I got burned by some really expensive bats last night, while Luke Weaver was a sad sack at home in a pitcher’s park against the Padres. It wasn’t my night, but if you look over Wednesday’s slate, a lot of people dealt with some bad beats.
Last night didn’t produce a winner, but we’re back at it again for tonight’s four-game main slate at FanDuel. Here’s my favorite MLB DFS picks for tonight:
SP: Anibal Sanchez – Atlanta Braves ($6.3k)
You know pitching is garbage when you immediately plug Anibal Sanchez into your GPP lineup. To be fair, Sanchez has actually been pretty good this season. I don’t exactly trust him at SunTrust Park, but he’s been solid, he’s cheap and he faces the Padres.
San Diego has been pesky lately, but eventually their inability to consistently wreck teams is going to pop up and go my way. It’d only be fitting for guys like Milos Mikalos and Luke Weaver to struggle in the face of this matchup and Sanchez to slay San Diego.
I think it’s possible, as he’s in good form and they’re not a very talented bunch. If you want a San Diego hedge stack, I won’t stop you. However, this is a tiny slate and the pitching isn’t great.
Blake Snell is too expensive and David Price doesn’t exactly have it easy against the Mariners. Overall, you could draw up red flags for every single arm on the board tonight. When that’s the case, I pinpoint the value arm I like the most and run with it. Tonight, that’s Sanchez.
C/1B: Gary Sanchez – New York Yankees ($3.2k)
Gary Sanchez has sat out the last two games, likely both to rest an injured body and to clear his mind. He’s been terrible at the plate (batting .190) this year, but he still has 12 long balls and can pop of at any moment.
Tonight feels like a fine spot to use him. Blake Snell struggled (2 HR, 5 runs) earlier this year against the Yanks and pitching in Yankee Stadium usually isn’t fun. He also has issues (.171 ISO, 39% fly ball rate) against righties, so I’m going to just roll out a full four-man NYY stack and hope for the best.
Honestly, Snell is probably the best pitcher on the board, so I’m hoping a good amount of people pay up for him. Even if they don’t, they might pay up for Red Sox and D’Backs instead, trying to avoid a dicey matchup.
From a splits and park perspective, though, loading up on the pinstripes makes way too much sense.
That’s the case for Sanchez specifically, who carries a disgusting .259 ISO versus southpaws into this one. He’s also demolished Snell (4 for 10, 3 HR) in limited action.
2B: Daniel Descalso – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.2k)
Jason Vargas is one of the better arms to target on this slate. You’ll want to reserve your Arizona exposure to D’Backs righties for the most part, although it’s worth noting that Vargas inexplicably has been especially bad against left-handed bats in 2018.
Still, I love the righties here and you can pay up for Goldy or work down the line. I’m going the cheap route (on account of those Yanks) and I like Descalso plenty. He sports a mean .243 ISO against lefties and I’d be somewhat surprised if he doesn’t start.
If he’s out, perhaps consider shifting things to fit Gleyber Torres in your Yanks stack.
3B: Johan Camargo – Atlanta Braves ($2.6k)
Lefties tend to wreck at SunTrust Park, so this looks like a fine spot to buy low on Camargo. He’s in a really nice spot with his .368 wOBA and .193 ISO versus righties, while Tyson Ross (.364 wOBA, .154 ISO) is most vulnerable from the left side of the plate.
You can fire up a full Braves stack if you feel so inclined, but their best bats are not cheap and I Ross has actually been pretty good in 2018. I’ll just get some cheap exposure to a lefty in this park tonight and leave it at that.
SS: Nick Ahmed – Arizona Diamondbacks ($2.8k)
I also don’t hate Dansby Swanson here, but Ahmed gives me another cheap D’Backs bat against Vargas. I don’t want to go crazy stacking Vargas, though, since he actually can be good at times. Still, Ahmed’s nasty .271 ISO is very appealing here and he saves me cash at a position I really don’t love tonight.
OF: Aaron Judge – New York Yankees ($4.6k)
Judge mashes lefties with the best of them (.207) and he’s absolutely part of my four-man NYY stack tonight. He’s yet to dong Snell, but he might be due for a long ball, both in general and in this matchup.
OF: Giancarlo Stanton – New York Yankees ($4.2k)
Stanton may be more popular since he’s cheaper, but I don’t mind. He craves southpaws (.486 wOBA, .441 ISO) and has donged Snell once before. I think he gets him again tonight, if not twice.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox ($4.9k)
I’m sure you were wondering why I was saving all this cash and the short answer is so I can stack Yanks and grab Martinez as well. Mookie Betts may be a more contrarian play due to his price, but I’ll just drop down and grab J.D. for $300 less.
Martinez crushes both sides of the plate and Felix Hernandez is not longer an ace to fear. Hernandez has been way tougher on righties this year, but Martinez’s .391 ISO in these spots takes the cake for me.
Util: Tyler Austin – New York Yankees ($3k)
I’ll complete my four-man Yanks stack with Austin, who mashes lefties to the tune of a .275 ISO. You really can’t go wrong with New York power tonight, as they all crush lefties for the most part and Yankee Stadium is prone to explosive outings.
I do think a GPP team with Blake Snell running the show is in order as a hedge play, but I love the Yankees. Also consider pivoting from this stack to other Yankees bats if you plan on playing multiple GPP lineups tonight.
For an alternative stack, a four-man Arizona stack also makes a lot of sense on this slate.
Hopefully Yankees will be low-owned due to price and matchup. If that’s the case and they wreck, we could be well on our way to a big night.
Whatever you decide to do, hopefully my advice helps you win some cash in some manner tonight. Good luck and enjoy the games!