My MLB DFS picks were trash yesterday. Carlos Martinez (21) struggled with his command in his return from a lat injury and fading Max Scherzer (67!) proved to be a fatal mistake. There were a lot of offenses that performed terribly and a few (Rockies, Mariners) that were way better than most expected.
My hitting did not save you from Martinez. I did have some guys deliver, though.
Anthony Rizzo (12) was actually awesome considering how bad the Cubs were last night, while Manny Machado (12), Adam Duvall (9.5) and Chad Pinder (9) were all useful.
I really liked Asdrubal Cabrera (0), Danny Valencia (3) and Bryce Harper, yet they were all sack daddies in the end. Harper was obviously the most disappointing pick, as he was pricey and blanked you if you used him.
There were a few solid bats in there, but my lineup produced zero dongs despite having really nice splits edges across the board. It just wasn’t a winner and you probably needed a weird combination of Rockies, Athletics, Mariners or Braves (14 runs!) to win big in any GPPs.
Fortunately we get to try again on Wednesday, where the day is split up into two nice slates. I’ll be concentrating solely on the main schedule today, where I’ll piece together my favorite team for FanDuel’s 10-game slate:
SP: Shohei Ohtani – Los Angeles Angels ($8.6k)
There are some solid pitching options on the docket for tonight’s main slate, but Ohtani is my top arm. He’s been solid to amazing in pretty much every start this year and he faces a relatively punchless Royals squad at home in a pitcher’s paradise.
Kansas City does have a few guys who can go yard, but they’re facing a K artist that has brutalized left-handers (.229 wOBA, .041 ISO!). I’m not saying the Royals can’t pop off here, but it really wouldn’t make much sense.
Ohtani sports an elite strikeout rate and he’s held both sides of the plate to a .284 wOBA. Power isn’t a huge concern in this park, so the trick will be eating some innings and making a normally patient KC offense whiff above their season average.
I’m up for the challenge, especially since Ohtani serves as a late-game hammer of an arm. There are other options to like, but virtually everyone draws some red flags on this slate.
C/1B: James McCann – Detroit Tigers ($2.1k)
McCann and his Tigers can really slay southpaws at times and they get Eduardo Rodriguez at Fenway Park tonight. Normally I do not load up against Rodriguez (and I won’t here), but McCann mashes lefties (.244 ISO) and he’s almost the bare minimum.
You can try other Detroit righties (namely Nicholas Castellanos) in this spot, but a stack feels dicey.
2B: Jedd Gyorko – St. Louis Cardinals ($2.6k)
All Cardinals righties are in play tonight, as they take on the very beatable Wei-Yin Chen. Chen gives up a .223 ISO to right-handed bats and that’s only gotten worse (.278) if you only look at his 2018 production. He’s in a good park for pitchers, but is still on the road against a capable Cards lineup.
Gyorko leads the way here, as he’s just way too cheap given his power upside (.435 ISO in 2018!!) against left-handed pitching. You can also consider basically all Cards righties here.
3B: Miguel Sano – Minnesota Twins ($3.6k)
Sano is another guy that slays lefties (.267 ISO) and tonight he’s at home in a hitter’s park. He even faces Hector Santiago, who gives up way too much air under the ball (58% fly ball rate!) and a sick .280 ISO to the right side of the plate.
If you need a cheap bat, take a look at Halos masher, Luis Valbuena. He’s just $2.4k and Ian Kennedy has a really hard time with lefty power.
SS: Carlos Correa Houston Astros ($3.9k)
There aren’t a ton of SS options I’m enamored with on this slate and I’ll probably exclusively use Correa. He is yet another guy with fun splits (.407 wOBA, .200 ISO) against southpaws and he gets a beatable one tonight at home.
All Houston righties are in play against Wade LeBlanc, who can be stingy but still serves up a 38% fly ball rate to that side of the plate.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox ($4.6k)
Martinez is an easy call for me on this slate. He seems to send one deep almost nightly and he’s at home in an awesome park against a lefty. In case you hadn’t noticed, J.D. destrouys southpaws (.392 ISO) and faces a pedestrian one tonight.
Two fun pivots are Charlie Blackmon or Giancarlo Stanton. I just prefer J.D.’s splits edge here.
OF: Aaron Altherr – Philadelphia Phillies ($2k)
Jose Quintana is not a guy I want to go nuts targeting, but I mildly like the Phillies in Chicago today. Quintana has weirdly been good every other start, and if that trend keeps rolling on, he may struggle tonight.
That’s not amazing insight, but I will lean on the splits here. Not only has Quintana had a tough time against righty power (.202 ISO) this year, but Altherr does his best work (.247 ISO) against southpaws. I have no qualms about firing him up at the bare minimum tonight.
OF: Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels ($5.4k)
Trout doesn’t need much of a sales pitch. He’s probably the best hitter in baseball, he’s at home and he gets a tasty matchup with hard contact menace, Ian Kennedy. The park could curb some of Kennedys home run issues, but he still gives up a .212+ ISO to both sides of the plate.
It’s fair to point out that Trout hasn’t had much success in this specific matchup, but 12 plate appearances is a very small sample size. I’ll trust Trout’s power and splits (.444 wOBA, .353 ISO) in this spot and if his price can help make him somewhat contrarian, that’s just icing on the cake.
Util: Luke Voit – St. Louis Cardinals ($2.1k)
Voit isn’t a lock to start, but considering he wrecked (.258 ISO) versus lefties last year, he certainly should be. St. Louis did call him back up a week ago, so he’s available to hit for you at nearly the bare minimum at FanDuel. If starting, he’s a lock for me at this low price.
I’m chasing some mad splits in tonight’s lineup and avoiding any obvious stacks. If you want to stack up, though, I like the Angels as a chalky stack and the Tigers, Cardinals and Phillies could be sneakier, low-owned stacks.
Whatever you decide to do, hopefully my MLB DFS picks help you in some way tonight. Good luck!