Things didn’t go quite as planned last night. The Padres jumped on Luis Castillo early and really benefited from the park upgrade they got. That pretty much cooked us there, as we were dealing with a light four-game slate.
I did warn you that Castillo was incredibly volatile, but hopefully you found a way to cash, regardless.
Last night’s Falcons vs. Eagles contest got the fantasy football season going, which understandably cut into MLB interest yesterday. That changes tonight, as there won’t be any NFL action on TV on Friday and MLB pushes out a big 14-game main slate at FanDuel.
There is a ton to consider here, but tonight is a good one for stacks or to pay up for a pricey pitcher. Let’s see what my favorite daily fantasy baseball strategy is as I hand out some of my top MLB DFS picks for tonight’s huge slate:
SP: Blake Snell – Tampa Bay Rays ($10.7k)
Snell was my first instinct when I looked at the pitcher pool for tonight. There are honestly a lot of viable options, but so many are in a bad spot or just over-priced. Snell is probably appropriately priced when you consider how dominant he’s been over his last 11 starts.
Over that stretch, he’s allowed more than one run exactly once. The dude is dialed in, sports a nasty K rate and will face a watered down Orioles team at home in a pitcher-friendly park. Sign me up.
C/1B: Matt Olson – Oakland Athletics ($3.3k)
The A’s figure to be my favorite stack tonight. They’re at home in a fairly pitcher-friendly park, but they can still crush it here and get the very beatable Yovani Gallardo.
Olson stands out especially with his .238 ISO against right-handed pitching. Gallardo gives up contact to both sides of the plate and can get hit pretty hard, so sticks from both sides are fine for Oakland hitters.
I also don’t mind Ryan Zimmerman at this spot. He’s just $100 more and faces Jon Lester, who has been rather fraudulent in 2018. The Nats are tough to peg these days, but Zimmerman blasts southpaws and is absolutely on the table tonight.
2B: Jed Lowrie – Oakland Athletics ($3.8k)
I’m rolling out a full four-man A’s stack, so I’ll toss in Lowrie and his awesome splits (.379 wOBA, .226 ISO) against right-handed pitching. Gallardo could be in for a long night, folks.
3B: Willians Astudillo – Minnesota Twins ($2.2k)
If you’re paying up for an arm tonight (and you probably should), you’ll need to take some deep dives. Astudillo stands out as one of my favorite punts, as he’s been flexing his power muscle recently and sports a mean .278 ISO against right-handed hurlers.
He is at home in a good hitting environment and faces a pedestrian arm in Heath Fillmyer. Fillmyer is already in a tough spot, but he’s also awarding an unsightly .372 wOBA, .225 ISO and 52% hard hit rate to the right side of the plate. Yeah, I’m using Willians tonight and a full Minnesota stack is far from obscene.
SS: Hernan Perez – Milwaukee Brewers ($2.5k)
Derek Holland has been annoyingly good with the Giants this year and he’s on a tear at the moment, but I can’t imagine him going into Miller Park and dominating. I won’t fully stack the Brew Crew, but I’ll get some cheap exposure to a righty in this one.
Perez saves me some cash and his .229 ISO against lefties is encouraging. Holland has been good, but he still has allowed a .340 wOBA, .204 ISO, 39% fly ball rate and 44% hard hit rate to right-handed hitters in 2018. A full Brewers stack from the right side isn’t crazy, but I’ll cut it short at Hernan tonight.
OF: Khris Davis – Oakland Athletics ($4k)
Obviously if I like the Athletics I have to like Davis, who can mash anyone anywhere and owns a nasty .317 ISO against righties. He is an auto play for me tonight and honestly is too cheap to not use in this matchup.
OF: Dustin Fowler – Oakland Athletics ($2k)
Will Fowler even start tonight? It’s too early to know, but he is the bare minimum on FD. He completes my four-man Oakland stack and is a free square for me if he’s in the lineup. He can be tough to trust, but he does offer a little pop and is just too cheap to ignore. If you like a better cheapie, move things around to make it work for you.
OF: Max Kepler – Minnesota Twins ($2.2k)
I already broke down why the Twins are on my radar tonight. They are still a very shaky offense, but they’re at their best at home against righties. I’ll target Kepler as well, as he’s dirt cheap and offers some nice pop (.189 ISO) against right-handers.
Util: Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks ($4.3k)
If you want to pay up over guys like Kepler or Perez and drop down from Goldy, I will hear that argument. I like Goldy on this slate, though. He seems to dong nightly and he’ll be at home against Kevin Gausman, who isn’t exactly elite.
I think you have to grab a pricey arm to survive this slate. Snell is my favorite, but you can consider dropping down a bit or even paying up for Aaron Nola. Snell stands out to me the most, but I am just not seeing the value arm that should be standing out on a 14-game slate.
That has me hunting for value and you’ll probably need to do the same. If you find a value arm you covet, then that changes things. You also may not love my sleeper picks here, so feel free to pivot as needed. Hopefully these MLB DFS picks find you doing well tonight, however.
Whatever you decide, I wish you luck in your FanDuel daily fantasy baseball contests!