Sunday didn’t go quite as planned when it came to my MLB DFS picks. Cleveland turned up extremely lame as a stack and the rest of my bats didn’t fair much better. I did get a homer out of Francisco Lindor and Max Kepler (12) wasn’t completely useless.
That was unfortunate, seeing as Andrew Heaney (67!!) was an awesome value arm. I really felt he was worth a roll of the dice and he responded with probably one of my better pitching plays ever.
Stacking the Indians in a good park against an inexperienced pitcher should have led to glory, but sometimes even the best offenses fail in amazing spots.
It’s onward and upward come Monday, as we look to FanDuel’s 10-game daily fantasy baseball main slate:
SP: Sean Newcomb – Atlanta Braves ($6.9k)
I tried out a volatile pitcher yesterday and I again don’t feel like spending big money on my arm, so I’ll punt with Newcomb.
This is a risky play, to be sure, but he’s been way better on the road than at home for some reason. It’s not even close, while a matchup with a watered down Giants team in a pitcher’s paradise like AT&T Park looks pretty darn good on paper.
Using Newcomb can end very badly. However, most of his rough outings have come at SunTrust Park and against far better lineups than what San Francisco can throw at him. I like his strikeout upside, the park and the matchup itself. He’s also dirt cheap and allows me to get some exposure to Coors.
C/1B: Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks ($4.8k)
Goldy is best utilized when facing a southpaw, but he’s in Coors and he offers major power upside. He’s plenty fine against righties (.400 wOBA, .241 ISO), so I won’t be too worried about a somewhat difficult matchup against German Marquez.
Marquez has been very good in 2018, but this park can turn elite pitchers into mush. I’m not stacking Arizona bats (they’re reeling as a team, anyways), but I’ll pay for Goldy in this park.
2B: Cesar Hernandez – Philadelphia Phillies ($2.4k)
Hernandez is dirt cheap and comes in red hot (6 hits over his last two contests). He’ll be at home in a hitter’s park, too, while he hits just fine against right-handers like Tanner Roark. Roark isn’t a guy I normally will go out of my way to pick on, but he’s in a tough spot and the risk is low here.
3B: Kris Bryant – Chicago Cubs ($4k)
I am a fan of a Cubs stack tonight and with Wade Miley coming to town, I’ll be rolling out righties for the most part. That starts with Bryant, who can really mash southpaws (.388 ISO!) and it is frankly about time Miley unravels in the worst way. In a tense divisional showdown, I think it could happen for him tonight.
SS: Javier Baez – Chicago Cubs ($3.9k)
I love Baez about as much as KB, as he crushes left-handed pitching (.274 ISO) and is arguably due for a dong. The Cubs could come out firing in this one, as Miley has long been a hittable lefty and is due for some serious regression.
OF: Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies ($4.1k)
Carlos Gonzalez is also on my radar here and is $500 cheaper, but I can’t fade Chuck at this discounted price tag. He’s about as good as Bryce Harper or Mike Trout on this slate and offers way more value. He’s also in the best park for dongs and is heating up with three homers in his last two games.
Blackmon is a solid try no matter what, but he’ll take on a guy in Zack Godley that does give up some contact. Godley is a tough out in a lot of situations, but a trip to Coors is not the time I’d be fearful of him. A full Colorado stack is firmly in play.
OF: Albert Almora Jr. – Chicago Cubs ($2.3k)
I don’t even know for sure if Almora will start, but he hits lefties well (.354 wOBA) and is dirt cheap. He’s a fine punt if you’re trying to save a little cash like I am here.
OF: Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.2k)
I am mostly on the Cubs in this Brewers vs. Cubs showdown in Wrigley Field, but that doesn’t mean a one-off righty like Braun isn’t worth a look. You can honestly try a full Brewers stack against the fraudulent Jon Lester, but his improved form of late probably keeps me from doing so.
I’ll still take a crack at Braun and his gaudy .277 ISO versus southpaws, while it’s certainly worth noting that he’s has some solid success (8 for 18) against Lester in the past. He has yet to dong him, but there’s a first time for everything, right?
Util: David Dahl – Colorado Rockies ($3.4k)
I’m not going crazy with stacks on this slate, but I do love a three-man Cubs stack and I’m also down for two Rockies.
If you want to flip that and go with two Cubs and three Rockies, I’m all for it. I’ll wrap things up with Dahl, who can crush righties (.268 ISO) and like I said, I’m not too worried about Godley in this spot.
Don’t be afraid to look at Raimel Tapia (.357 ISO vs. righties in limited action) if he starts, either.
Overall, I’m going down at pitcher for two reasons; I think Newcomb represents elite value and is in a good spot and I also really want some pricey bats.
Specifically, that has me on Coors (which should shock nobody) and the Cubs (which is slightly less shocking). I don’t think these stacks are contrarian, but Newcomb sure will be and I might differentiate enough with guys like Almora, Cesar and Braun. A super pricey Goldy could even be somewhat contrarian.
Either way, I like these stacks and one-offs and if Newcomb can keep it together to close out the night, we may have a gem on our hands here.
Whether you use this full MLB DFS lineup or pick your spots, I wish you luck tonight!