, if not way more.
If you need savings at pitcher, consider dropping down to Mike Montgomery ($6.8k). He hasn’t been great, but he’s at home against the K-happy Padres and that isn’t nothing.
C/1B: Tyler Flowers – Atlanta Braves ($2.7k)
I love the Braves tonight. More specifically, I love ATL right-handed bats, as they’ll be at home against potential gas can, Jason Vargas.
Vargas can be frustratingly decent at times, but he’s also gotten blown up quite a bit this year. He’s especially had issues against righties (.422 wOBA, .269 ISO), but any Braves lefties that hit fellow southpaws well are also in play.
Flowers and his .263 ISO could be in play here if he starts, but Kurt Suzuki (.226 ISO) will be just as good of a try if he gets the nod. I’m using one or the other tonight, as they’re both $2.9k or less and have a great matchup in front of them.
2B: Joe Panik – San Francisco Giants ($2k)
You can pay up for Ozzie Albies or Javier Baez if you wish (and neither is a terrible decision), but I’m just going to punt 2B. Panik is a solid hitter and he should be active tonight as the Giants face right-handed hurler, Zach Greinke.
Greinke is not a guy I personally enjoy targeting, but Panik is a high contact hitter (92%!) and doesn’t whiff much. This is more about savings than anything else, but a dong here would give this lineup an insane boost.
3B: Johan Camargo – Atlanta Braves ($3.1k)
Tonight is probably all about the Braves for me. I’m fading their two most popular hitters (they’re lefties) and riding the right-handed four-man stack. That continues with Camargo, who destroys left-handed pitching (.294 ISO!) and has been heating up as of late.
I don’t mind taking a look at Christian Villanueva’s gaudy splits versus southpaws if the wind is blowing out in Chicago, but I really like Atlanta tonight.
SS: Dansby Swanson – Atlanta Braves ($3k)
Let’s keep it going with the Braves, as Swanson has displayed some pop against southpaws. He’ll be batting low in the order and should go overlooked, but I like him as a low-owned piece to my ATL stack.
OF: Ronald Acuna – Atlanta Braves ($3.9k)
Acuna wraps up a full Braves stack at FanDuel. He’s just as powerful as the top Atlanta mashers and sports a decent .172 ISO against left-handed pitching. I know that Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies are the top ATL bats to target, but I’m trying to take advantage of an exploitable, chalky matchup by also being a bit contrarian.
At his price with merely modest splits, Acuna helps you do that.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox ($4.7k)
I want to pay up for Acuna and I’ll try to be a little contrarian with how I stack the Braves, but I don’t mind eating a little chalky. Kershaw could be chalky and so could Martinez, who seems to dong nightly. I’m game for paying for a long ball, as he’s the most expensive OF option on the board when he takes on lefty, C.C. Sabathia.
Sabathia has coughed up 15 home runs in 19 starts, so you know you can hunt for a dong or two in this game. The park never hurts, either, while J.D. historically wrecks southpaws. Mookie Betts is cheaper and has the more attractive ISO (.400!) in this spot, so I’m wondering if the seemingly chalky J.D. might actually be fairly low-owned.
If so, that makes him even more appealing than usual.
OF: Hunter Renfroe – San Diego Padres ($2.4k)
I mentioned Mike Montgomery as a cheap option against the Padres, but San Diego does pack a powerful punch and specifically can mash lefties when they’re dialed in. They get a small park upgrade and if the wind blows out I will take a look at 1-2 of them to open up some salary.
Renfroe doesn’t have the best ISO on their team, but he still offers up a .250 ISO in these types of situations. There are worse risks to be taken tonight.
Util: Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles ($2.4k)
The Orioles are somehow ablaze right now, so while I can’t stomach stacking them, I’ll take a chance on a one-off like Crush. He’s really come around over the past month, while he gets to play in a great park in Texas tonight.
Davis is about as inefficient as they come, but he can mash right-handed pitching and few hurlers gives up as much contact as Yovani Gallardo.
If you don’t want to roll the dice on a Crush homer, consider Nick Williams or Joey Gallo in the same price range.
It starts with Clayton Kershaw for me tonight. He’s an elite pivot off of the would-be top arm on this slate and despite a hefty price tag, there looks to be enough value on the board to fit him in rather easily.
Atlanta is my favorite stack, too, so as long as you don’t feel pressured to force Freeman and Albies onto your roster you should be able to comfortably attack Vargas and get away with it.
Whether you use a few of my MLB DFS picks or this lineup as it stands, I wish you luck tonight!