It was another successful night with my DraftKings MLB DFS Picks on last night’s 14-game main slate!
Our pitcher got things started on a wonderful note as the Mets’ Zack Wheeler hurled eight innings of shutout ball to go along with five strikeouts and earned the victory for the white-hot Mets who are doing something special at the moment.
Our three-man Mets stack turned into a mini-stack as Amed Rosario didn’t start in this one, however the two Mets we did have were dynamite in support of their star right-hander. Pete Alonso played long ball once again and added a walk while Jeff McNeil singled twice, walked and a scored a run as well.
Our four-man Reds stack was the highlight of the night. The stack was led by the low-cost, low-owned Aristides Aquino as the youngster cranked a home run as part of a three-hit night while he also scored a pair of runs. What value we got there. Eugenio Suarez also homered in this one, Nick Senzel singled twice and knocked in a run while Phillip Ervin singled and scored a run as well. We didn’t pay much for this stack, especially with Aquino and Ervin, so I am thrilled to get a pair of homers as well as seven hits, four runs and three RBI out of this group.
Finally, our one-off Franmil Reyes’ game was PPD due to rain as per the possibility I mentioned in last night’s article. Perhaps your final results depended on what you did in this spot as well as the shortstop spot, but the players that did start from yesterday’s picks delivered some serious results, for the second straight night.
Let’s look to make it three straight profitable nights on this small five-game main slate!
P – Zac Gallen (ARI) – $8,400 vs. PHI
In one of the more surprising deadline deals last week, the Marlins dealt right-handed pitching prospect Zac Gallen to the D-backs in exchange for shortstop prospect Jazz Chisholm. While Gallen still may have the prospect label, he’s made seven big league starts with the Marlins this season and the results have been favorable. Gallen enters this start tonight sporting a 2.72 ERA and 3.58 FIP to go along with a real nice 10.65 K/9 clip across seven starts and 36.1 innings at the big league level this season. Across his 14 Triple-A starts prior to his promotion, Gallen posted a 1.77 ERA and 11.04 K/9 clip across 91.1 innings. At 24, Gallen appears to be the real deal and a long-term member of the D-backs’ rotation moving forward. The Phillies’ offense has scuffled this season, especially when we view their roster on paper, as they rank 20th with a .313 wOBa on the season against right-handed pitching, although their strikeout rate is dead-smack in the middle of the league against righties with a K-rate of 22.7%. Gallen’s price is right on a thin slate of pitching and with the D-backs listed as -135 favorites to win this one on the moneyline, I like the win upside here to boot.
C/1B – Mitch Moreland (BOS) – $3,200 vs. KC
The Red Sox and Royals get together again tonight and while there could be some weather issues in Boston tonight, I will nonetheless roster Moreland for now and figure the rest out later on. Moreland and the Red Sox are pegged to score a whopping 6.9 runs, as per FantasyLabs, against Royals right-hander Glenn Sparkman tonight. Sparkman enters this one sporting a 5.58 ERA, 5.95 FIP, 5.60 xFIP and a big 2.03 HR/9 allowed on the season in 13 starts and 21 appearances, so we certainly have something to work with and can understand why the Red Sox run projection is so high. Enter Moreland who continues to bash right-handed pitching here in 2019 as he owns a huge .311 ISO as well as an .869 OPS, .355 wOBA and 118 wRC+ on the season against righties. At home, the numbers remain strong, especially the ISO at .299 while he also owns an .848 OPS, .343 wOBA and 109 wRC+ on the season against righties at Fenway Park in Boston. He kicks off a mini-stack for us tonight as I had a first base and outfield spot to work with after filling in a main stack and mini stack with my high-upside bats in this lineup tonight.
2B – Wilmer Flores (ARI) – $2,200 vs. PHI
I am looking for a pair of D-backs to help in getting Gallen some run support in this one tonight beginning here with Flores who hasn’t received a lot of playing time this season but could certainly deliver some value at this price against left-handed Jason Vargas and the Phillies. Vargas has been decent this season, but has been battered on the road to the tune of a 5.03 ERA, 5.22 FIP, 5.54 xFIP and a 1.68 HR/9 on the season. Now, he had made just one start since coming to the Phillies from the Mets, so the “road” has meant anywhere but Citi Field in New York this season, which this qualifies as. Enter Flores who has made most of his big league living against left-handed pitcher. On the season, Flores sports a .286 average, .190 ISO, .805 OPS, .338 wOBA and a 106 wRC+ on the season against left-handed pitching. Despite seeing much more right-handed pitching than lefties this season, both of Flores’ homers and six of his 11 doubles on the season have come against a lefty. For his career, Flores owns a .204 ISO, .782 OPS, .329 wOBA and 109 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, and I’ll look for that success to continue tonight at a minuscule price.
3B – Manny Machado (SD) – $4,000 vs. SEA
The Padres will form my main stack in this one tonight as they take on left-hander Yusei Kikuchi and the Seattle Mariners. Kikuchi enters play tonight sporting a 5.49 ERA, 5.95 FIP and a 5.19 xFIP to go along with a 2.14 HR/9 clip. Furthermore, he owns a 5.43 ERA, 6.30 FIP, 5.24 xFIP and an increased 2.48 HR/9 at home this season where this one will take place tonight at Safeco Field in Seattle. Enter Machado who has been doing some outrageous damage against left-handed pitching on the season. Entering tonight’s contest, Machado is the owner of a .383 average, massive .420 ISO, 1.276 OPS, .513 wOBA and a monstrous 225 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season. The numbers against lefties get a slight boost on the road where he owns a .423 ISO, 1.310 OPS, .526 wOBA and a 234 wRC+ on the road versus southpaws this season. He had a six-game hit streak snapped in last night series opener, however I would be shocked if another one didn’t start tonight as he owns some of the biggest numbers I have seen all season along against left-handed pitching.
SS – Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) – $4,300 vs. SEA
One of the most electric and exciting players in the game already in his rookie season, Tatis Jr. brings a wealth of cross-category upside into this matchup tonight. First, he’s going to hit out of the leadoff spot, the most valuable spot in the batting order. Second, the power/speed upside is massive as Tatis Jr. as homered 20 times and swiped 14 bases despite missing time with an injury earlier in the season, something that probably cost him an All-Star appearance. He is crushing both left and right-handed pitching, but the bat is overall more productive against lefties as he’s hit .372 with a .241 ISO, 1.118 OPS, .461 wOBA and a 191 wRC+ off of southpaws this season. The numbers are massive on the road against lefties as he’s posted a .333 ISO, 1.113 OPS, .447 wOBA and 182 wRC+ on the road versus southpaws this season. He’s also managed to steal four of his 14 bases against a lefty as well. He’s on an absolute tear at the plate right now as he enters this one sporting a 10-game hit streak while he’s homered four times in that stretch. He’s been a run-scoring machine with seven runs in that time and he’s added seven RBI in that span as well. There’s just a ton to like about this guy in this matchup tonight.
OF – Manuel Margot (SD) – $2,800 vs. SEA
We get Margot at a real nice price tonight and I’m loving it considering his spot in the lineup and his work against left-handed pitching on the season. Margot is projected to hit second in the batting order tonight, a fantastic spot to be as he’s hitting behind Tatis Jr. and ahead of Machado, two dudes who are clobbering left-handed pitching this season. There’s also the matter of the work Margot has done against lefties as he owns a .387 average, .161 ISO, 1.021 OPS, .434 wOBA and a 174 wRC+ on the season against left-handed pitching. The home run power against lefties hasn’t been all that present with just one homer in 62 at-bats against them on the season, however the remaining numbers tell us that this guy is wildly productive against lefties, something I will take in a heartbeat at this price and in this stack. The good news is the power increases on the road as he owns a .216 ISO, 1.072 OPS, .448 wOBA and 183 wRC+ on the road against lefties this season, not all that surprising considering the pitcher-friendly confines of his home park in San Diego. Margot has been hot in the second half of the season as he’s posted a .250 ISO, .897 OPS, .374 wOBA and 134 wRC+ since July 12th and he’s homered twice and doubled as part of his last three hits over his last three games, one of which was a pinch-hit homer. Finally, we get some stolen base upside here as Margot has swiped 15 bases this season, three of which have come against a left-handed pitcher.
OF – Hunter Renfroe (SD) – $3,300 vs. SEA
I actually think we are getting Renfroe at a big-time discount here as well considering the mass amount of power he brings to the table against left-handed pitching. After tying a career-high with 26 home runs last season, Renfroe has already launched 30 long balls this season and owns a massive .315 ISO as a result. Entering play tonight, the 27-year-old outfielder an eye-popping .463 ISO, 1.031 OPS, .397 wOBA and a 149 wRC+ on the season against left-handed pitching. Interestingly, Renfroe’s work versus lefties has been better at the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park in San Diego, however I’m not about to argue with a mammoth .400 ISO, .938 OPS, .363 wOBA and 127 wRC+ on the season against southpaws on the road. One thing we also need to keep in mind is that the Padres aren’t just working against Kikuchi, but also a Mariners bullpen that ranks 25th with a 5.03 ERA on the season and 28th with a 5.09 FIP on the season as well. They also just traded a couple of their better bullpen pieces in Roenis Elias and Hunter Strickland to the Nationals, so this is also a depleted bullpen. I think the Padres have the potential to score the most runs on this slate tonight and I am thrilled to have a 1-4 projected stack going in this lineup.
OF – Andrew Benintendi (BOS) – $3,900 vs. KC
It hasn’t quite been the season Benintendi and the Red Sox were hoping for in terms of his work at the plate, but the guy has been red-hot of late and has always fared well against right-handed pitching. Benintendi brings some pop and speed upside to the table as he has hit 12 homers and swiped nine bases on the season after hitting 16 homers and swiping 21 bases a season ago. The home run pop is certainly there, but in a park like Fenway that is more double-friendly than homer-friendly for left-handed bats, Benintendi is more of a doubles machine with 33 doubles on the season and four triples as well. 24 of those 33 doubles have come at home while he’s still hit seven of his 12 homers at home as well. Benintendi enters this one sporting a .188 ISO, .824 OPS, .347 wOBA and a 112 wRC+ on the season against right-handed pitching. Those numbers improve to a .236 ISO, .898 OPS, .376 wOBA and a 131 wRC+ on the season against righties at home. Also, all nine of his stolen bases have come against right-handed pitching as well. After posting a .237 ISO and .900 OPS in the month of July, Benintendi has stayed hot with a .276 ISO and .966 OPS in the month of August. Finally, Benintendi is 3 for 5 with all three of those hits going for doubles in his career against Sparkman, so there’s a lot to like about this matchup tonight.
UTIL – Nick Ahmed (ARI) – $3,200 vs. PHI
I love me some Nick Ahmed against left-handed pitching as he completed a mini-stack tonight alongside Flores. Flores is projected to hit in the six-hole with Ahmed in the seven-hole, so I like the fact we are getting them back-to-back in this stack. Ahmed enters this one sporting a .314 average, .196 ISO and .876 OPS on the season against lefties to go along with a .366 wOBA and 124 wRC+. At home against lefties, the D-backs shortstop is the owner of a .209 ISO, .868 OPS, .368 wOBA and a 126 wRC+ on the season versus southpaw pitching. Ahmed also brings us some stolen base upside with seven steals on the season, although just one has come at the expense of a left-handed pitcher. It’s been a productive second half to this point for Ahmed as he owns an .821 OPS, .357 wOBA and a 118 wRC+ since the All-Star break returned on July 12th while he’s shown some of his cross-category upside with a homer, a double, five hits, three runs, three RBI and a stolen base over his last four games. I like the upside of this mini-stack on a short slate tonight.