I will be the first to admit my daily fantasy baseball picks have not been scorching hot as of late. I do think you could still (at times) be cashing depending on the tournaments you’re playing in, but the teams could be better and I’ll surely be aiming to deliver better lineups as the regular season winds down.
But last night was just trash.
As in, that was the night of spare bats donging. It was pretty wild, while a lot of the chalky plays just did not work out. I told you to stack Rays and Jays under Clayton Kershaw and it didn’t lead to amazing results. Toronto did put up a bunch of runs, but I just got the four bats wrong.
Tampa Bay wasn’t awful, but again, I just didn’t necessarily get you the Rays you needed.
My MLB DFS picks weren’t a total waste, however. The likes of Joey Wendle (24.7 fantasy points), Lourdes Gurriel jr. (13), Billy McKinney (6.2), Justin Smoak (6.5) and Kevin Kiermaier (9.2) all worked out to an extent. Clayton Kershaw was always going to be worth paying up for, so considering I went cheap with two stacks, it was a lineup that was worth a roll of the dice.
Things quiet down considerably on Wednesday, as FanDuel will be hosting a tame 10-game MLB DFS slate. Let’s dive in to see what my favorite lineup for GPPs is:
SP: Chris Archer – Pittsburgh Pirates ($7.8k)
Carlos Carrasco is undeniably the top arm tonight, but he can struggle at home and I’m not exactly sure how long the Tribe want to use their aces with the AL Central wrapped up. Carrasco is still worth paying up for, while I’m also looking at Walker Buehler.
Luis Severino and David Price are on the table – at least in theory – but their matchups in Yankee Stadium are dreadful.
Personally, I’m cruising past these pricey arms and snatching up the most obvious value pitcher on the board. That’s Archer, who has nice strikeout upside, is in the pitcher-friendly PNC Park and draws a date with a terrible Royals lineup.
Archer has safety and upside, while he’s not even priced like an elite option. In terms of production, he isn’t, but he has the upside to get there. I don’t mind a roll of the dice on this slate and the savings get me some bats I covet.
C/1B: Gary Sanchez – New York Yankees ($3.1k)
The top stack on this slate has to be the Indians at home against Dylan Covey, but Cleveland sticks are pricey and can be lifted at anytime.
I also just can’t bypass blatant value when I see it. Sanchez isn’t the most efficient bat, but he destroys southpaws (.239 ISO) and has a remarkable five homers off of David Price.
Price is a very good pitcher, but this is the Yankees at full strength at home. I’m going contrarian and rolling out a three-man stack tonight.
2B: Gleyber Torres – New York Yankees ($3.5k)
That Yanks stack continues with Torres, who has once donged Price in the past and owns a nasty .330 ISO versus left-handed pitchers. Again, Price is a talented ace that normally isn’t someone I’d be stacking against. However, he’s on the road in a tough park against a stacked rival.
This is a fun team to use against him and hopefully this won’t be a popular daily fantasy baseball strategy.
3B: Justin Turner – Los Angeles Dodgers ($4.2k)
While I have interest in a potentially under-owned Yankees stack, I also really like the Dodgers. They are at home and badly need to get wins, while they happen to be playing a very important series with the hated Rockies.
They get Tyler Anderson, who has been blown up quite a bit during the second half of the year and has oddly enough been worse outside of Coors Field. He’s also allowed 29 long balls on the year and has a rough BvsP history with JT (13-for-26, 1 HR).
Anderson is honestly giving up contact to both sides of the plate and that’s definitely the case when it comes to power (+.204 ISO). Turner can smash anyone, but he’s shown a specific pleasure for playing against Anderson and also happens to murder lefties to the tune of a .447 wOBA and .232 ISO. Yeah, I’ll be using Turner tonight.
SS: Manny Machado – Los Angeles Dodgers ($4.4k)
I am a fan of the Dodgers tonight for all of the reasons I laid out above. That includes Manny and his fun .245 ISO against southpaws.
He and Turner are not cheap, but they’re the top two options and and provide you with a couple of late-game hammers to cap the night.
OF: Pablo Reyes – Pittsburgh Pirates ($2.3k)
There are a few cheap bats to consider on this slate, but I love Reyes, who has been red hot since being called up in early September. With multiple hits in four consecutive games, I’ll ride the wave at this dirt cheap price.
OF: Aaron Judge – New York Yankees ($4k)
Giancarlo Stanton and a slew of other pinstripe hitters are in play here and if you want to issue a full four-man stack, go for it. New York is loaded with powerful righties that crush lefties and Price is in a very dangerous spot.
Judge will be in just his second game since July, so maybe I have been waiting so long to play him that I can’t help myself. That, or his nasty .271 ISO versus lefties and his immense upside in a tense rivalry series has me interested.
He’s cheaper than Stanton (who boasts better splits), so it’ll be interesting to see what the ownership is like. I prefer Judge tonight, but cramming in both to get four Yanks could be fun.
OF: Kike Hernandez – Los Angeles Dodgers ($2.3k)
I also have some interest in Matt Kemp down in this price range, while you can talk about Cody Bellinger, Yasiel Puig, Brian Dozier and Max Muncy on this slate as well. I’ll end things with Hernandez, who caps my Dodgers stack at three with his .185 ISO against left-handed hurlers.
Enrique has been far better than that against southpaws in the past, so if he’s active for this one, he’s a lock-and-load play for me at this cheap price tag.
Util: A.J. Pollock – Arizona Diamondbacks ($3.4k)
I’d love to cram Stanton into this and find a way to get another Dodgers bat, but I don’t feel the need to force it when an elite value like Pollock is floating around in this price range.
Pollock is always worth a try, but he’s at home against a lefty tonight and he mashes (.248 ISO) that side of the plate.
I can’t be sure if the Yanks will be contrarian and I tend to think the Dodgers could be chalky. Archer is probably somewhere in the middle. I think the mixture could give me a shot here, while values like Reyes and Pollock complete a fun tourney try.
I absolutely think there is some risk involved here, but a few of these mashers are bound to pay off.
If the Yanks and Dodgers wreck, though, this could be one heck of a lineup. If you’re looking for alternative stacks, consider the Brewers (vs. Matt Harvey), the Pirates (vs. Heath Fillmyer) and the Jays (vs. Luis Ortiz). All of those stacks have some appeal, but I prefer the blend in my given FanDuel lineup.
Whatever you decide, hopefully I help you in some manner. Remember to keep tabs on weather, check for starting lineups and mix my picks in with your own as needed. Good luck and enjoy the games!