I wasn’t completely off base with my interest in the Atlanta Braves last night. Ronald Acuna was fantastic and Johan Camargo was decent, while a few other bats showed relative signs of life. It was awful timing when it came to Dodgers stacking, as I had been on that offense for about a week and they went absolutely nuts the day I went away from them.
That’s always fun to see, while Clayton Kershaw was solid but not spectacular.
It’s onward and upward come Friday, where MLB DFS gamers will get a hefty 14-game main slate to work with. There is some elite pitching up top and a whole lot of hitting, while there is also some weather to pay mind to.
All things considered, let’s take a look at some of my favorite daily fantasy baseball picks to form a GPP winner at FanDuel:
SP: Chris Archer – Pittsburgh Pirates ($9k)
Archer makes his debut for the Pirates tonight, where he’ll face an erratic Cardinals offense in a pitcher-friendly park. Archer sports an elite strikeout rate and gets a St. Louis squad that is capable of stringing runs together, but still whiffs at a 22% rate against right-handed pitching.
This is a solid spot for Archer, while the price is the real selling point for me. There are other pitchers to consider, but the savings for pivoting off of the top-priced Jacob deGrom ($2.5k) are too good to ignore.
I don’t feel the need to spend up on too much hitting tonight, but all of the top pitchers have shaky matchups. I’ll roll out Archer and hope he can limit the damage while racking up the whiffs at a discounted price.
C/1B: Matt Adams – Washington Nationals ($2.8k)
I could easily roll out a full four-man Nationals stack. This lineup is scorching hot right now and they’ll be at home against a beatable arm in Anthony DeSclafani. This game does have valid weather concern, though, so for now I’ll stick to lefty power and really only hone in on Adams.
Adams mashes right-handed pitching (.283 ISO) so he’s tops on my radar as far as Washington bats go. DeSclafani has serious issues with lefties (.410 wOBA, .400 ISO!), however, so feel free to tack on Daniel Murphy and Bryce Harper. Trea Turner or Anthony Rendon could round out a very interesting Nats stack tonight.
2B: Travis Shaw – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.8k)
While I really like the Nats, the weather has me shying away from a full stack for now. Instead, my top stack figures to be the Brewers, who will be at home in a hitter’s park against German Marquez.
The first guy I’m looking at is Shaw, who is simply too cheap given his power upside and splits (.384 wOBA, .280 ISO) against right-handed pitching. Marquez isn’t trash, but he gives up a good amount of contact and traveling on the road away from Coors is not helping him when it comes to this park.
Marquez gives up contact to both sides of the plate, but his K rate dips by 12%, his ground ball rate drps by 10% and he sees a 7% spike in his fly ball rate. I’m going for Brewers lefties here and hoping they can have a power surge of their own after getting waxed by the Dodgers last night.
Daniel Murphy is just $500 more and can be included or pivoted to at the 2B spot if you wish.
3B: Mike Moustakas – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.3k)
Marquez is no stranger to the long ball (19 homers in 21 starts) and given the amount of contact he can allow, I think a long line of nasty lefties spells trouble for him tonight.
Moose is certainly part of that thanks to his .238 ISO and he remains a very nice price given his talent and upside in these types of matchups.
SS: Francisco Lindor – Cleveland Indians ($4.8k)
I also like Trea Turner here, but as I noted, I do prefer Nats lefties tonight (and it seems lefties overall). Lindor should also be batting from the left side when he takes the plate against Jaime Barria, but I wonder if he doesn’t just stay on the right given Barria’s serious issues with right-handed power (.401 wOBA, .274 ISO).
Lindor can bat on either side, but he does own a sweet .289 ISO against right-handed hurlers and he hasn’t donged in what seems like forever. I think he adds to his home run collection tonight and will be worth the steep price.
OF: Teoscar Herandez – Toronto Blue Jays ($2.9k)
I could try to just fit my two favorite stacks together tonight, but there are a couple of one-offs I really like. Lindor is one and Teoscar is another.
Hernandez isn’t in the best park for the long ball, but he is dirt cheap and brings a nasty .309 ISO to the table when facing southpaws. Marco Gonzales has actually been pretty good for much of 2018, but he gives up more contact to the right side of the plate.
Hernandez comes in hot, having notched four hits (3 doubles!) in his last game.
OF: Eric Thames – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.9k)
I’ll keep my Brew Crew love rolling with Thames, who is coming in at a severe discount despite some gross power numbers (.303 ISO) versus right-handed pitching.
OF: Nicholas Castellanos – Detroit Tigers ($2.9k)
Much like Hernandez, I really dig Castellanos thanks to gaudy splits (.470 wOBA, .252 ISO) against left-handed pitching. He will also be seeing a park downgrade tonight, but he’s so cheap and will face the ever beatable Brett Anderson.
Anderson allows contact to both sides of the plate, but he’s been a special kind of awful (.423 wOBA, .255 ISO) against righties.
A full Tigers stack is very much in play on this slate, but with so many games I’d rather attack some more talented offenses. A one-off with a legit masher like Castellanos makes sense, however.
Util: Jesus Aguilar – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.3k)
Max Muncy is going to be super contrarian in a matchup with Justin Verlander tonight. It’s been too long since he last donged and JV does give up hard contact, so that’s one guy I’m considering. For now, I’ll wrap things up by completing a four-man Milwaukee stack and I see no better way to do that than with the mashing Aguilar.
Jesus has been a monster all year and while German Marquez is slightly worse against lefties, he gives up contact everywhere. I typically reserve Aguilar just for lefties, but he still owns pretty great splits (.400 wOBA, .314 ISO) against righties as well.
I think the Colorado Rockies are another sneaky stack to consider, but I’m mostly eyeing the Nats, Brewers and a few one-offs.
Archer carries a little risk, but he’s got a decent matchup and is in a good park. I think if he can get me around 40 fantasy points this lineup could be in solid shape and climb the rankings a bit.
Feel free to play this MLB DFS lineup as it stands or pick your spots. Either way, I wish you luck in your daily fantasy baseball FanDuel contests tonight!