I nailed my pitching call for Wednesday night, as David Price slayed the Tampa Bay Rays for the fourth time this year, producing a stellar 46 fantasy points. Considering his $7.9k price tag, he was a big win.
Jacob deGrom was as good as I suggested he’d probably be, but based on pricing, Price was the better play. I also mentioned Dan Straily as a punt arm to consider and he wasn’t terrible (34).
As for hitting, I trusted the Baltimore Orioles to take advantage of yet another pristine matchup and they failed miserably. Chris Davis did literally nothing, Jonathan Schoop (6) didn’t do a whole lot more and Manny Machado (0) was an utter failure.
Most of my pricey bats were huge disappointments. Anthony Rizzo (9) and Rhys Hoskins (9.2) didn’t go the Machado route, but they still performed well below expectations. Everyone else at least got on the board, but I didn’t have a single dong amongst my bats.
It was not a great MLB DFS lineup, but the pitching worked out and most of the bats at least produced something.
Regardless, it’s onward and upward come Thursday, which features a small three-game daily fantasy baseball main slate at FanDuel. Here are my favorite options:
SP: Rick Porcello – Boston Red Sox ($9.3k)
FanDuel is being really weird today, as they have not included games they could have in the main slate. Instead of a bigger slate, you’re looking at just three games and a lack of viable arms.
Porcello is truly the only arm worth looking at on FanDuel, but he’s also in a good spot against a bad Rays offense in a pitcher’s park. Porcello gives up contact and has been allowing runs lately (13 given up over his last three starts), but the Rays are better utilzied against vulnerable lefties.
If you need a secondary option, I might consider Zach Davies but that’s really just because he’s at home. Nobody else really stands out here, but if you need a pitcher, Porcello looks like your best bet tonight.
C/1B: Jett Bandy – Milwaukee Brewers ($2k)
On this slate – especially if you pay up for Porcello – you may want to take a few dives to load up on bats. Bandy won’t be hitting high in Milwaukee’s order if he starts, but he mashes lefties (.205 ISO) and is a power flier at home with a solid matchup.
He’s facing Steven Matz, who is certainly talented but struggles versus right-handed hitting (.362 wOBA, .240 ISO) and has to pitch on the road in a tough hitter’s park.
That puts all Brew Crew righties in play for me, so just make sure you focus on the ones that bring some power to the table and effectively hit southpaws.
2B: Ryan Goins – Kansas City Royals ($2.1k)
This is a total salary play. You’re going to need to make sure Goins is even starting tonight, but he’s almost the minimum and he has a good matchup in a great park for hitting.
3B: Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals ($3.8k)
I’m all about Moose on this tiny slate. Not only does he get a massive park upgrade in Texas and faces a pedestrian journeyman arm, but he also mashes right-handed pitching (.364 wOBA, .273 ISO). He is incredibly due for a long ball, too, having last launched one 16 days ago.
You can pivot to Travis Shaw here or save some cash with Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Shaw is the more trustworthy option of these two, but I tend to prefer him versus righties.
SS: Amed Rosario – New York Mets ($2.3k)
I do not like SS at all tonight. The top play is Xander Bogaerts, but he is better used against righties. The next best play is Jurickson Profar. He does make sense from a splits, park and matchup perspective, but he’s just too expensive for what he usually brings to the table.
If you want the top play, it’s probably Profar. I just don’t want to pay for him on this slate.
Instead, I’ll be looking for a viable punt. I’m not completely sold on that being Rosario just yet, but he is a nice, young talent and he will be operating out of a hitter’s park tonight. Zach Davies isn’t some elite force, either, so here’s to hoping Rosario gets ahold of one and returns elite value.
I wish I had better logic than that, but Rosario can hit and he’s dirt cheap. He’s worth a shot on this small slate.
OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.9k)
Braun returns from injury tonight and serves as a potential late-night hammer. He’s at home against a beatable southpaw in Steve Matz, who has allowed a .240 ISO to righties.
Braun has always mashed left-handed pitching, so we can confidently target him and his nasty .254 ISO versus righties tonight.
OF: Hernan Perez – Milwaukee Brewers ($2k)
I am also considering Lorenzo Cain and Domingo Santana here, but Perez is the bare minimum. If he’s starting, he’s a lock for me due to a respectable .146 ISO versus southpaws. That won’t light the world afire, but this matchup is more about Matz’s issues with righty power in a brutal environment.
At this price, I don’t mind rolling the dice on Perez being part of a successful Brewers stack.
OF: J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox ($5k)
If you need to choose between Martinez or Mookie Betts tonight, I’ll side with J.D.’s gaudy .412 ISO to the table against left-handed pitching.
It’s also worth mentioning that Blake Snell endures most of his struggles against the right side of the plate and after faring well in his previous two starts against Boston, he may be due for a crater job.
Util: Mookie Betts – Boston Red Sox ($5.4k)
While I prefer Martinez if I have to choose, I really don’t want to choose. This is a tiny slate and these mashers could be really high owned, so I don’t want to be left out of the fun.
It absolutely could end up being contrarian to load up on some other offenses, but these guys bring more upside than just about anyone tonight. Betts mashed lefties (.287 ISO) pretty darn well and like I said before, I think Boston is due to wreck Snell a bit.
Snell is a talented arm and he can make bats miss, but he also gives up a 40% fly ball rate to righties. He’s already given up 8 homers in 10 starts and this is obviously not an easy matchup.
I think it all starts with Porcello tonight and then I mostly want Red Sox, Brewers and Royals. If you want to pivot off of cheap guys like Goins, Bandy or Rosario, I really can’t blame you. That’d just mean picking a side between J.D. and Betts and if you have to, I’d go with Martinez.
I like pairing them together, as I still get my hand in two other stacks I’m high on and I also nab the two best Boston mashers money can buy.
This feels like a fun tourney squad, so hopefully it can lead us all to some cash. Either way, hopefully I help you in some manner and you find a way to win tonight. Good luck!