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FanDuel MLB DFS Picks – September 11th

Last night was a weird one for MLB DFS. It was a fairly quiet night for scoring, but if you got some exposure to Coors Field you should have been pleased. Too many of my daily fantasy baseball picks left me wanting for more, but I did get a grand slam out of David Dahl and a few bats worked out.

It wasn’t the best lineup, but hopefully you used Dahl and made some adjustments. I’m ready to rinse and start over. Let’s dive into Tuesday night’s 12-game main slate at FanDuel and see what kind of team you might want to piece together.

Remember, always keep in mind weather concerns, player scratches and the fact that this is just one lineup consisting of some of my favorite MLB DFS picks – whether they be studs, deep dives or pieces of stacks I like.

If you disagree with takes or certain picks, just use what you like and try to piece together a winner. That, or enter the lineup as it stands and hopefully I’ll see you at the top of a GPP.

With that, let’s dive into tonight’s MLB DFS picks at FanDuel:

SP: Dylan Covey – Chicago White Sox ($5.5k)

I like the top two pitchers on the board tonight, but they’re also super pricey. There isn’t very much intermediate value to fall in love with, either, so I find myself very interested in just punting and loading up with elite sticks.

I’ve had some success lately with my value arms, so just hear me out on this one. I know Covey is not a stable arm and he doesn’t sport an elite K rate. What he does offer is a strong ground ball rate and he gets a park upgrade when he battles a weak Royals lineup in Kauffman Stadium.

KC has a little more upside than they had earlier in the year in terms of power, but they still bring a collective .188 ISO to the table against right-handed pitching. That number is inflated, too, considering Ryan O’Hearn is responsible for a .448 ISO all on his own.

The park factor is good, the power isn’t all that scary and the formerly patient Royals currently offer up a nasty 23.6% whiff rate, per Rotogrinders.com’s PlateIQ.

Covey is in a pretty good spot and he’s about as cheap as pitchers can get. A Royals hedge stack probably needs to be done for you to feel good here, but Covey has some appeal and I’m all for rolling the dice tonight.

C/1B: Gary Sanchez – New York Yankees ($3k)

I am a fan of the Oakland Athletics tonight as they travel to the explosive Camden Yards, so if you’re not with me on Gary here (and perhaps even if you are), consider Matt Olson in this spot.

I’ll start my MLB DFS picks with Sanchez when it comes to the hitting. Sanchez went yard last night and will again be in a nice park tonight. He’ll also be facing Tyler Duffey, who has gotten destroyed (.359 ISO!) this year from the right side of the plate.

The sample size is small, but Sanchez and his .208 ISO are still worth a shot at this discounted price tag.

2B: Jed Lowrie – Oakland Athletics ($3.8k)

I told you I’m high on A’s and I’ll start that love with Lowrie, who can hit from either side of the plate.

He’s worth a look in virtually any matchup, but when his fly ball teammates go to a hitter’s park, you need to be on high alert. A full Athletics stack is firmly in play, but I’ll probably pick my spots and mostly stick to righties.

Alex Cobb has actually been good lately and Oakland can whiff a bit. That being said, Lowrie sports a nasty .224 ISO against right-handed pitching and Cobb has had the majority of his troubles (.369 wOBA, .234 ISO) against fellow righties in 2018.

Ian Kinsler ($2.6k) is also a solid 2B punt and he’d get you cheap exposure to the Red Sox at Fenway.

3B: Eduardo Escobar – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.7k)

Coors is certainly worth a look tonight. While I won’t be using Zack Greinke in this park, I also won’t be going out of my way to stack Rockies. I’ll be fading them in this lineup, actually, and turning my attention to AZ bats.

I’m still just picking my spots here and one guy that stands out is Escobar, who is too cheap given the park factor and matchup. He’s a switch hitter, so he could bat from the right side and try to take advantage of Antonio Senzatela’s struggles (.351 wOBA, .213 ISO, 34% fly ball rate, 42% hard hit rate) from that side of the plate.

SS: Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox ($3.8k)

Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez will undoubtedly be attractive plays tonight, as the Red Sox will be at home against a beatable lefty in Ryan Borucki. Those guys are my preferred plays, but they’re also ridiculously expensive. A dong is a dong, so I’m trying to get off of the super obvious plays tonight and find a little value.

Xander might do that for me, as he’s probably too cheap given the park factor and matchup. His power hasn’t been elite against southpaws, but he still owns a nice .359 wOBA against left-handed pitching. This is somewhat cheap exposure to an elite offense in a great spot, too, so I’ll eat the value.

Marcus Semien ($3.3k) is my second favorite play at SS on this slate.

OF: A.J. Pollock – Arizona Diamondbacks ($4.1k)

Paul Goldschmidt might be too expensive for me to snag on this slate, while I won’t keep you away from Arizona lefties if you’re feeling it. I’ll pair Pollock and his solid .199 ISO with Escobar, though, giving me two righty D’Backs mashers that should have a shot at exploiting Senzatela’s reverse splits.

OF: Khris Davis – Oakland Athletics ($4.2k)

The aforementioned Olson, Matt Chapman and basically any other Oakland bat you like can freely be used tonight.

I’m not loading up all the way with a full stack, but I do want Davis, who mashes righties (.312 ISO) to the moon and back. He gets a huge park upgrade and as I touched on, Cobb has issues with right-handed mashers.

If you want to get in on Coors, consider pivoting off of Davis to grab Charlie Blackmon or David Peralta at a similar price point on FanDuel.

OF: Nelson Cruz – Seattle Mariners ($3.9k)

I am also a fan of some Mariners tonight, as they’re at home against a painfully pedestrian arm in Bryan Mitchell. Cruz is always worth a look due to his disgusting power (.257 ISO), but Mitchell is just begging to be targeted when you look at his .428 wOBA and .235 ISO allowed to right-handed hitters.

Util: Ryon Healy – Seattle Mariners ($2.8k)

You can go a few different routes at this last spot and if you opt to pivot down with my secondary plays at 2B or SS, perhaps you can just pay up here (maybe get Olson). I’ll cap it off with Healy, who like the rest of the M’s gets to face a bad pitcher who has awful reverse splits.

Healy brings the pop (.205 ISO) and feels like a dong waiting to happen here. Mitch Haniger is also worth paying up for and I wouldn’t completely ignore the lefty power Seattle has to offer, either. Mike Zunino (.234 ISO) should be cheap and also bats from the right side.

Summary

I’m punting pitcher and loading up on bats tonight. Stacks can go so horribly wrong, so I won’t be issuing full stacks tonight. If that’s your daily fantasy baseball strategy, take a look at Yankees, Athletics, Red Sox, D’Backs and Mariners. The Mets and White Sox are also sneaky and a hedge Royals stack against my Covey play is also encouraged.

This is a risky lineup, but most GPP squads tend to be. If you can’t roll out this exact team with me, feel free to pick your spots or use some of my secondary suggestions. If you absolutely must pay up at pitcher tonight, my top pick is Folty. He’s in a great park against a Giants lineup that is just awful right now.

Whatever you opt to do, I wish you luck!

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