Tuesday produced a mixed bag with my MLB DFS picks. Zack Greinke (34 fantasy points) wasn’t a stud, but he was solid and got the win. Pitching was just weird on Tuesday, too, so I’ll take the 34 fantasy points and move along.
My hitting just wasn’t great as a whole. Joey Gallo (30!) was my best play of the night, while Ozzie Albies (12) and Francisco Lindor (15) were decent enough. I didn’t get much help from the bats elsewhere, though.
Wilmer Flores (6) and Justin Turner (3) at least got on the board, but Steve Souza and Kike Hernandez blanked me. Those were four weak bats, while Lindor and Albies didn’t really live up to their steep price tags.
In the end, last night was not the ideal slate due to a ton of weather concerns.
There is still some weather to track tonight, so please be sure to again keep tabs on how rain might impact any games you’re planning on using players from. With that, let’s get to tonight’s five-game main slate over at FanDuel:
SP: Chris Sale – Boston Red Sox ($11.4k)
I don’t love the idea of Sale taking on an extreme fly ball offense at Fenway Park, but he looks like the best option on the board tonight. Max Scherzer gets the Yankees in a game that could easily get rained out, while Justin Verlander is on the road against a tough Halos squad.
Those guys are fine pitching pivots, but Sale is my pick today.
The good news is Sale (1-0, 1.50 ERA) has been great at home this year. He did give up three runs the last time he battled Oakland, but he also struck out 10 batters. The Athletics are dangerous and get a severe park upgrade, but they also lose power and strike out a ton (23% clip) when facing southpaws.
I like Sale quite a bit on this small slate and I’m not seeing any value plays I covet.
If you absolutely must pay down, Caleb Smith ($7.6k) makes a lot of sense. He’s at home in a pitcher’s park and the Dodgers have been awful.
C/1B: Mitch Moreland – Boston Red Sox ($3.3k)
Moreland is in play against all righties and he’s in a great spot tonight against Trevor Cahill, who’s he’s twice taken yard in the past. Moreland in’t always a safe play, but he’s on fire this year and has been launching balls over the past couple of weeks.
Cahill is not really an arm to fear and I think this is a fun pivot off of the pricey Red Sox bats that many people will feel compelled to pay up for. If you want an even cheaper option, consider Brian McCann ($2.6k).
2B: Eduardo Nunez – Boston Red Sox ($2.8k)
Boston is probably my favorite offense to target on this small slate and the bad weather has a lot to do with that. I’m not really into Yankees against Mad Max even if that game does play, but for the most part I’m shying away from Yanks/Nats and Braves/Cubs.
The latter is really the only spot I’d go after, but a PPD is still in play in Atlanta.
That being said, I love the Bo Sox on this slate and Nunez is dirt cheap. He hasn’t been lighting the world afire, but he’s at least getting contact (hit safely in 7 of his last 8 games). He’s also at home in a great park and takes on a guy in Trevor Cahill that gives up a good amount of contact.
Cahill especially has trouble with righties (.373 wOBA, .232 ISO), so pretty much any Boston righty is in play tonight.
3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($3k)
JT wasn’t a hit in his 2018 debut last night, but he again gets to face a high contact southpaw. I actually like Caleb Smith as a value pitcher on this slate, but when he’s not making batters miss he’s coughing up quite a bit of contact.
Turner is always in play (.314 ISO) against lefties, while Smith is allowing a staggering 50% fly ball rate to right-handed bats. That might not be a huge deal at Marlins Park, but Turner has the matchup edge and remains a very nice price. I’m game for going right back to the well in this spot.
SS: Johan Camargo – Atlanta Braves ($2.4k)
The pitching at SunTrust Park isn’t exactly trash tonight, but it’s beatable and lefty bats wreck in this park. You do need to pay mind to the weather in this game and Camargo is far from the first lefty to be looking at from this game, but he’s dirt cheap and does get you some exposure to lefties in this spot.
Camargo doesn’t have crazy power, but he’s a switch hitter that should take on Tyler Chatwood from the left side in this game. Considering Chatwood struggles more against that side of the plate, that makes Camargo a valid punt at SS.
OF: Ian Happ – Chicago Cubs ($2.8k)
Happ is always at risk of being scratched or batting low in the order, but he brings a sick .257 ISO against right-handed pitching to the table tonight. SunTrust Park is deadly for lefty bats, so assuming he’ll be starting and operating from that side of the plate tonight, he feels like an elite value play.
If you want to pay up for elite Cubs mashers like Anthony Rizzo or Kyle Schwarber, I don’t blame you. It will likely require dropping from Sale or any other elite arm to pull it off, though.
OF: Josh Reddick – Houston Astros ($2.7k)
Cheap exposure to a stacked Astros team is always fun and Reddick (.174 ISO) does his best work against right-handed pitching. I don’t want a Houston stack against a talented arm like Garrett Richards in a pitcher’s haven, but Reddick is cheap and has a solid matchup.
Richards also gives up a little more power to the left side of the plate, so lefties figure to be the best Astro bats to target tonight.
OF: Ender Inciarte – Atlanta Braves ($3.4k)
There are a lot of elite power bats to consider paying for tonight, so I think I’ll just drop down a bit and go more contrarian. You always want to keep an eye on lefty power in ATL and it’s not like Ender has been bad (3 HR in his last 4 games). I wouldn’t be shocked if he added another dong in a favorable spot.
UTIL: J.T. Realmuto – Miami Marlins ($3.2k)
The intermediate bats aren’t amazing tonight, but I don’t mind going super contrarian and paying for J.T., who will be at home against a rookie pitcher. Don’t get me wrong, he’s not in the best park for power and he’s facing a talented guy in Walker Buehler.
That being said, Realmuto is off to a hot start and has raked versus righties so far in 2018. The matchup isn’t overly appealing, but the fish seem a bit sneaky tonight and Realmuto is their second best power bat (.170 ISO) against righties.
This is a very weird five-game slate and once you take out these bad weather games, the options are going to go down quite a bit. That should make the bad weather game options really contrarian, but I’m just fading those spots and hoping my other picks work out.
I like this team around Sale, but if you want to load up more than this, consider pivoting to Caleb Smith and stacking your favorite hitters. Either way, I wish you luck in your MLB DFS contests at FanDuel tonight!