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FanDuel MLB DFS Picks – October 5th

My MLB DFS picks weren’t perfect last night, but I did nail two great bats in Christian Yelich and Joc Pederson. Both of those guys went yard and I scattered a few points with my other hitters, while also hit it big with my pitcher (49 fantasy points). It should have been good enough for you to place and if you somehow found the cash to also land Max Muncy you may have won big.

Tonight is going to be a lot of fun, as we move from a weak two-game slate to a huge four-game slate. Normally that’s actually really small, but we’ve been dealing with showdown slates and, well, this is a considerable upgrade.

Let’s take a look at what tonight’s best GPP lineup looks like at FanDuel:

SP: Chris Sale – Boston Red Sox ($10.8k)

Sale has been banged up and hasn’t gone deep into games lately. He’s also in a hitter’s park against a very dangerous Yankees lineup. He’s a risky play, but so is everyone in the playoffs and if there’s a chance I can get one of the best arms in baseball at low ownership, I’m going for it.

Sale has actually owned the Red Sox, going 2-0 with a nasty 0.69 ERA against them in 2018 alone. New York has a ton of power to navigate through, but he’s a top three pitcher and he’s at home in a crucial game one. I think he locks it in and pays off this salary.

C/1B: Steve Pearce – Boston Red Sox ($3.5k)

This is a very tough slate, as there simply aren’t a lot of appealing matchups. I do like Boston at home, though, while Steve Pearce (6 homers vs. J.A. Happ) has some staggering BvsP data to lean on. Provided he starts, he feels like a worthwhile gamble.

2B: Jonathan Schoop – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.6k)

Milwaukee is my favorite stack. They are on fire right now and can mash southpaws really well. They have a slew of righties that could get to Tyler Anderson, who has been quite beatable all too often this year. Schoop hasn’t destroyed lefties this year like he’s capable of, but Anderson’s hard contact ways could rectify that.

Literally just as I hit publish for this post I saw that Schoop was not in the starting lineup. Instead of completely tossing this team on it’s side, I’ll drop down to Ian Kinsler at 2B. He feels like a fine option if he starts, as he’s actually had a lot of success (7 hits, 2 HR, 5 RBI) against J.A. Happ. His splits this year are garbage, so let’s hope he doesn’t experience the same fate as Schoop and fail to make the lineup.

If you don’t like paying down low, Jose Ramirez might be my favorite stick to spend on at this spot. That being said, I prefer to save here to keep the rest of this roster intact if I can.

3B: Johan Camargo – Atlanta Braves ($2.6k)

I love the value with Clayton Kershaw tonight, but let’s admit two things; he’s never been very reliable in the playoffs and he just hasn’t been his dominant self in 2018. Assuming those two narratives ring true, I’ll want some Braves exposure.

I won’t stack Atlanta sticks, but Camargo sports a fun .207 ISO against southpaws. He’s a cheap shot at a dong in a tense game two.

SS: Hernan Perez – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.3k)

I’ll continue my love for the Brew Crew with Perez, who hits lefties well and may earn a trip into the starting lineup tonight. He offers up a healthy .202 ISO in these spots and Miller Park has always been a hitter’s haven. Tyler Anderson is arguably the worst pitcher on the board tonight and allows contact to both sides of the plate.

That’s bad news in a hitter’s park against a powerful offense that is red hot.

OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.3k)

I can’t have a Brewers stack and not include Braun, who has been in a nice groove for a while now. He brings terrific power (.273 ISO) into matchups versus lefties and this is his best shot ever at chasing down a ring, so there’s a big time narrative to chase with him during these MLB playoffs.

OF: Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies ($2.6k)

While I like the Brewers, I think taking a bat or two from Colorado is wise. Jhoulys Chacin isn’t elite in the first place and he’ll be in a tough park on short rest. Charlie Blackmon and the usual suspects are in play, but CarGo is cheap and has a nice .205 ISO he could put to use here.

I’d stick with the Rockies lefties, but a full stack isn’t a terrible idea here.

OF: Christian Yelich – Milwaukee Brewers ($4.8k)

I can’t stack Brewer and not include Yelich, who is truly en fuego these days. The hope is he keeps it going and a long list of stud mashers at a similar price point could help lower his ownership. I doubt it does, but I can hope.

Yelich is on fire, but he also hits lefties (.426 wOBA, .249 ISO) extremely well. Tyler Anderson also happens to struggle slightly more against left-handed bats, so Yelich could be one of the best plays on the board. I’d love to also find my way to Jesus Aguilar (.265 ISO vs. L) but it’s not in the cards with this lineup.

Util: Kurt Suzuki – Atlanta Braves ($2.5k)

Ronald Acuna, Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies are all worth a cursory glance, but they’re pricey and I’m not into paying a premium for guys facing awesome pitchers. Suzuki at least is cheap and mashes lefties (.213 ISO). He hasn’t had any success against Kershaw in his career, but the sample size is rather small.

Tyler Flowers ($2.2k) is even cheaper and crushes southpaws (.243 ISO), so feel free to pivot down to him if he ends up starting at catcher tonight.

Summary

Fully fading the Yankees, Astros and Indians feels dirty to me, but man, is the pitching amazing tonight. That’s the MLB playoffs for you, so you really just need to pick your spots and hope you get the right stack. I’m sure a good matchup at home makes the Brew Crew popular, but it’s a tough fade for me.

I’m stacking Brewers, hoping Sale is contrarian (and awesome) and then finding sticks with good splits that can work and will possibly be low-owned. I’m not sure going super contrarian on a small slate is even that possible (or beneficial), but hopefully a few of these bats are low-owned and work out.

Whether you roll out my full lineup or just use some of my daily fantasy baseball picks, I wish you luck tonight. Enjoy the games!

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