My team as a whole wasn’t amazing last night, but I certainly nailed the Athletics stack. Oakland scored 10 runs in one inning and easily paid off if you went there. The main problem with my team was Delino Deshields didn’t start, so I had to make some changes.
That got me off of Jose Abreu, while the White Sox stack just didn’t pay off. Even worse, Chicago actually ended up being really chalky in tournaments for some reason.
Whatever the case, the White Sox were a bust and Carlos Rodon was just okay as my starting pitcher. I was never really on Stephen Strasburg or David Price and both wrecked. Jake Odorizzi was probably the play of the night as far as arms go, though, as he no-hit the Yankees into the 8th inning.
Crazy, I know. It was a very weird slate where a lot of chalky offenses just struggled greatly. Boston and New York stood out the most, but hopefully you rolled with my A’s stack and made the right plays elsewhere.
Either way, Thursday gives us another chance to load up and try again. Let’s take a look at my favorite MLB DFS picks for FanDuel GPPs tonight:
SP: Matt Shoemaker – Los Angeles Angels ($7.5k)
Clayton Kershaw is the top arm on this small 6-game main slate, but he’s absurdly over-priced. Kershaw is the most stable guy here, but he’s $11.5k and simply not worth it. He’s been solid with run prevention and you’re probably getting 40-45 fantasy points, but he hasn’t topped 50 in any of his last four starts.
Busch Stadium is typically pitcher-friendly, but Kershaw is still on the road against a very capable Cardinals lineup. They have a slew of righties who hit southpaws well, too, so I’m probably steering clear of Kershaw here.
That has me dropping to Shoemaker, who is a pretty nice price given his talent, K upside and park factor.
Shoemaker’s home park is pitcher-friendly and tends to curb the long ball, which is good news in a tough matchup with the Mariners. Seattle can blow up offensively and they do not usually whiff much, but this is arguably Shoemaker’s best matchup since he got back to the mound three starts ago.
I’m not expecting the world here, but Shoemaker just represents value at a time where I think it’s really needed.
C/1B: Matt Olson – Oakland Athletics ($3.6k)
The A’s were very kind to me last night, so I’ll be going right back to the well. Olson boasts a mean .244 ISO against right-handed pitching and like the past two days, he’s getting a righty in the explosive Camden Yards.
Tonight’s poor sack happens to be Dylan Bundy, who has gotten obliterated all too often in 2018. Over his last six starts he’s given up at least six runs four times. Bundy gives up all of the hard contact, allowing a .250+ ISO to all batters and +45% fly ball rate to either side of the plate as well.
Olson should be licking his chops in this one and a full Athletics stack is very much in play.
2B: Jed Lowrie – Oakland Athletics ($3.7k)
Oakland will be much chalkier than they were last night, but I don’t really care. I suppose a great leverage play would be using Bundy and fading the A’s, but that seems like a gaffe in the making.
Bundy gives up contact in bunches and Lowrie mashes righties (.377 wOBA, .223 ISO). You can build a case for a lot of Oakland sticks, but I want to fit in some value if I can. Lowrie helps you do that.
3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($4.2k)
The Dodgers get a park downgrade and they’re on the road, but I still like them against a beatable lefty in Austin Gomber.
JT is obviously one of their top bats and whether he dongs or not, I’m attracted to his splits (.438 wOBA, .219 ISO). He looks like a terrific play, provided he and the rest of the Dodgers don’t turn up lame.
SS: Manny Machado – Los Angeles Dodgers ($4.3k)
The same goes for Manny, who owns splits that rival Turner’s (.414 wOBA, .244 ISO) when going up against left-handed pitchers. Machado isn’t cheap, but he should be worth the price tonight.
OF: Khris Davis – Oakland Athletics ($4.2k)
Khrush wasn’t great last night, but he can make up for it against Bundy. His nasty .309 ISO versus right-handed hurlers should come out and play tonight.
OF: Ramon Laureano – Oakland Athletics ($3k)
Consider Matt Chapman and any other A’s that start. They’re all worth a look. I’ll wrap up this full Oakland stack with Laureano, who has been red hot and even offers base-stealing upside.
He was terrific last night and offers a sweet .306 ISO against righties. He’s also dirt cheap considering the matchup and park factor.
OF: Lewis Brinson – Miami Marlins ($2k)
I am a fan of Brinson tonight, largely because he’s the bare minimum and he has the power to go yard in basically any matchup. He’s especially good against southpaws and will get a somewhat beatable one tonight in Steven Matz.
Brinson’s .180 ISO isn’t saliva-inducing, but it’s good enough to show he can get the job done. Matz and his .214 ISO versus righties (including a 39% fly ball rate and 38% hard hit rate) only aid my case.
I don’t need a dong to see Brinson pay off, though. He’s costing me nothing, so if he can just get some walks/hits and a run or two, I’d be fine with that.
Util: Kike Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.4k)
I’ll cap a nice three-man Dodgers stack with Enrique Hernandez, who for his career has mashed lefties. He still owns a respectable .188 ISO this year and is obviously a really nice price. As long as he’s out there to start this one, he’s going to be on my radar.
Clayton Kershaw is the top ace tonight, but I can’t get the bats I covet if I pay for him. I’ll just save over $4k and get a viable arm in a good park, instead. That allows me to stack up A’s, who bring their extreme fly ball ways into the ever explosive Camden Yards.
That’s a big deal no matter what, but against the sorry sack that is Dylan Bundy, they’re again shaping up as uber chalk. Whether everyone else will be on them or not, they’re a full four-man group for me.
Brinson is dirt cheap and a three-man Dodgers stack just makes too much sense. Gomber hasn’t really gotten rocked much, but he does give up some contact and this is the Dodgers we’re talking about.
Overall, this is a loaded team of bats and if Shoemaker can pan out (and Kershaw isn’t great), I think we could be well on our way to a big night. Whether you’re using this entire team as it stands or just a few of my MLB DFS picks, I wish you luck. Enjoy the games!