I paid for the top arm on Wednesday night and went with an Orioles stack when it came to my bats. Neither produced amazing results.
Patrick Corbin (33) wasn’t crippling, but for $10k at FanDuel, he performed well below of expectations. The Dodgers were never an easy assignment, but he could have added a few more Ks and delivered a better outing.
On a night where Julio Teheran (49) was way better and Gio Gonzalez (43) was successful chalk, Corbin let me down.
Baltimore’s bats did as well. The O’s actually put up a decent five runs, but Chris Davis was responsible for most of the damage and I was never on him. He’s one of the least efficient bat in baseball and I preferred righties in a matchup with a southpaw. Of course it was Crush that donged in that game.
Things didn’t go as planned, but I still had some solid MLB DFS picks. From my Orioles, Jonathan Schoop (15.4) was plenty fine, while Mark Trumbo (9) and Adam Jones (6.2) at least got on the board. Danny Valencia (0) was the lone true gaffe in that underwhelming stack.
Elsewhere, Ryan Zimmerman (9) was decent, Anthony Rendon went yard (21.7), J.D. Martinez (9) got on the board and Brandon Crawford (9) wasn’t a total failure.
It’s always good when you can cut the goose eggs down to one or none. Overall, this was a respectable team, but it wasn’t good enough to cash.
The hope is to do that and more on Thursday, where MLB DFS gamers have a nice nine-game main slate to work with. Let’s dive in and see what my favorite lineup for GPPs looks like tonight at FanDuel:
SP: Walker Buehler – Los Angeles Dodgers ($8.6k)
Pitching is bad again tonight. Zack Greinke is the best option on the board, but I’m not overly excited about paying up for him against the Nats. He just hasn’t been that amazing this year and Washington’s offense – even this watered down version – is tough to corral.
J.A. Happ and Garrett Richards are worth a cursory glance, while anyone facing the Padres (Milos Mikolas) needs to be considered. I also think Mike Foltynewicz (facing Marlins) is a viable value play.
I really only have eyes for Buehler, though. He’s coming off of a gem against the Padres (52 fantasy points) and has been rock solid (30+ fantasy points) in all three starts he’s made this year.
The rookie is extremely talented and is again in a strong spot at home. He’s dealing in a pitcher’s park and gets the Cincinnati Reds, who are often a fun offense to target and are even less reliable (4-12) on the road.
Vegas likes the Dodgers to win here and a low 7.5 Total probably projects this as a fairly low-scoring game. I’m going to assume that’s more about the Reds and their matchup than the Dodgers.
Buehler carries risk because he’s young and inexperienced, but he’s at home, is in a solid groove and will be facing a team that sees him for the first time ever. Everything favors him tonight and the best part is his price might help lower his ownership.
C/1B: Lucas Duda – Kansas City Royals ($2.5k)
Chris Tillman toes the rubber for the O’s in Camden Yards tonight, so after going with Baltimore bats on Wednesday I’m changing course and taking hitters from the other side of this game.
Kansas City is not really known for their power, but they see a major park shift and Tillman has been atrocious for the past year or so.
Tillman can spin random gems at times, but he just gives up way too much contact to not target.
The Royals are in an unbelievable spot against Tillman, who allows a +.395 wOBA and +231 ISO to both sides of the plate. All batters are in play here, but The Dude is dirt cheap and sports a sick .274 ISO against right-handed pitching. He’s my first stop in a KC stack tonight.
2B: Whit Merrifield – Kansas City Royals ($3.6k)
I’ll keep it going with Whit, who has actually been pretty hot lately with five hits over his last three contests. He doesn’t always bring amazing power to the table, but Tillman helps batters out with that and this park is great for the long ball.
Merrifield isn’t cheap and he’s not the first guy I’m running to, but he’s a viable part of a Royals stack and he whiffs at a low rate. I think a dong could be coming for him tonight.
3B: Travis Shaw – Milwaukee Brewers ($4.1k)
Mike Moustakas makes a ton of sense here, but Shaw is the same price and is just as good of a play tonight in Coors Field. I obviously want some exposure to that game and I tend to prefer it on the Brewers side just because the Brew Crew could go a little lower-owned than Rockies bats.
Either way, Shaw crushes right-handed pitching (.260 ISO) and he’ll face a guy in German Marquez who has gotten obliterated (10.64 ERA) at home this year. Marquez is more vulnerable against righty power, but all Brewers are in play on this slate.
SS: Alcides Escobar – Kansas City Royals ($2.4k)
This is just cheap exposure to the Royals as they take on a gas can in a hitter’s park. Escobar will probably be hitting low in the order and he doesn’t provide much power, but he doesn’t whiff much and this is just the type of matchup where everyone on the team is in play. I’m willing to roll the dice to soak up some value and spend elsewhere.
OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.7k)
Braun is one of my favorite bats tonight, as he feels a bit too cheap considering his power (.198 ISO versus righties) is headed to Coors Field. He is really always worth a look when he has a solid matchup in a hitter’s park, but tonight he faces Marquez, who gets tattooed by right-handed hitting.
Marquez is allowing a gross .253 ISO to righty bats, as well as a 36% fly ball rate and 36% hard hit rate to that side of the plate. That could spell disaster for him at Coors tonight.
OF: Lorenzo Cain – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.6k)
I know Marquez is best attacked by righties, but in Coors Field I don’t think you need to refrain from lefty power. Cain is a more reliable play than the likes of Domingo Santana and Jesus Aguilar. Both of those guys are absolutely worth a look in this setting, but Cain can do a little bit of everything and has underrated pop.
OF: Gerardo Parra – Colorado Rockies ($3k)
I don’t mind at all taking a shot on the Rockies in this game, either. They’re understandably a little pricier, so I’ll soak up some value via Parra, who not only could dish out some revenge against his former team, but also supplies some power upside in this spot.
I don’t hate a pivot to David Peralta, who is at home against a beatable arm in Tanner Roark. You could also save elsewhere and try to cram Domingo Santana in this lineup.
UTIL: Salvador Perez – Kansas City Royals. ($3.3k)
I’ll close this thing out with another KC bat, giving me a full four-man Royals squad. You could also just as easily use Domingo Santana here to give yourself even more Coors exposure and I can’t fault you for wanting to.
I just prefer the actual matchup for Perez and the Royals. They’re in a park that also offers considerable upside and the pitcher they’re facing is substantially worse tight now. Perez brings a lot of power to the table (.225 ISO) and has had some success against Tillman (6 for 16, 1 HR) in the past.
Overall, I see this slate as fairly straight forward tonight. You can pick your spots with bats, or you can ride two of the best hitting situations on the board and hope the chalk works out. I don’t mind eating the chalk if I can pivot to a few contrarian options, while my arm should also be fairly low-owned.
You can switch things up as you see fit, but I love the Royals and all things Coors Field tonight.