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FanDuel MLB DFS Picks – September 17th

After taking the weekend to focus more on the NFL DFS scene, I’m back in the full swing of things when it comes to my daily fantasy baseball picks. That’s not something I’ll be able to say for long, however, as the 2018 MLB regular season only has about two weeks to go.

Still, there is money to be made and Monday night’s 12-game MLB DFS slate at FanDuel promises to be a ton of fun.

Zack Wheeler leads a top-heavy pitcher-pool that is joined by the likes of Patrick Corbin and Mike Foltynewicz. Of that trio, I have my sights set on Corbin, who faces a good Cubs offense but will be at home in a park that has increasingly been kinder to pitchers.

The games at PNC Park and Camden Yards look dicey when it comes to weather tonight. The Jays are a great stack against Andrew Cashner, but due to the weather, I’ll lead you elsewhere. Just be sure to consider them if that game is good to go.

With that, let’s dive into my favorite MLB DFS picks for Monday night at FanDuel:

SP: Patrick Corbin – Arizona Diamondbacks ($10k)

Pick any of the top three arms and run. None of them have amazing matchups, but Corbin is in a solid park and he slayed the Cubs the only other time he faced them this year. Chicago can blow up, but they’re also notorious for falling asleep in tough spots.

Corbin is in a fairly pitcher-friendly park, he sports an elite K rate and due to his matchup he should be rather low-owned. This smells like a mighty fine GPP play to me.

If you want to go deep-diving and that Jays/O’s game isn’t PPD, consider Ryan Borucki. He’s a serious roll of the dice, but Baltimore whiffs a ton and simply isn’t a scary offense.

C/1B: Ji-Man Choi – Tampa Bay Rays ($3.4k)

I love the Jays if that game is good to go, but they could be chalky. I also like the idea of an under-owned Astros stack, but the Rays also stand out to me. Choi is worth a shot as a powerful one-off either way, as he and his Rays get a massive park upgrade in Texas.

They’ll be going up against a young arm in Adrian Sampson, who thus far has shown a propensity for hard contact. That’s good news for the Rays and Choi specifically, as he hits hard 46% of the time and boasts a sweet .262 ISO versus right-handed pitching.

2B: Brandon Lowe – Tampa Bay Rays ($2.8k)

You can’t rely on Sampson’s splits or data in general, but he hasn’t done anything yet to scare me off of him in this park. Lowe should start today, as he has fine splits (.365 wOBA, .214 ISO) against righties and has the power to launch one in this setting. He’s part of a full four-man Rays stack that I’m pretty excited about on this slate.

3B: Mike Moustakas – Milwaukee Brewers ($3.6k)

Another team to consider stacking tonight is the Brew Crew. They’ll be at home in a great park for the long ball and they’re also facing a beatable righty in Anthony DeSclafani. He’s not a bad pitcher, but he has serious issues against the left side of the plate (.381 wOBA, .293 ISO, 42% fly ball rate, 40% hard hit rate).

Travis Shaw and Christian Yelich stand out here, but the Brewers should be fairly popular. I’ll still grab a one-off dong in Moose. He sports a clean .241 ISO versus righties and is a good value tonight.

If you want to pay up, Alex Bregman is my pricey bat of choice at 3B.

SS: Carlos Correa – Houston Astros ($3.6k)

I mentioned before I’m a fan of the Astros. They’re facing a guy in Wade LeBlanc that has been pretty good this year, but they’re still one of the best offenses in baseball. Stacking them at what is very likely going to be low ownership is attractive, but Correa at this price as a nice one-off isn’t a bad idea, either.

Correa doesn’t really blast southpaws, but his .344 wOBA against lefties is decent enough.

OF: Eddie Rosario – Minnesota Twins ($3.3k)

Another interesting spot to stack could be the Twins in Detroit. They’re in a solid park for hitting and face a contact machine in Jordan Zimmerman. Rosario is just one bat to like there thanks to his nice .213 ISO, but going cheaper with someone like Max Kepler could open salary up if you need it.

OF: Kevin Kiermaier – Tampa Bay Rays ($2.8k)

Kiermaier is not the model of consistency normally, but he’s actually been absolutely shredding over the past month. He offers a little pop (.177 ISO) against righties and like everyone else here, gets a big boost by the park factor.

OF: Jay Bruce – New York Mets ($2.6k)

The Mets seem sneaky tonight. They’re in a good park for home runs and they’ll be facing a pretty overrated arm in Jake Arrieta. I won’t be stacking them, but Bruce mashes righties and has been pretty hot over the last few weeks. He’s cheap exposure to a pretty under the radar stacking option.

Util: C.J. Cron – Tampa Bay Rays ($2.9k)

I’ll cap things off with a fourth Ray in Cron. He’s usually at his best against southpaws, but he’s in a terrific spot tonight and still wields nasty splits (.225 ISO) when facing right-handed hurlers. I just don’t trust Sampson in this park and Tampa has been hot for about two months now, it seems.

Summary

Corbin isn’t exactly a safe play, but he feels like a good one. He’s at home and sliced up the Cubs earlier this year, but that matchup could help him be somewhat contrarian. Add him with a hopefully contrarian Rays stack and some nice one-off tries and I think we may have something special here.

As always, keep in mind weather and late scratches. You can use this lineup as it stands or mix and match my daily fantasy baseball picks with your own. Either way, I wish you luck tonight in your MLB DFS contests at FanDuel. Enjoy the games!

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